Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 1
April 10, 2026 00:00
Arthur Cabral
50'
43'
W. Correa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 39% win probability (draw 35%, Caracas FC 25%). The final result was Botafogo 1–1 Caracas FC. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Caracas FC.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
0.21
3
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Bastos
23'
43'
W. Correa⚽
Matheus Martins
/ Arthur Cabral
46'
⚽Arthur Cabral
50'
56'
C. A. Martinez Aponte
/
R. Lezama
56'
A. Fernandez
/
S. Gonzalez
Vitinho
/ M. Ponte
63'
S. Rodriguez
/ J. Barrera
63'
Caio Roque
/ J. Hernandez
70'
75'
L. Reinoso
/
A. Figueroa
75'
J. Uribe
/
M. Covea
Junior Santos
/ K. Barria
80'
84'
F. La Mantia
/
W. Correa
J. Barrera
86'
A. Barboza
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
39.51%
Botafogo
35.36%
X ←
25.14%
Caracas
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
35.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
0.70
-0.22
0.69
0.21
-0.48
Botafogo dominated by xG (0.70 vs 0.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Raul
G
27
Caio Roque
70'
D
Caio Roque
70'
D
20
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
15
Bastos
D
2
Vitinho
63'
D
Vitinho
63'
D
8
Danilo Santos
M
Danilo Santos
M
25
Allan
M
Allan
M
11
Matheus Martins
45'
M
Matheus Martins
45'
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
M
Álvaro Montoro
M
23
S. Rodríguez
63'
M
S. Rodríguez
63'
M
7
Júnior Santos
80'
F
Júnior Santos
80'
F
Bench
19
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
51'
F
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
51'
F
6
C. Medina
M
C. Medina
M
88
Edenílson
M
Edenílson
M
67
J. Hernandez
26'
D
14
Jordan Barrera
33'
M
Jordan Barrera
33'
M
37
K. Barria
16'
F
K. Barria
16'
F
77
L. Villalba
F
L. Villalba
F
4
M. Ponte
33'
D
M. Ponte
33'
D
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
D
Nahuel Ferraresi
D
28
Newton
M
Newton
M
1
G
13
Jesus Yendis
D
Jesus Yendis
D
19
L. Del Pino
D
L. Del Pino
D
4
J. Quintero
D
2
Eduardo Fereira
D
Eduardo Fereira
D
33
W. Correa
1 ⚽
84'
M
15
C. Larotonda
M
10
M. Covea
75'
M
22
Á. Figueroa
75'
M
35
R. Lezama
56'
M
27
S. Gonzalez
56'
F
Bench
9
A. Fernández
40'
F
A. Fernández
40'
F
37
Charly Vegas
F
Charly Vegas
F
14
F. La Mantia
12'
D
F. La Mantia
12'
D
32
J. Uribe
21'
F
17
L. Reinoso
21'
F
3
Luigi Pagano
D
Luigi Pagano
D
20
Luis Maestre
M
Luis Maestre
M
11
Mauricio Márquez
F
Mauricio Márquez
F
7
R. Hernández
F
Best on the pitch
A. Barboza
D · Botafogo
8.50
1 shots
· 100 pass
Arthur Cabral
F · Botafogo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
W. Correa
M · Caracas
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Danilo Santos
M · Botafogo
7.50
1 shots
· 69 pass
Allan
M · Botafogo
7.50
· 83 pass
Á. Figueroa
M · Caracas
7.20
1 shots
· 22 pass
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Caio Roque | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 100 | 92% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bastos | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | D | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 83 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 51 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hernandez | D | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Barria | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Ponte | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Caracas FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Jesus Yendis | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Del Pino | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Quintero | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Fereira | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Correa | M | 84 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Larotonda | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Covea | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Figueroa | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Lezama | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Gonzalez | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Fernández | F | 40 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| F. La Mantia | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Uribe | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Reinoso | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Caracas FC?
The final score was Botafogo 1–1 Caracas FC.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Caracas FC?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Botafogo win, 35% to a draw, and 25% to an Caracas FC win.