League Two
· Regular Season - 43
April 11, 2026 13:30
✓Model correct — prediction Bristol Rovers
E. Harrison
(ast. K. Balmer)
26'
M. Rijks
(ast. J. Senior)
30'
Y. Akhamrich
(ast. R. Smallwood)
90'+6
80'
(ast. L. Copley)
L. Watson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol Rovers a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Crawley Town 16%). The final result was Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town. In 1 previous meetings, Bristol Rovers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crawley Town.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
0
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
2
15
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽E. Harrison
· ast. K. Balmer
26'
⚽M. Rijks
· ast. J. Senior
30'
33'
D. Pereira
/
K. Gordon
R. Harbottle
40'
R. Harbottle
/ T. Lockyer
46'
59'
K. Lolos
/
A. Adeyemo
71'
L. Watson
/
L. Richards
71'
J. Russell
/
T. Adeyemo
E. Harrison
/ J. Quigley
77'
80'
ast. L. Copley ·
L. Watson⚽
S. Forde
/ Y. Akhamrich
86'
M. Rijks
/ F. Cavegn
86'
T. Lockyer
88'
⚽Y. Akhamrich
· ast. R. Smallwood
90'+6
T. Leigh
90'+8
90'+8
K. Lolos
Pre-match prediction
59.57%
Bristol ←
23.89%
X
16.53%
Crawley
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bristol Rovers)
59.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
—
—
0.82
—
—
Lineups
13
Brad Young
83'
G
Brad Young
83'
G
26
Riley Harbottle
45'
D
Riley Harbottle
45'
D
5
A. Kilgour
83'
D
17
Kofi Balmer
1 👟
83'
D
Kofi Balmer
1 👟
83'
D
3
83'
M
24
Tommy Leigh
83'
M
Tommy Leigh
83'
M
36
1 👟
83'
M
2
1 👟
83'
M
7
Shaqai Forde
83'
F
Shaqai Forde
83'
F
19
E. Harrison
1 ⚽
77'
F
E. Harrison
1 ⚽
77'
F
35
Mees Rijks
1 ⚽
83'
F
Mees Rijks
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
29
Fabrizio Cavegn
F
Fabrizio Cavegn
F
27
Joe Quigley
6'
F
Joe Quigley
6'
F
15
R. De Havilland
M
12
T. Lockyer
38'
D
10
Yusuf Akhamrich
1 ⚽
F
Yusuf Akhamrich
1 ⚽
F
35
83'
G
12
Lewis Richards
71'
D
2
S. Malone
83'
D
5
83'
D
41
K. Gordon
33'
D
K. Gordon
33'
D
7
Harry Forster
83'
M
30
L. Copley
1 👟
83'
M
26
Jay Williams
83'
M
Jay Williams
83'
M
22
Ade Adeyemo
59'
M
Ade Adeyemo
59'
M
13
Harry McKirdy
83'
F
38
T. Adeyemo
71'
F
Bench
44
K. Lolos
24'
M
27
Louie Watson
1 ⚽
12'
M
Louie Watson
1 ⚽
12'
M
Best on the pitch
E. Harrison
F · Bristol
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Mees Rijks
F · Bristol
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Louie Watson
M · Crawley
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Kofi Balmer
D · Bristol
7.20
1 👟
· 30 pass
L. Copley
M · Crawley
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 34 pass
Tommy Leigh
M · Bristol
7.00
· 31 pass
Bristol Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Young | G | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Riley Harbottle | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Kilgour | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kofi Balmer | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — | |
| Tommy Leigh | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 83 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 83 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — | |
| Shaqai Forde | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Harrison | F | 77 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mees Rijks | F | 83 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Quigley | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Lockyer | D | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Crawley Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Lewis Richards | D | 71 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Malone | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 53% | 1 | — | — | |
| K. Gordon | D | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Harry Forster | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Copley | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Jay Williams | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ade Adeyemo | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Harry McKirdy | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Adeyemo | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Lolos | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Louie Watson | M | 12 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town?
The final score was Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town.
What did the model predict before Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Bristol Rovers win, 23% to a draw, and 16% to an Crawley Town win.