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Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30
Bristol City
#12 · 62 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Stoke City
#17 · 55 pts
D. Burgzorg 1'
S. Bell (ast. R. Dickie) 88'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Stoke City 30%). The final result was Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City. In 1 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stoke City.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
2
1.77
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
15
16
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Burgzorg
1'
35'
B. Pearson
46'
T. Seko / B. Pearson ↕
59'
S. Gallagher / L. Cisse ↕
59'
J. Rak-Sakyi / J. Bae ↕
60'
J. Tchamadeu
R. McCrorie
63'
71'
S. Agina / J. Tchamadeu ↕
↕ S. Morsy / M. Sykes
74'
↕ T. Horvat / S. Bell
81'
↕ D. Burgzorg / E. Riis
84'
87'
M. Smit / M. Manhoef ↕
⚽S. Bell · ast. R. Dickie
88'
90'+5
J. Rak-Sakyi
Pre-match prediction
43.58%
Bristol ←
25.87%
X
30.55%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Bristol City) 43.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bristol
1.35
1.77
+0.42
Stoke
1.22
0.86
-0.36
Bristol City dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
23
G 7.90
21
D 7.90
16
R. Dickie 1 👟 D 7.70
38
N. Eile D 7.50
2
R. McCrorie D 7.00
40
S. Morsy 74' M 6.60
4
M 7.00
10 S. Twine S. Twine M 6.90
14 T. Horvat T. Horvat 81' M 7.50
12
M 6.70
11
D. Burgzorg 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.50
Bench
18
E. Riis 12' F 6.20
17
Mark Sykes 22' M 6.60
20
S. Bell 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.90
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
17
E. Bocat D 6.70
23
B. Gibson D 6.30
26
A. Phillips D 6.30
22 J. Tchamadeu J. Tchamadeu 71' D 6.20
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson 45' M 6.30
15
S. N'Zonzi M 7.30
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas M 6.20
10
J. Bae 59' M 6.30
42
M. Manhoef 87' M 6.00
29
L. Cisse 59' F 6.70
Bench
3
A. Cresswell D
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 37' F 6.60
8
L. Baker M
11
R. Bozenik F
50
S. Agina 25' M 6.30
20
S. Gallagher 37' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
G · Bristol
7.90
· 37 pass
D · Bristol
7.90
· 36 pass
R. Dickie
D · Bristol
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 58 pass
N. Eile
D · Bristol
7.50
· 49 pass
D. Burgzorg
F · Bristol
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
T. Horvat
T. Horvat
M · Bristol
7.50
2 shots · 29 pass
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.90 — — — 37 22% — — —
D 96 7.90 — — — 36 30% 5 — —
R. Dickie D 96 7.70 — 1 2 58 54% 1 — —
N. Eile D 96 7.50 — — — 49 43% 1 — —
R. McCrorie D 96 7.00 — — — 30 22% 3 1 —
S. Morsy M 74 6.60 — — — 45 42% 2 — —
M 96 7.00 — — 2 42 34% 1 — —
S. Twine M 96 6.90 — — 4 29 19% — — —
T. Horvat M 81 7.50 — — 2 29 23% 1 — —
M 96 6.70 — — — 29 19% 2 — —
D. Burgzorg F 84 7.50 1 — 1 11 10% — — —
E. Riis F 12 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Mark Sykes M 22 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
S. Bell F 15 6.90 1 — 1 — — — — —
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.30 — — — 39 33% — — —
E. Bocat D 96 6.70 — — 2 35 29% 1 — —
B. Gibson D 96 6.30 — — — 72 63% 1 — —
A. Phillips D 96 6.30 — — — 47 44% 1 — —
J. Tchamadeu D 71 6.20 — — 1 32 25% 1 1 —
B. Pearson M 45 6.30 — — 1 30 27% 2 1 —
S. N'Zonzi M 96 7.30 — — 1 68 63% 1 — —
S. Thomas M 96 6.20 — — 1 24 20% — — —
J. Bae M 59 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
M. Manhoef M 87 6.00 — — 1 29 25% — — —
L. Cisse F 59 6.70 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi F 37 6.60 — — — 10 8% — 1 —
S. Agina M 25 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
S. Gallagher F 37 6.50 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The final score was Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bristol City win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an Stoke City win.