J. Scally
(ast. H. Bolin)
7'
(pen.)
90'+6
N. Amiri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 34%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FSV Mainz 05.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.33
6
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
0
Corners
6
11
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Scally
· ast. H. Bolin
7'
21'
D. Kohr
22'
A. Caci
66'
P. Mwene
/
N. Veratschnig
66'
A. Sieb
/
S. Becker
H. Bolin
/ F. Honorat
66'
K. Diks
/ F. C. Chiarodia
71'
J. Castrop
/ L. Ullrich
72'
K. Stoger
/ G. Reyna
72'
76'
W. Boving
/
P. Nebel
76'
S. Widmer
/
A. Caci
H. Tabakovic
82'
83'
N. Weiper
/
D. da Costa
H. Tabakovic
/ K. Takai
87'
88'
Y. Engelhardt
89'
P. Sander
90'+3
M. Nicolas
90'+6
90'+6
(pen.)
N. Amiri⚽
N. Elvedi
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.6%
Borussia
25.0%
X ←
40.4%
FSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
0.62
-0.76
1.56
1.33
-0.23
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
Moritz Nicolas
G
Moritz Nicolas
G
4
Kevin Diks
71'
D
30
Nico Elvedi
D
Nico Elvedi
D
16
Philipp Sander
D
Philipp Sander
D
17
J. Castrop
72'
M
J. Castrop
72'
M
7
K. Stöger
72'
M
K. Stöger
72'
M
6
Yannick Engelhardt
M
Yannick Engelhardt
M
27
R. Reitz
M
R. Reitz
M
29
Joe Scally
1 ⚽
M
Joe Scally
1 ⚽
M
38
Hugo Bolin
1 👟
66'
F
Hugo Bolin
1 👟
66'
F
15
Haris Tabaković
87'
F
Haris Tabaković
87'
F
Bench
2
Fabio Chiarodia
24'
D
Fabio Chiarodia
24'
D
9
F. Honorat
29'
M
F. Honorat
29'
M
13
Giovanni Reyna
23'
M
Giovanni Reyna
23'
M
26
Lukas Ullrich
23'
D
Lukas Ullrich
23'
D
25
Robin Hack
M
Robin Hack
M
18
Shuto Machino
F
Shuto Machino
F
36
Wael Mohya
M
Wael Mohya
M
33
Daniel Batz
G
Daniel Batz
G
31
D. Kohr
D
D. Kohr
D
4
S. Posch
D
S. Posch
D
21
Danny da Costa
82'
D
Danny da Costa
82'
D
6
Kaishu Sano
M
Kaishu Sano
M
22
Nikolas Veratschnig
66'
M
Nikolas Veratschnig
66'
M
10
N. Amiri
1 ⚽
M
N. Amiri
1 ⚽
M
8
P. Nebel
76'
M
P. Nebel
76'
M
19
Anthony Caci
76'
M
Anthony Caci
76'
M
20
Phillip Tietz
F
Phillip Tietz
F
23
S. Becker
66'
F
S. Becker
66'
F
Bench
11
Armindo Sieb
29'
F
Armindo Sieb
29'
F
48
Kacper Potulski
D
44
Nelson Weiper
13'
F
Nelson Weiper
13'
F
2
Phillipp Mwene
29'
D
Phillipp Mwene
29'
D
24
Sota Kawasaki
M
Sota Kawasaki
M
30
S. Widmer
19'
D
S. Widmer
19'
D
Best on the pitch
Moritz Nicolas
G · Borussia
9.00
· 27 pass
Anthony Caci
M · FSV
7.90
· 50 pass
S. Posch
D · FSV
7.90
· 73 pass
K. Stöger
M · Borussia
7.70
· 41 pass
Joe Scally
M · Borussia
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Nelson Weiper
F · FSV
7.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Nicolas | G | 95 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Diks | D | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Nico Elvedi | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Philipp Sander | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Castrop | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 72 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Reitz | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Joe Scally | M | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Bolin | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Haris Tabaković | F | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabio Chiarodia | D | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Honorat | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Reyna | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Ullrich | D | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Batz | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Kohr | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 77% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Posch | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| Danny da Costa | D | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaishu Sano | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Nikolas Veratschnig | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Amiri | M | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | — | — | — |
| P. Nebel | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Caci | M | 76 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Phillip Tietz | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Becker | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Armindo Sieb | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nelson Weiper | F | 13 | 7.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Phillipp Mwene | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Widmer | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Borussia Mönchengladbach win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.