Premier League · Regular Season - 31 March 21, 2026 13:30 American Express Stadium, Falmer

Brighton

#3 · 16 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Liverpool

#4 · 15 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Liverpool 30%). The final result was Brighton 2–1 Liverpool. In 3 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Liverpool.

Match statistics

7

Shots on target

5

2.30

Actual xG

1.03

46%

Possession

54%

4

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

41.0%

Brighton ←

28.92%

X

30.08%

Liverpool

we assigned to the actual result (Brighton) 41.0% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Brighton

1.37

2.30

+0.93

Liverpool

1.26

1.03

-0.23

Brighton dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.03). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	8	21
2	Arsenal	8	21
3	Brighton	8	16
4	Liverpool	8	15
5	Chelsea	8	13
6	Brentford	8	11
7	Leeds	8	11
8	Newcastle	8	11
9	Aston Villa	8	11
10	Hull City	8	10
11	Everton	8	10
12	Ipswich	8	10
13	Bournemouth	8	9
14	Tottenham	8	9
15	Fulham	8	8
16	Manchester United	8	7
17	Crystal Palace	8	7
18	Nottingham Forest	8	6
19	Coventry	8	6
20	Sunderland	8	5