Premier League
· Regular Season - 36
May 09, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Brighton
J. Hinshelwood
(ast. M. De Cuyper)
1'
L. Dunk
(ast. M. De Cuyper)
5'
Y. Minteh
86'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 75% win probability (draw 14%, Wolves 9%). The final result was Brighton 3–0 Wolves. In 1 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wolves.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
1.46
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
3
73%
Possession
27%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hinshelwood
· ast. M. De Cuyper
1'
⚽L. Dunk
· ast. M. De Cuyper
5'
K. Mitoma
24'
46'
D. M. Wolfe
/
H. Bueno
49'
Hwang Hee-Chan
K. Mitoma
/ J. Veltman
58'
67'
J. Bellegarde
/
M. Mane
67'
R. Gomes
/
Pedro Lima
68'
Andre
D. Welbeck
/ G. Rutter
76'
C. Baleba
/ Y. Ayari
76'
⚽Y. Minteh
86'
M. De Cuyper
/ S. March
88'
J. Hinshelwood
/ C. Kostoulas
89'
89'
A. Gomes
/
Hwang Hee-Chan
89'
T. Arokodare
/
Joao Gomes
Pre-match prediction
75.34%
Brighton ←
14.79%
X
9.87%
Wolves
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton)
75.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.48
1.46
-1.02
0.75
0.42
-0.33
Brighton dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Maxim De Cuyper
2 👟
88'
D
5
L. Dunk
1 ⚽
D
L. Dunk
1 ⚽
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
30
P. Gross
M
17
C. Baleba
76'
M
22
K. Mitoma
58'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
1 ⚽
88'
M
11
Y. Minteh
1 ⚽
M
18
D. Welbeck
76'
F
D. Welbeck
76'
F
Bench
10
G. Rutter
21'
F
34
J. Veltman
39'
D
26
Y. Ayari
21'
M
25
G
24
D
4
S. Bueno
D
15
Y. Mosquera
D
Y. Mosquera
D
3
H. Bueno
45'
M
8
João Gomes
89'
M
João Gomes
89'
M
7
André
M
André
M
17
Pedro Lima
67'
M
36
M. Mane
67'
F
9
A. Armstrong
F
A. Armstrong
F
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
89'
F
Bench
47
A. Gomes
8'
M
27
J. Bellegarde
30'
M
38
J. Tchatchoua
D
37
L. Krejci
D
2
M. Doherty
D
21
R. Gomes
30'
D
14
T. Arokodare
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Maxim De Cuyper
D · Brighton
9.20
2 👟
· 48 pass
L. Dunk
D · Brighton
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 96 pass
J. Hinshelwood
M · Brighton
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Y. Minteh
M · Brighton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
J. van Hecke
D · Brighton
7.20
· 82 pass
M. Mane
F · Wolves
7.00
1 shots
· 3 pass
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 88 | 9.20 | — | 2 | — | 48 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Dunk | D | 97 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 96 | 89% | — | — | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Kadioglu | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Gross | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Mitoma | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Hinshelwood | M | 88 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Y. Minteh | M | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Rutter | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Veltman | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Wolves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 4% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Bueno | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Y. Mosquera | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Bueno | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| João Gomes | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 7 | — | — |
| André | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mane | F | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Armstrong | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-Chan | F | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Bellegarde | M | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Gomes | D | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Wolves?
The final score was Brighton 3–0 Wolves.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Wolves?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Brighton win, 14% to a draw, and 9% to an Wolves win.