J. Scally
(ast. H. Bolin)
7'
(pen.)
90'+6
N. Amiri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 34%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FSV Mainz 05.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.33
6
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
0
Corners
6
11
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Scally
· ast. H. Bolin
7'
21'
D. Kohr
22'
A. Caci
66'
P. Mwene
/
N. Veratschnig
66'
A. Sieb
/
S. Becker
H. Bolin
/ F. Honorat
66'
K. Diks
/ F. C. Chiarodia
71'
J. Castrop
/ L. Ullrich
72'
K. Stoger
/ G. Reyna
72'
76'
W. Boving
/
P. Nebel
76'
S. Widmer
/
A. Caci
H. Tabakovic
82'
83'
N. Weiper
/
D. da Costa
H. Tabakovic
/ K. Takai
87'
88'
Y. Engelhardt
89'
P. Sander
90'+3
M. Nicolas
90'+6
90'+6
(pen.)
N. Amiri⚽
N. Elvedi
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.6%
Borussia
25.0%
X ←
40.4%
FSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
0.62
-0.76
1.56
1.33
-0.23
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
M. Nicolas
G
M. Nicolas
G
4
K. Diks
71'
D
K. Diks
71'
D
30
N. Elvedi
D
N. Elvedi
D
16
P. Sander
D
P. Sander
D
17
J. Castrop
72'
M
J. Castrop
72'
M
7
K. Stöger
72'
M
K. Stöger
72'
M
6
Y. Engelhardt
M
Y. Engelhardt
M
27
R. Reitz
M
R. Reitz
M
29
J. Scally
1 ⚽
M
J. Scally
1 ⚽
M
38
H. Bolin
1 👟
66'
F
H. Bolin
1 👟
66'
F
15
H. Tabaković
87'
F
H. Tabaković
87'
F
Bench
2
F. Chiarodia
24'
D
F. Chiarodia
24'
D
9
F. Honorat
29'
M
F. Honorat
29'
M
13
G. Reyna
23'
M
G. Reyna
23'
M
26
L. Ullrich
23'
D
L. Ullrich
23'
D
25
R. Hack
M
R. Hack
M
18
S. Machino
F
S. Machino
F
36
W. Mohya
M
W. Mohya
M
33
D. Batz
G
D. Batz
G
31
D. Kohr
D
D. Kohr
D
4
S. Posch
D
S. Posch
D
21
D. da Costa
82'
D
D. da Costa
82'
D
6
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
22
N. Veratschnig
66'
M
N. Veratschnig
66'
M
10
N. Amiri
1 ⚽
M
N. Amiri
1 ⚽
M
8
P. Nebel
76'
M
P. Nebel
76'
M
19
A. Caci
76'
M
A. Caci
76'
M
20
P. Tietz
F
P. Tietz
F
23
S. Becker
66'
F
S. Becker
66'
F
Bench
11
A. Sieb
29'
F
A. Sieb
29'
F
48
K. Potulski
D
K. Potulski
D
44
N. Weiper
13'
F
N. Weiper
13'
F
2
P. Mwene
29'
D
P. Mwene
29'
D
24
S. Kawasaki
M
S. Kawasaki
M
30
S. Widmer
19'
D
S. Widmer
19'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Nicolas
G · Borussia
9.00
· 27 pass
A. Caci
M · FSV
7.90
· 50 pass
S. Posch
D · FSV
7.90
· 73 pass
K. Stöger
M · Borussia
7.70
· 41 pass
J. Scally
M · Borussia
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
N. Weiper
F · FSV
7.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nicolas | G | 95 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Diks | D | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| N. Elvedi | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Sander | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Castrop | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 72 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Engelhardt | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Reitz | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Scally | M | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Bolin | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tabaković | F | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Chiarodia | D | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Honorat | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ullrich | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Kohr | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 77% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Posch | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| D. da Costa | D | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | — | — | — |
| N. Veratschnig | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Amiri | M | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | — | — | — |
| P. Nebel | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| A. Caci | M | 76 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 4 | 1 | — |
| P. Tietz | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Becker | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Sieb | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Weiper | F | 13 | 7.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mwene | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Widmer | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Borussia Mönchengladbach win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.