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1 – 1
Final score
#10 · 0 pts
J. Scally (ast. H. Bolin) 7'
(pen.) 90'+6 N. Amiri
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 34%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FSV Mainz 05.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.33
6
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
0
Corners
6
11
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Scally · ast. H. Bolin
7'
21'
D. Kohr
22'
A. Caci
66'
P. Mwene / N. Veratschnig
66'
A. Sieb / S. Becker
H. Bolin / F. Honorat
66'
K. Diks / F. C. Chiarodia
71'
J. Castrop / L. Ullrich
72'
K. Stoger / G. Reyna
72'
76'
W. Boving / P. Nebel
76'
S. Widmer / A. Caci
H. Tabakovic
82'
83'
N. Weiper / D. da Costa
H. Tabakovic / K. Takai
87'
88'
Y. Engelhardt
89'
P. Sander
90'+3
M. Nicolas
90'+6
90'+6
(pen.) N. Amiri
N. Elvedi
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.6%
Borussia
25.0%
X ←
40.4%
FSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Borussia
1.38
0.62
-0.76
FSV
1.56
1.33
-0.23
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 0 0
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0 0
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0 0
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0 0
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0 0
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 0 0
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0 0
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0 0
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0 0
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 0 0
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0 0
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 0 0
17 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 0 0
18 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
Lineups
33 Moritz Nicolas Moritz Nicolas G 9.00
4
Kevin Diks 71' D 7.00
30 Nico Elvedi Nico Elvedi D 7.30
16 Philipp Sander Philipp Sander D 7.20
17 J. Castrop J. Castrop 72' M 7.00
7 K. Stöger K. Stöger 72' M 7.70
6 Yannick Engelhardt Yannick Engelhardt M 6.50
27 R. Reitz R. Reitz M 7.20
29 Joe Scally Joe Scally 1 ⚽ M 7.50
38 Hugo Bolin Hugo Bolin 1 👟 66' F 6.90
15 Haris Tabaković Haris Tabaković 87' F 6.00
Bench
2 Fabio Chiarodia Fabio Chiarodia 24' D 6.60
9 F. Honorat F. Honorat 29' M 6.20
13 Giovanni Reyna Giovanni Reyna 23' M 6.90
26 Lukas Ullrich Lukas Ullrich 23' D 6.30
25 Robin Hack Robin Hack M
18 Shuto Machino Shuto Machino F
36 Wael Mohya Wael Mohya M
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3-1-4-2
33 Daniel Batz Daniel Batz G 7.00
31 D. Kohr D. Kohr D 7.30
4 S. Posch S. Posch D 7.90
21 Danny da Costa Danny da Costa 82' D 6.70
6 Kaishu Sano Kaishu Sano M 6.60
22 Nikolas Veratschnig Nikolas Veratschnig 66' M 6.50
10 N. Amiri N. Amiri 1 ⚽ M 7.30
8 P. Nebel P. Nebel 76' M 6.30
19 Anthony Caci Anthony Caci 76' M 7.90
20 Phillip Tietz Phillip Tietz F 6.30
23 S. Becker S. Becker 66' F 6.20
Bench
11 Armindo Sieb Armindo Sieb 29' F 6.20
48
Kacper Potulski D
44 Nelson Weiper Nelson Weiper 13' F 7.50
2 Phillipp Mwene Phillipp Mwene 29' D 6.70
24 Sota Kawasaki Sota Kawasaki M
30 S. Widmer S. Widmer 19' D 6.50
Best on the pitch
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas
G · Borussia
9.00
· 27 pass
Anthony Caci
Anthony Caci
M · FSV
7.90
· 50 pass
S. Posch
S. Posch
D · FSV
7.90
· 73 pass
K. Stöger
K. Stöger
M · Borussia
7.70
· 41 pass
Joe Scally
Joe Scally
M · Borussia
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Nelson Weiper
Nelson Weiper
F · FSV
7.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Moritz Nicolas G 95 9.00 27 15%
Kevin Diks D 71 7.00 1 42 35%
Nico Elvedi D 95 7.30 46 42% 1
Philipp Sander D 95 7.20 47 38% 1 1
J. Castrop M 72 7.00 2 24 18% 1
K. Stöger M 72 7.70 41 36% 3
Yannick Engelhardt M 95 6.50 48 45% 1
R. Reitz M 95 7.20 1 31 22% 3
Joe Scally M 95 7.50 1 1 17 12%
Hugo Bolin F 66 6.90 1 1 17 10% 1
Haris Tabaković F 87 6.00 10 6% 1 1
Fabio Chiarodia D 24 6.60 3 2%
F. Honorat M 29 6.20 3 1%
Giovanni Reyna M 23 6.90 6 3% 1
Lukas Ullrich D 23 6.30 4 3%
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Batz G 95 7.00 17 16%
D. Kohr D 95 7.30 2 86 77% 1 1
S. Posch D 95 7.90 73 62% 4
Danny da Costa D 82 6.70 70 61% 1
Kaishu Sano M 95 6.60 77 72%
Nikolas Veratschnig M 66 6.50 21 13% 2
N. Amiri M 95 7.30 1 1 63 56%
P. Nebel M 76 6.30 1 40 35%
Anthony Caci M 76 7.90 50 45% 4 1
Phillip Tietz F 95 6.30 4 26 21%
S. Becker F 66 6.20 3 17 10%
Armindo Sieb F 29 6.20 10 8%
Nelson Weiper F 13 7.50
Phillipp Mwene D 29 6.70 14 11%
S. Widmer D 19 6.50 15 15%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Borussia Mönchengladbach win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.