D. Burgzorg
1'
S. Bell
(ast. R. Dickie)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol City a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Stoke City 30%). The final result was Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City. In 1 previous meetings, Bristol City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stoke City.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
2
1.77
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
15
16
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Burgzorg
1'
35'
B. Pearson
46'
T. Seko
/
B. Pearson
59'
S. Gallagher
/
L. Cisse
59'
J. Rak-Sakyi
/
J. Bae
60'
J. Tchamadeu
R. McCrorie
63'
71'
S. Agina
/
J. Tchamadeu
S. Morsy
/ M. Sykes
74'
T. Horvat
/ S. Bell
81'
D. Burgzorg
/ E. Riis
84'
87'
M. Smit
/
M. Manhoef
⚽S. Bell
· ast. R. Dickie
88'
90'+5
J. Rak-Sakyi
Pre-match prediction
43.58%
Bristol ←
25.87%
X
30.55%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Bristol City)
43.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
1.77
+0.42
1.22
0.86
-0.36
Bristol City dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
G
21
D
16
R. Dickie
1 👟
D
38
N. Eile
D
2
R. McCrorie
D
40
S. Morsy
74'
M
4
M
10
S. Twine
M
S. Twine
M
14
T. Horvat
81'
M
T. Horvat
81'
M
12
M
11
D. Burgzorg
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
18
E. Riis
12'
F
E. Riis
12'
F
17
Mark Sykes
22'
M
20
S. Bell
1 ⚽
15'
F
1
G
17
E. Bocat
D
23
B. Gibson
D
26
A. Phillips
D
22
J. Tchamadeu
71'
D
J. Tchamadeu
71'
D
4
B. Pearson
45'
M
B. Pearson
45'
M
15
S. N'Zonzi
M
7
S. Thomas
M
S. Thomas
M
10
Jun-Ho Bae
59'
M
Jun-Ho Bae
59'
M
42
M. Manhoef
87'
M
29
L. Cisse
59'
F
Bench
3
A. Cresswell
D
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
37'
F
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
37'
F
8
L. Baker
M
11
Róbert Boženík
F
20
S. Gallagher
37'
F
50
Sydney Agina
25'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Bristol
7.90
· 37 pass
D · Bristol
7.90
· 36 pass
R. Dickie
D · Bristol
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 58 pass
D. Burgzorg
F · Bristol
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
T. Horvat
M · Bristol
7.50
2 shots
· 29 pass
N. Eile
D · Bristol
7.50
· 49 pass
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 5 | — | — | |
| R. Dickie | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Eile | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Morsy | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Twine | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| T. Horvat | M | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Burgzorg | F | 84 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. Riis | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Bell | F | 15 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| E. Bocat | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gibson | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tchamadeu | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Pearson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. N'Zonzi | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jun-Ho Bae | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Manhoef | M | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| L. Cisse | F | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Gallagher | F | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Sydney Agina | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The final score was Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Bristol City vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bristol City win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an Stoke City win.