Premier League
· Regular Season - 32
April 11, 2026 18:00
I. Thiago
3'
(pen.)
I. Thiago
(ast. M. Kayode)
76'
26'
(ast. I. Gueye)
Beto
90'+1
K. Dewsbury-Hall
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Everton 30%). The final result was Brentford 2–2 Everton. In 1 previous meetings, Brentford have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Everton.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
6
2.40
Actual xG
1.51
4
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
J. Pickford
⚽I. Thiago
(pen.)
3'
26'
ast. I. Gueye ·
Beto⚽
M. Damsgaard
/ R. Nelson
46'
47'
J. Garner
74'
T. Barry
/
Beto
74'
T. George
/
D. McNeil
74'
T. Iroegbunam
/
I. Gueye
⚽I. Thiago
· ast. M. Kayode
76'
90'+1
K. Dewsbury-Hall⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.82%
Brentford
27.89%
X ←
30.29%
Everton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
2.40
+1.01
1.41
1.51
+0.1
Brentford dominated by xG (2.40 vs 1.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. Kelleher
G
23
K. Lewis-Potter
D
22
N. Collins
D
4
S. van den Berg
D
33
M. Kayode
1 👟
D
8
M. Jensen
M
18
Y. Yarmolyuk
M
7
K. Schade
M
24
M. Damsgaard
45'
M
M. Damsgaard
45'
M
19
D. Ouattara
M
9
Thiago
2 ⚽
F
Thiago
2 ⚽
F
Bench
20
K. Ajer
D
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
16
D
32
J. Branthwaite
D
6
James Tarkowski
D
James Tarkowski
D
15
Jake O'Brien
D
Jake O'Brien
D
37
J. Garner
M
J. Garner
M
27
I. Gueye
1 👟
74'
M
10
Iliman Ndiaye
M
Iliman Ndiaye
M
22
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
1 ⚽
M
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
1 ⚽
M
7
Dwight McNeil
74'
M
Dwight McNeil
74'
M
9
Beto
1 ⚽
74'
F
Beto
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
34
Merlin Röhl
M
Merlin Röhl
M
5
Michael Keane
D
Michael Keane
D
23
Séamus Coleman
D
Séamus Coleman
D
11
Thierno Barry
20'
F
Thierno Barry
20'
F
42
Tim Iroegbunam
20'
M
Tim Iroegbunam
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Thiago
F · Brentford
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
M. Jensen
M · Brentford
7.90
1 shots
· 68 pass
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
M · Everton
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
C. Kelleher
G · Brentford
7.20
· 36 pass
K. Schade
M · Brentford
7.00
3 shots
· 16 pass
Beto
F · Everton
6.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| K. Lewis-Potter | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| S. van den Berg | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | — | — | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Thiago | F | 94 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
Everton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Branthwaite | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| James Tarkowski | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Jake O'Brien | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Garner | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Gueye | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Iliman Ndiaye | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | M | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Dwight McNeil | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Beto | F | 74 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Thierno Barry | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tim Iroegbunam | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brentford vs Everton?
The final score was Brentford 2–2 Everton.
What did the model predict before Brentford vs Everton?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Brentford win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an Everton win.