D. Burgzorg
1'
S. Bell
(ast. R. Dickie)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Stoke City 30%). The final result was Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City. In 1 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stoke City.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
2
1.77
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
15
16
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Burgzorg
1'
35'
B. Pearson
46'
T. Seko
/
B. Pearson
59'
S. Gallagher
/
L. Cisse
59'
J. Rak-Sakyi
/
J. Bae
60'
J. Tchamadeu
R. McCrorie
63'
71'
S. Agina
/
J. Tchamadeu
S. Morsy
/ M. Sykes
74'
T. Horvat
/ S. Bell
81'
D. Burgzorg
/ E. Riis
84'
87'
M. Smit
/
M. Manhoef
⚽S. Bell
· ast. R. Dickie
88'
90'+5
J. Rak-Sakyi
Pre-match prediction
43.58%
Bristol ←
25.87%
X
30.55%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Bristol City)
43.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
1.77
+0.42
1.22
0.86
-0.36
Bristol City dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
G
21
D
16
Rob Dickie
1 👟
D
Rob Dickie
1 👟
D
38
Noah Eile
D
Noah Eile
D
2
R. McCrorie
D
R. McCrorie
D
40
S. Morsy
74'
M
4
M
10
Scott Twine
M
Scott Twine
M
14
T. Horvat
81'
M
T. Horvat
81'
M
12
M
11
D. Burgzorg
1 ⚽
84'
F
D. Burgzorg
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
18
E. Riis
12'
F
E. Riis
12'
F
17
Mark Sykes
22'
M
Mark Sykes
22'
M
20
S. Bell
1 ⚽
15'
F
1
G
17
Eric Bocat
D
Eric Bocat
D
23
Ben Gibson
D
Ben Gibson
D
26
A. Phillips
D
22
J. Tchamadeu
71'
D
J. Tchamadeu
71'
D
4
Ben Pearson
45'
M
Ben Pearson
45'
M
15
S. N'Zonzi
M
7
S. Thomas
M
S. Thomas
M
10
Bae Jun-Ho
59'
M
Bae Jun-Ho
59'
M
42
Million Manhoef
87'
M
Million Manhoef
87'
M
29
Lamine Cissé
59'
F
Lamine Cissé
59'
F
Bench
3
A. Cresswell
D
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
37'
F
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
37'
F
8
L. Baker
M
11
Róbert Boženík
F
Róbert Boženík
F
20
Sam Gallagher
37'
F
Sam Gallagher
37'
F
50
Sydney Agina
25'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Bristol
7.90
· 37 pass
D · Bristol
7.90
· 36 pass
Rob Dickie
D · Bristol
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 58 pass
D. Burgzorg
F · Bristol
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
T. Horvat
M · Bristol
7.50
2 shots
· 29 pass
Noah Eile
D · Bristol
7.50
· 49 pass
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 5 | — | — | |
| Rob Dickie | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Eile | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Morsy | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Scott Twine | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| T. Horvat | M | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Burgzorg | F | 84 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. Riis | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Bell | F | 15 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Eric Bocat | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Gibson | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tchamadeu | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ben Pearson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. N'Zonzi | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Bae Jun-Ho | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Million Manhoef | M | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Lamine Cissé | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Sam Gallagher | F | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Sydney Agina | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The final score was Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bristol City win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an Stoke City win.