League Two · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 13:30

Bristol Rovers

#3 · 0 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Crawley Town

#19 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bristol Rovers

E. Harrison (ast. K. Balmer) 26'

M. Rijks (ast. J. Senior) 30'

Y. Akhamrich (ast. R. Smallwood) 90'+6

80' (ast. L. Copley) L. Watson

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol Rovers a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Crawley Town 16%). The final result was Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town. In 1 previous meetings, Bristol Rovers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crawley Town.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

7

2

Shots on target

2

1

Saves

0

44%

Possession

56%

3

Corners

2

15

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽E. Harrison · ast. K. Balmer

26'

⚽M. Rijks · ast. J. Senior

30'

33'

D. Pereira / K. Gordon ↕

R. Harbottle

40'

↕ R. Harbottle / T. Lockyer

46'

59'

K. Lolos / A. Adeyemo ↕

71'

L. Watson / L. Richards ↕

71'

J. Russell / T. Adeyemo ↕

↕ E. Harrison / J. Quigley

77'

80'

ast. L. Copley · L. Watson⚽

↕ S. Forde / Y. Akhamrich

86'

↕ M. Rijks / F. Cavegn

86'

T. Lockyer

88'

⚽Y. Akhamrich · ast. R. Smallwood

90'+6

T. Leigh

90'+8

90'+8

K. Lolos

Pre-match prediction

59.57%

Bristol ←

23.89%

X

16.53%

Crawley

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bristol Rovers) 59.57% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bristol

1.70

—

—

Crawley

0.82

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rochdale	0	0
2	Colchester	0	0
3	Bristol Rovers	0	0
4	Cheltenham	0	0
5	Crewe	0	0
6	Gillingham	0	0
7	Northampton	0	0
8	Oldham	0	0
9	Port Vale	0	0
10	Swindon Town	0	0
11	Tranmere	0	0
12	Walsall	0	0
13	Accrington ST	0	0
14	Barnet	0	0
15	Chesterfield	0	0
16	Grimsby	0	0
17	Rotherham	0	0
18	Shrewsbury	0	0
19	Crawley Town	0	0
20	Exeter City	0	0
21	York	0	0
22	Newport County	0	0
23	Fleetwood Town	0	0
24	Salford City	0	0

Lineups

Bristol Rovers 3-4-1-2

13

Brad Young 83' G 6.60

26

R. Harbottle 45' D 6.50

5

A. Kilgour 83' D 6.90

17

K. Balmer 1 👟 83' D 7.20

3

83' M 6.50

24

T. Leigh 83' M 7.00

36

1 👟 83' M 6.60

2

1 👟 83' M 6.90

7

S. Forde 83' F 6.50

19 E. Harrison 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.70

35

M. Rijks 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.60

Bench

29 F. Cavegn F

27

J. Quigley 6' F

15

R. De Havilland M

12

T. Lockyer 38' D 6.20

10

Y. Akhamrich 1 ⚽ F

Crawley Town 4-4-2

35

83' G 6.60

12

Lewis Richards 71' D 5.90

2

S. Malone 83' D 6.50

5

83' D 6.90

41

K. Gordon 33' D 6.20

7

Harry Forster 83' M 6.50

30

L. Copley 1 👟 83' M 7.20

26 J. Williams 83' M 6.60

22

A. Adeyemo 59' M 6.90

13

Harry McKirdy 83' F 6.70

38

T. Adeyemo 71' F 6.90

Bench

44

K. Lolos 24' M 6.20

27

L. Watson 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.30

Best on the pitch

E. Harrison

F · Bristol

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

M. Rijks

F · Bristol

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 12 pass

L. Watson

M · Crawley

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

K. Balmer

D · Bristol

7.20

1 👟

· 30 pass

L. Copley

M · Crawley

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

T. Leigh

M · Bristol

7.00

· 31 pass

Bristol Rovers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Brad Young	G	83	6.60	—	—	—	25	12%	—	—	—
R. Harbottle	D	45	6.50	—	—	1	20	15%	1	1	—
A. Kilgour	D	83	6.90	—	—	—	31	25%	1	—	—
K. Balmer	D	83	7.20	—	1	—	30	20%	2	—	—
	M	83	6.50	—	—	—	18	13%	1	—	—
T. Leigh	M	83	7.00	—	—	—	31	25%	2	—	—
	M	83	6.60	—	1	—	30	18%	1	—	—
	M	83	6.90	—	1	—	15	11%	3	—	—
S. Forde	F	83	6.50	—	—	2	18	12%	2	—	—
E. Harrison	F	77	7.70	1	—	3	17	9%	1	—	—
M. Rijks	F	83	7.60	1	—	2	12	8%	1	—	—
J. Quigley	F	6	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
T. Lockyer	D	38	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—

Crawley Town — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	83	6.60	—	—	—	45	30%	—	—	—
Lewis Richards	D	71	5.90	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
S. Malone	D	83	6.50	—	—	—	40	29%	1	—	—
	D	83	6.90	—	—	—	67	53%	1	—	—
K. Gordon	D	33	6.20	—	—	—	15	8%	—	—	—
Harry Forster	M	83	6.50	—	—	1	20	15%	1	—	—
L. Copley	M	83	7.20	—	1	1	34	23%	2	—	—
J. Williams	M	83	6.60	—	—	1	36	27%	—	—	—
A. Adeyemo	M	59	6.90	—	—	1	15	11%	3	—	—
Harry McKirdy	F	83	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
T. Adeyemo	F	71	6.90	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
K. Lolos	M	24	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
L. Watson	M	12	7.30	1	—	1	3	3%	—	—	—