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Premier League · Regular Season - 36 May 09, 2026 16:00 American Express Stadium, Falmer
Brighton
#3 · 16 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Wolves
✓Model correct — prediction Brighton
J. Hinshelwood (ast. M. De Cuyper) 1'
L. Dunk (ast. M. De Cuyper) 5'
Y. Minteh 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 75% win probability (draw 14%, Wolves 9%). The final result was Brighton 3–0 Wolves. In 1 previous meetings, Brighton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wolves.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
1.46
Actual xG
0.42
1
Saves
3
73%
Possession
27%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hinshelwood · ast. M. De Cuyper
1'
⚽L. Dunk · ast. M. De Cuyper
5'
K. Mitoma
24'
46'
D. M. Wolfe / H. Bueno ↕
49'
Hwang Hee-Chan
↕ K. Mitoma / J. Veltman
58'
67'
J. Bellegarde / M. Mane ↕
67'
R. Gomes / Pedro Lima ↕
68'
Andre
↕ D. Welbeck / G. Rutter
76'
↕ C. Baleba / Y. Ayari
76'
⚽Y. Minteh
86'
↕ M. De Cuyper / S. March
88'
↕ J. Hinshelwood / C. Kostoulas
89'
89'
A. Gomes / Hwang Hee-Chan ↕
89'
T. Arokodare / Joao Gomes ↕
Pre-match prediction
75.34%
Brighton ←
14.79%
X
9.87%
Wolves
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Brighton) 75.34% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Brighton
2.48
1.46
-1.02
Wolves
0.75
0.42
-0.33
Brighton dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Brighton Brighton 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.60
29 M. De Cuyper M. De Cuyper 2 👟 88' D 9.20
5 L. Dunk L. Dunk 1 ⚽ D 8.30
6 J. van Hecke J. van Hecke D 7.20
24 F. Kadıoğlu F. Kadıoğlu D 6.90
30 P. Groß P. Groß M 6.90
17 C. Baleba C. Baleba 76' M 6.90
22
K. Mitoma 58' M 6.70
13 J. Hinshelwood J. Hinshelwood 1 ⚽ 88' M 8.00
11 Y. Minteh Y. Minteh 1 ⚽ M 7.90
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck 76' F 6.90
Bench
10 G. Rutter G. Rutter 21' F 6.30
34 J. Veltman J. Veltman 39' D 6.60
26 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari 21' M 6.30
Wolves Wolves 3-4-2-1
25
G 6.90
24
D 6.20
4 S. Bueno S. Bueno D 5.90
15 Y. Mosquera Y. Mosquera D 6.30
3 Hugo Bueno Hugo Bueno 45' M 6.20
8 João Gomes João Gomes 89' M 6.90
7 André André M 6.20
17 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima 67' M 6.20
36 M. Mane M. Mane 67' F 7.00
9 A. Armstrong A. Armstrong F 6.20
11 Hwang Hee-Chan Hwang Hee-Chan 89' F 5.90
Bench
47 A. Gomes A. Gomes 8' M 6.30
27 J. Bellegarde J. Bellegarde 30' M 7.00
38 J. Tchatchoua J. Tchatchoua D
37 L. Krejčí L. Krejčí D
2 M. Doherty M. Doherty D
21 Rodrigo Gomes Rodrigo Gomes 30' D 6.00
14 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare 8' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
M. De Cuyper
M. De Cuyper
D · Brighton
9.20
2 👟
· 48 pass
L. Dunk
L. Dunk
D · Brighton
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 96 pass
J. Hinshelwood
J. Hinshelwood
M · Brighton
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Y. Minteh
Y. Minteh
M · Brighton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
J. van Hecke
J. van Hecke
D · Brighton
7.20
· 82 pass
M. Mane
M. Mane
F · Wolves
7.00
1 shots · 3 pass
Brighton Brighton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.60 — — — 38 27% — — —
M. De Cuyper D 88 9.20 — 2 — 48 47% 1 — —
L. Dunk D 97 8.30 1 — 3 96 89% — — —
J. van Hecke D 97 7.20 — — — 82 78% 1 — —
F. Kadıoğlu D 97 6.90 — — — 50 42% 1 — —
P. Groß M 97 6.90 — — 1 69 61% 2 — —
C. Baleba M 76 6.90 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
K. Mitoma M 58 6.70 — — 1 18 14% 1 1 —
J. Hinshelwood M 88 8.00 1 — 1 23 18% — — —
Y. Minteh M 97 7.90 1 — 1 29 23% 2 — —
D. Welbeck F 76 6.90 — — 2 13 8% 3 — —
G. Rutter F 21 6.30 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
J. Veltman D 39 6.60 — — — 16 15% — — —
Y. Ayari M 21 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Wolves Wolves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.90 — — — 24 4% — — —
D 97 6.20 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
S. Bueno D 97 5.90 — — — 20 14% — — —
Y. Mosquera D 97 6.30 — — 1 22 16% 4 — —
Hugo Bueno M 45 6.20 — — — 9 5% 1 — —
João Gomes M 89 6.90 — — — 25 22% 7 — —
André M 97 6.20 — — — 19 17% 1 1 —
Pedro Lima M 67 6.20 — — — 5 2% 1 — —
M. Mane F 67 7.00 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
A. Armstrong F 97 6.20 — — — 8 5% — — —
Hwang Hee-Chan F 89 5.90 — — 1 11 6% — 1 —
A. Gomes M 8 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Bellegarde M 30 7.00 — — — 9 7% — — —
Rodrigo Gomes D 30 6.00 — — — 8 2% — — —
T. Arokodare F 8 6.50 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Brighton vs Wolves?
The final score was Brighton 3–0 Wolves.
What did the model predict before Brighton vs Wolves?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Brighton win, 14% to a draw, and 9% to an Wolves win.