League Two · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 13:30

Bristol Rovers

#5 · 15 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Crawley Town

#24 · 4 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bristol Rovers

E. Harrison (ast. K. Balmer) 26'

M. Rijks (ast. J. Senior) 30'

Y. Akhamrich (ast. R. Smallwood) 90'+6

80' (ast. L. Copley) L. Watson

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bristol Rovers a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Crawley Town 16%). The final result was Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town. In 2 previous meetings, Bristol Rovers have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crawley Town.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

7

2

Shots on target

2

1

Saves

0

44%

Possession

56%

3

Corners

2

15

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽E. Harrison · ast. K. Balmer

26'

⚽M. Rijks · ast. J. Senior

30'

33'

D. Pereira / K. Gordon ↕

R. Harbottle

40'

↕ R. Harbottle / T. Lockyer

46'

59'

K. Lolos / A. Adeyemo ↕

71'

L. Watson / L. Richards ↕

71'

J. Russell / T. Adeyemo ↕

↕ E. Harrison / J. Quigley

77'

80'

ast. L. Copley · L. Watson⚽

↕ S. Forde / Y. Akhamrich

86'

↕ M. Rijks / F. Cavegn

86'

T. Lockyer

88'

⚽Y. Akhamrich · ast. R. Smallwood

90'+6

T. Leigh

90'+8

90'+8

K. Lolos

Pre-match prediction

59.57%

Bristol ←

23.89%

X

16.53%

Crawley

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bristol Rovers) 59.57% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bristol

1.70

—

—

Crawley

0.82

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Salford City	9	16
2	Barnet	7	15
3	Crewe	9	15
4	Cheltenham	9	15
5	Bristol Rovers	9	15
6	York	8	14
7	Walsall	8	14
8	Chesterfield	9	14
9	Grimsby	9	13
10	Gillingham	9	13
11	Rochdale	9	13
12	Tranmere	9	11
13	Swindon Town	9	11
14	Shrewsbury	9	11
15	Newport County	9	10
16	Accrington ST	9	10
17	Rotherham	9	10
18	Fleetwood Town	9	10
19	Colchester	8	10
20	Exeter City	9	9
21	Oldham	8	7
22	Northampton	7	6
23	Port Vale	7	5
24	Crawley Town	7	4

Lineups

Bristol Rovers 3-4-1-2

13 Brad Young 83' G 6.60

26 Riley Harbottle 45' D 6.50

5

A. Kilgour 83' D 6.90

17 K. Balmer 1 👟 83' D 7.20

3

83' M 6.50

24 T. Leigh 83' M 7.00

36

1 👟 83' M 6.60

2

1 👟 83' M 6.90

7 Shaqai Forde 83' F 6.50

19 E. Harrison 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.70

35 Mees Rijks 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.60

Bench

29 F. Cavegn F

27 Joe Quigley 6' F

15

R. De Havilland M

12

T. Lockyer 38' D 6.20

10 Y. Akhamrich 1 ⚽ F

Crawley Town 4-4-2

35

83' G 6.60

12

Lewis Richards 71' D 5.90

2

S. Malone 83' D 6.50

5

83' D 6.90

41 K. Gordon 33' D 6.20

7

Harry Forster 83' M 6.50

30

L. Copley 1 👟 83' M 7.20

26 Jay Williams 83' M 6.60

22 Ade Adeyemo 59' M 6.90

13

Harry McKirdy 83' F 6.70

38

T. Adeyemo 71' F 6.90

Bench

44

K. Lolos 24' M 6.20

27 L. Watson 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.30

Best on the pitch

E. Harrison

F · Bristol

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

Mees Rijks

F · Bristol

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 12 pass

L. Watson

M · Crawley

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

K. Balmer

D · Bristol

7.20

1 👟

· 30 pass

L. Copley

M · Crawley

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

T. Leigh

M · Bristol

7.00

· 31 pass

Bristol Rovers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Brad Young	G	83	6.60	—	—	—	25	12%	—	—	—
Riley Harbottle	D	45	6.50	—	—	1	20	15%	1	1	—
A. Kilgour	D	83	6.90	—	—	—	31	25%	1	—	—
K. Balmer	D	83	7.20	—	1	—	30	20%	2	—	—
	M	83	6.50	—	—	—	18	13%	1	—	—
T. Leigh	M	83	7.00	—	—	—	31	25%	2	—	—
	M	83	6.60	—	1	—	30	18%	1	—	—
	M	83	6.90	—	1	—	15	11%	3	—	—
Shaqai Forde	F	83	6.50	—	—	2	18	12%	2	—	—
E. Harrison	F	77	7.70	1	—	3	17	9%	1	—	—
Mees Rijks	F	83	7.60	1	—	2	12	8%	1	—	—
Joe Quigley	F	6	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
T. Lockyer	D	38	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—

Crawley Town — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	83	6.60	—	—	—	45	30%	—	—	—
Lewis Richards	D	71	5.90	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
S. Malone	D	83	6.50	—	—	—	40	29%	1	—	—
	D	83	6.90	—	—	—	67	53%	1	—	—
K. Gordon	D	33	6.20	—	—	—	15	8%	—	—	—
Harry Forster	M	83	6.50	—	—	1	20	15%	1	—	—
L. Copley	M	83	7.20	—	1	1	34	23%	2	—	—
Jay Williams	M	83	6.60	—	—	1	36	27%	—	—	—
Ade Adeyemo	M	59	6.90	—	—	1	15	11%	3	—	—
Harry McKirdy	F	83	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
T. Adeyemo	F	71	6.90	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
K. Lolos	M	24	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
L. Watson	M	12	7.30	1	—	1	3	3%	—	—	—