← Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 1 April 10, 2026 00:00
Botafogo
#1 · 10 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Caracas FC
#2 · 8 pts
Arthur Cabral 50'
43' W. Correa

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 39% win probability (draw 35%, Caracas FC 25%). The final result was Botafogo 1–1 Caracas FC.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
0.21
3
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Bastos
23'
43'
W. Correa⚽
↕ Matheus Martins / Arthur Cabral
46'
⚽Arthur Cabral
50'
56'
C. A. Martinez Aponte / R. Lezama ↕
56'
A. Fernandez / S. Gonzalez ↕
↕ Vitinho / M. Ponte
63'
↕ S. Rodriguez / J. Barrera
63'
↕ Caio Roque / J. Hernandez
70'
75'
L. Reinoso / A. Figueroa ↕
75'
J. Uribe / M. Covea ↕
↕ Junior Santos / K. Barria
80'
84'
F. La Mantia / W. Correa ↕
J. Barrera
86'
A. Barboza
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
39.51%
Botafogo
35.36%
X ←
25.14%
Caracas
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 35.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Botafogo
0.92
0.70
-0.22
Caracas
0.69
0.21
-0.48
Botafogo dominated by xG (0.70 vs 0.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
Botafogo Botafogo 4-2-3-1
1 Raul Raul G 6.90
27 Caio Roque Caio Roque 70' D 6.20
20 Alexander Barboza Alexander Barboza D 8.50
15
Bastos D 6.90
2
Vitinho 63' D 6.50
8 Danilo Oliveira Danilo Oliveira M 7.50
25
Allan M 7.50
11 Matheus Martins Matheus Martins 45' M 6.50
10 Álvaro Montoro Álvaro Montoro M 6.90
23
S. Rodriguez 63' M 6.90
7
Junior Santos 80' F 6.30
Bench
19 Arthur Cabral Arthur Cabral 1 ⚽ 51' F 7.70
6 Cristian Medina Cristian Medina M
88 Edenilson Edenilson M
67
J. Hernandez 26' D 6.50
14 Jordan Barrera Jordan Barrera 33' M 6.20
37 Kadir Barría Kadir Barría 16' F 6.70
77 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba F
4 Mateo Ponte Mateo Ponte 33' D 6.60
5 Nahuel Ferraresi Nahuel Ferraresi D
28 Newton Newton M
Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.20
13
J. Yendis D 6.30
19
Luis Mago D 6.90
4
J. Quintero D 6.90
2
E. E. Fereira Penaranda D 6.70
33
W. Correa 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.70
15
C. Larotonda M 7.20
10
M. Covea 75' M 6.30
22
A. Figueroa 75' M 7.20
35
R. Lezama 56' M 6.20
27
S. Gonzalez 56' F 6.30
Bench
9
Adrián Fernández 40' F 6.70
37
Charly Vegas F
14 F. La Mantia F. La Mantia 12' D 6.30
32
Juan Uribe 21' F 6.20
20
L. A. Maestre Nino M
3
L. Pagano D
17
L. Reinoso 21' F 6.50
11
M. Marquez F
7
Robert Hernandez F
Best on the pitch
Alexander Barboza
Alexander Barboza
D · Botafogo
8.50
1 shots · 100 pass
Arthur Cabral
Arthur Cabral
F · Botafogo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
W. Correa
M · Caracas
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Danilo Oliveira
Danilo Oliveira
M · Botafogo
7.50
1 shots · 69 pass
Allan
M · Botafogo
7.50
· 83 pass
A. Figueroa
M · Caracas
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Botafogo Botafogo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Raul G 96 6.90 — — — 20 19% — — —
Caio Roque D 70 6.20 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
Alexander Barboza D 96 8.50 — — 1 100 92% 2 1 —
Bastos D 96 6.90 — — — 67 63% 3 1 —
Vitinho D 63 6.50 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
Danilo Oliveira M 96 7.50 — — 1 69 58% 2 — —
Allan M 96 7.50 — — — 83 81% — — —
Matheus Martins M 45 6.50 — — 1 19 13% 1 — —
Álvaro Montoro M 96 6.90 — — — 45 37% 3 — —
S. Rodriguez M 63 6.90 — — 2 42 37% — — —
Junior Santos F 80 6.30 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Arthur Cabral F 51 7.70 1 — 2 4 2% 1 — —
J. Hernandez D 26 6.50 — — — 15 12% — — —
Jordan Barrera M 33 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — 1 —
Kadir Barría F 16 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Mateo Ponte D 33 6.60 — — — 13 9% 1 — —
Caracas FC Caracas FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.20 — — — 32 15% — — —
J. Yendis D 96 6.30 — — 1 18 15% — — —
Luis Mago D 96 6.90 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
J. Quintero D 96 6.90 — — — 15 12% 2 — —
E. E. Fereira Penaranda D 96 6.70 — — — 13 7% 3 — —
W. Correa M 84 7.70 1 — 1 18 16% 1 — —
C. Larotonda M 96 7.20 — — — 23 20% 4 — —
M. Covea M 75 6.30 — — 1 28 23% 1 — —
A. Figueroa M 75 7.20 — — 1 22 17% 2 — —
R. Lezama M 56 6.20 — — 2 11 8% 3 — —
S. Gonzalez F 56 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Adrián Fernández F 40 6.70 — — — 7 3% 2 — —
F. La Mantia D 12 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Juan Uribe F 21 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
L. Reinoso F 21 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Caracas FC?
The final score was Botafogo 1–1 Caracas FC.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Caracas FC?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Botafogo win, 35% to a draw, and 25% to an Caracas FC win.