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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 18 April 25, 2026 21:00
#13 · 23 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#16 · 18 pts
B. Caicedo (ast. A. Gutierrez) 22'
E. Batalla (ast. F. Sambueza) 56'
18' (ast. A. Renteria) W. De La Rosa
90'+1 (ast. R. Bustamante) D. Rodriguez Urango

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bucaramanga a 52% win probability (draw 29%, Jaguares 17%). The final result was Bucaramanga 2–2 Jaguares.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.35
2
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
0
12
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
ast. A. Renteria · W. De La Rosa
B. Caicedo · ast. A. Gutierrez
22'
42'
S. Cubides
F. Hinestroza
46'
E. Batalla · ast. F. Sambueza
56'
60'
J. Lovera
61'
J. Hinestroza / F. Mosquera
61'
D. Lopez / S. Cubides
F. Sambueza
65'
B. Caicedo / G. Medina
70'
A. Zarate / G. Charrupi
80'
86'
Jopito / J. Lovera
K. Londono / I. Alba
86'
86'
D. Rodriguez Urango / W. De La Rosa
F. Hinestroza / J. Garcia
86'
E. Batalla / J. Mosquera
86'
90'+1
B. Angulo Castro / Y. Mosquera
90'+1
ast. R. Bustamante · D. Rodriguez Urango
Pre-match prediction
52.84%
Bucaramanga
29.73%
X ←
17.43%
Jaguares
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.73% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bucaramanga
1.48
1.27
-0.21
Jaguares
0.76
0.35
-0.41
Bucaramanga dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 4-2-3-1
12
88' G 6.70
8 F. Hinestroza F. Hinestroza 86' D 6.90
2
88' D 6.50
3
88' D 6.60
19
A. Gutierrez 1 👟 88' D 7.20
20
Aldair Zárate 80' M 7.90
21
F. Charrupi 88' M 7.30
7
K. Londono 86' M 6.50
10 F. Sambueza F. Sambueza 1 👟 88' M 7.20
15
E. Batalla 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.90
9
B. Caicedo 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.90
Bench
6
G. Charrupi 8' F 6.30
4
J. Garcia 2' D
14
J. Mosquera 2' D
11
J. Salazar F
28
L. Flores M
Jaguares Jaguares 5-4-1
12
F. Mosquera 88' G 6.60
15
J. Maza 88' D 6.50
29
C. Henao 88' D 6.20
4
Y. Mosquera 88' D 6.70
6
J. Lovera 87' D 6.20
25
88' D 6.50
24
S. Cubides 61' M 6.50
23
Fabián Mosquera 61' M 6.50
21
Rafael Bustamante 1 👟 88' M 7.50
7
W. De La Rosa 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30
11 A. Rentería A. Rentería 1 👟 88' F 6.70
Bench
14
Bladimir Angulo M
10
Cristian Alvarez 1' M
26
Darwin Lopez 27' F 6.70
1
Diego Martínez G
8
D. Rodriguez Urango 1 ⚽ 1' F
13 J. Hinestroza J. Hinestroza 27' M 6.70
16
J. Mejia F
Best on the pitch
Aldair Zárate
M · Bucaramanga
7.90
1 shots · 62 pass
E. Batalla
M · Bucaramanga
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
B. Caicedo
F · Bucaramanga
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
Rafael Bustamante
M · Jaguares
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 65 pass
F. Charrupi
M · Bucaramanga
7.30
· 37 pass
W. De La Rosa
M · Jaguares
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 88 6.70 8 8%
F. Hinestroza D 86 6.90 47 44% 4 1
D 88 6.50 1 29 25% 1
D 88 6.60 38 33%
A. Gutierrez D 88 7.20 1 41 33% 2
Aldair Zárate M 80 7.90 1 62 58% 2
F. Charrupi M 88 7.30 37 36% 2
K. Londono M 86 6.50 3 30 24% 1
F. Sambueza M 88 7.20 1 1 30 23% 1
E. Batalla M 86 7.90 1 1 26 25%
B. Caicedo F 70 7.90 1 3 14 12%
G. Charrupi F 8 6.30 4 4%
J. Garcia D 2
J. Mosquera D 2 1
Jaguares Jaguares — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Mosquera G 88 6.60 22 11%
J. Maza D 88 6.50 32 29% 2
C. Henao D 88 6.20 35 23% 1
Y. Mosquera D 88 6.70 36 34% 1
J. Lovera D 87 6.20 35 32% 1 1
D 88 6.50 36 33% 2
S. Cubides M 61 6.50 1 18 12% 1 1
Fabián Mosquera M 61 6.50 30 25%
Rafael Bustamante M 88 7.50 1 1 65 61% 3
W. De La Rosa M 87 7.30 1 1 23 18% 1
A. Rentería F 88 6.70 1 28 25% 1
Cristian Alvarez M 1
Darwin Lopez F 27 6.70 1 9 8%
D. Rodriguez Urango F 1 1
J. Hinestroza M 27 6.70 22 19%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bucaramanga vs Jaguares?
The final score was Bucaramanga 2–2 Jaguares.
What did the model predict before Bucaramanga vs Jaguares?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Bucaramanga win, 29% to a draw, and 17% to an Jaguares win.