League Two · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 13:30

Bristol Rovers

#14 · 62 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Crawley Town

#22 · 40 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bristol Rovers

E. Harrison (ast. K. Balmer) 26'

M. Rijks (ast. J. Senior) 30'

Y. Akhamrich (ast. R. Smallwood) 90'+6

80' (ast. L. Copley) L. Watson

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol Rovers a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Crawley Town 16%). The final result was Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town. In 1 previous meetings, Bristol Rovers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crawley Town.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

7

2

Shots on target

2

1

Saves

0

44%

Possession

56%

3

Corners

2

15

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽E. Harrison · ast. K. Balmer

26'

⚽M. Rijks · ast. J. Senior

30'

33'

D. Pereira / K. Gordon ↕

R. Harbottle

40'

↕ R. Harbottle / T. Lockyer

46'

59'

K. Lolos / A. Adeyemo ↕

71'

L. Watson / L. Richards ↕

71'

J. Russell / T. Adeyemo ↕

↕ E. Harrison / J. Quigley

77'

80'

ast. L. Copley · L. Watson⚽

↕ S. Forde / Y. Akhamrich

86'

↕ M. Rijks / F. Cavegn

86'

T. Lockyer

88'

⚽Y. Akhamrich · ast. R. Smallwood

90'+6

T. Leigh

90'+8

90'+8

K. Lolos

Pre-match prediction

59.57%

Bristol ←

23.89%

X

16.53%

Crawley

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bristol Rovers) 59.57% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bristol

1.70

—

—

Crawley

0.82

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bromley	46	87
2	Milton Keynes Dons	46	86
3	Cambridge United	46	82
4	Salford City	46	81
5	Notts County	46	80
6	Chesterfield	46	79
7	Grimsby	46	78
8	Barnet	46	76
9	Swindon Town	46	75
10	Oldham	46	68
11	Crewe	46	67
12	Colchester	46	66
13	Walsall	46	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	62
15	Fleetwood Town	46	61
16	Accrington ST	46	53
17	Gillingham	46	53
18	Cheltenham	46	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	49
20	Newport County	46	43
21	Tranmere	46	41
22	Crawley Town	46	40
23	Harrogate Town	46	39
24	Barrow	46	36

Lineups

Bristol Rovers 3-4-1-2

13

Brad Young 83' G 6.60

26

R. Harbottle 45' D 6.50

5

A. Kilgour 83' D 6.90

17

K. Balmer 1 👟 83' D 7.20

3

83' M 6.50

24

T. Leigh 83' M 7.00

36

1 👟 83' M 6.60

2

1 👟 83' M 6.90

7

S. Forde 83' F 6.50

19

E. Harrison 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.70

35

M. Rijks 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.60

Bench

29

F. Cavegn F

27

J. Quigley 6' F

15

R. De Havilland M

12

T. Lockyer 38' D 6.20

10

Y. Akhamrich 1 ⚽ F

Crawley Town 4-4-2

35

83' G 6.60

12

Lewis Richards 71' D 5.90

2

S. Malone 83' D 6.50

5

83' D 6.90

41

K. Gordon 33' D 6.20

7

Harry Forster 83' M 6.50

30

L. Copley 1 👟 83' M 7.20

26

Jay Williams 83' M 6.60

22

A. Adeyemo 59' M 6.90

13

Harry McKirdy 83' F 6.70

38

T. Adeyemo 71' F 6.90

Bench

44

K. Lolos 24' M 6.20

27

L. Watson 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.30

Best on the pitch

E. Harrison

F · Bristol

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

M. Rijks

F · Bristol

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 12 pass

L. Watson

M · Crawley

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

K. Balmer

D · Bristol

7.20

1 👟

· 30 pass

L. Copley

M · Crawley

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

T. Leigh

M · Bristol

7.00

· 31 pass

Bristol Rovers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Brad Young	G	83	6.60	—	—	—	25	12%	—	—	—
R. Harbottle	D	45	6.50	—	—	1	20	15%	1	1	—
A. Kilgour	D	83	6.90	—	—	—	31	25%	1	—	—
K. Balmer	D	83	7.20	—	1	—	30	20%	2	—	—
	M	83	6.50	—	—	—	18	13%	1	—	—
T. Leigh	M	83	7.00	—	—	—	31	25%	2	—	—
	M	83	6.60	—	1	—	30	18%	1	—	—
	M	83	6.90	—	1	—	15	11%	3	—	—
S. Forde	F	83	6.50	—	—	2	18	12%	2	—	—
E. Harrison	F	77	7.70	1	—	3	17	9%	1	—	—
M. Rijks	F	83	7.60	1	—	2	12	8%	1	—	—
J. Quigley	F	6	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
T. Lockyer	D	38	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—

Crawley Town — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	83	6.60	—	—	—	45	30%	—	—	—
Lewis Richards	D	71	5.90	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
S. Malone	D	83	6.50	—	—	—	40	29%	1	—	—
	D	83	6.90	—	—	—	67	53%	1	—	—
K. Gordon	D	33	6.20	—	—	—	15	8%	—	—	—
Harry Forster	M	83	6.50	—	—	1	20	15%	1	—	—
L. Copley	M	83	7.20	—	1	1	34	23%	2	—	—
Jay Williams	M	83	6.60	—	—	1	36	27%	—	—	—
A. Adeyemo	M	59	6.90	—	—	1	15	11%	3	—	—
Harry McKirdy	F	83	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
T. Adeyemo	F	71	6.90	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
K. Lolos	M	24	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
L. Watson	M	12	7.30	1	—	1	3	3%	—	—	—