I. Thiago
3'
(pen.)
I. Thiago
(ast. M. Kayode)
76'
26'
(ast. I. Gueye)
Beto
90'+1
K. Dewsbury-Hall
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Everton 30%). The final result was Brentford 2–2 Everton. In 1 previous meetings, Brentford have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Everton.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
6
2.40
Actual xG
1.51
4
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
J. Pickford
⚽I. Thiago
(pen.)
3'
26'
ast. I. Gueye ·
Beto⚽
M. Damsgaard
/ R. Nelson
46'
47'
J. Garner
74'
T. Barry
/
Beto
74'
T. George
/
D. McNeil
74'
T. Iroegbunam
/
I. Gueye
⚽I. Thiago
· ast. M. Kayode
76'
90'+1
K. Dewsbury-Hall⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.82%
Brentford
27.89%
X ←
30.29%
Everton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
2.40
+1.01
1.41
1.51
+0.1
Brentford dominated by xG (2.40 vs 1.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Caoimhin Kelleher
G
Caoimhin Kelleher
G
23
Keane Lewis-Potter
D
Keane Lewis-Potter
D
22
Nathan Collins
D
Nathan Collins
D
4
Sepp van den Berg
D
Sepp van den Berg
D
33
Michael Kayode
1 👟
D
Michael Kayode
1 👟
D
8
Mathias Jensen
M
Mathias Jensen
M
18
Yehor Yarmoliuk
M
Yehor Yarmoliuk
M
7
K. Schade
M
K. Schade
M
24
M. Damsgaard
45'
M
M. Damsgaard
45'
M
19
D. Ouattara
M
D. Ouattara
M
9
Igor Thiago
2 ⚽
F
Igor Thiago
2 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Kristoffer Ajer
D
Kristoffer Ajer
D
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
16
D
32
J. Branthwaite
D
6
James Tarkowski
D
James Tarkowski
D
15
J. O'Brien
D
J. O'Brien
D
37
J. Garner
M
J. Garner
M
27
Idrissa Gana Gueye
1 👟
74'
M
Idrissa Gana Gueye
1 👟
74'
M
10
I. Ndiaye
M
I. Ndiaye
M
22
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
1 ⚽
M
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
1 ⚽
M
7
Dwight McNeil
74'
M
Dwight McNeil
74'
M
9
Beto
1 ⚽
74'
F
Beto
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
34
Merlin Röhl
M
Merlin Röhl
M
5
Michael Keane
D
Michael Keane
D
23
Séamus Coleman
D
Séamus Coleman
D
11
Thierno Barry
20'
F
Thierno Barry
20'
F
42
Tim Iroegbunam
20'
M
Tim Iroegbunam
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Igor Thiago
F · Brentford
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Mathias Jensen
M · Brentford
7.90
1 shots
· 68 pass
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
M · Everton
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Caoimhin Kelleher
G · Brentford
7.20
· 36 pass
K. Schade
M · Brentford
7.00
3 shots
· 16 pass
Beto
F · Everton
6.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Nathan Collins | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Sepp van den Berg | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Michael Kayode | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathias Jensen | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Igor Thiago | F | 94 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
Everton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Branthwaite | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| James Tarkowski | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. O'Brien | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Garner | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Idrissa Gana Gueye | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ndiaye | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | M | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Dwight McNeil | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Beto | F | 74 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Thierno Barry | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tim Iroegbunam | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brentford vs Everton?
The final score was Brentford 2–2 Everton.
What did the model predict before Brentford vs Everton?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Brentford win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an Everton win.