Premier League · Regular Season - 31 March 21, 2026 14:30

Brighton

#7 · 53 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Liverpool

#4 · 59 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Liverpool 30%). The final result was Brighton 2–1 Liverpool. In 2 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Liverpool.

Match statistics

7

Shots on target

5

2.30

Actual xG

1.03

46%

Possession

54%

4

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

41.0%

Brighton ←

28.92%

X

30.08%

Liverpool

we assigned to the actual result (Brighton) 41.0% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Brighton

1.37

2.30

+0.93

Liverpool

1.26

1.03

-0.23

Brighton dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.03). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	36	79
2	Manchester City	36	77
3	Manchester United	36	65
4	Liverpool	36	59
5	Aston Villa	36	59
6	Bournemouth	36	55
7	Brighton	36	53
8	Brentford	36	51
9	Chelsea	36	49
10	Everton	36	49
11	Fulham	36	48
12	Sunderland	36	48
13	Newcastle	36	46
14	Leeds	36	44
15	Crystal Palace	36	44
16	Nottingham Forest	36	43
17	Tottenham	36	38
18	West Ham	36	36
19	Burnley	36	21
20	Wolves	36	18