B. Caicedo
(ast. A. Gutierrez)
22'
E. Batalla
(ast. F. Sambueza)
56'
18'
(ast. A. Renteria)
W. De La Rosa
90'+1
(ast. R. Bustamante)
D. Rodriguez Urango
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bucaramanga a 52% win probability (draw 29%, Jaguares 17%). The final result was Bucaramanga 2–2 Jaguares.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.35
2
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
0
12
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
ast. A. Renteria ·
W. De La Rosa⚽
⚽B. Caicedo
· ast. A. Gutierrez
22'
42'
S. Cubides
F. Hinestroza
46'
⚽E. Batalla
· ast. F. Sambueza
56'
60'
J. Lovera
61'
J. Hinestroza
/
F. Mosquera
61'
D. Lopez
/
S. Cubides
F. Sambueza
65'
B. Caicedo
/ G. Medina
70'
A. Zarate
/ G. Charrupi
80'
86'
Jopito
/
J. Lovera
K. Londono
/ I. Alba
86'
86'
D. Rodriguez Urango
/
W. De La Rosa
F. Hinestroza
/ J. Garcia
86'
E. Batalla
/ J. Mosquera
86'
90'+1
B. Angulo Castro
/
Y. Mosquera
90'+1
ast. R. Bustamante ·
D. Rodriguez Urango⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.84%
Bucaramanga
29.73%
X ←
17.43%
Jaguares
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.27
-0.21
0.76
0.35
-0.41
Bucaramanga dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.35).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
88'
G
8
Freddy Hinestroza
86'
D
Freddy Hinestroza
86'
D
2
88'
D
3
88'
D
19
A. Gutierrez
1 👟
88'
D
20
Aldair Zárate
80'
M
Aldair Zárate
80'
M
21
Felix Charrupí
88'
M
Felix Charrupí
88'
M
7
Kevin Londoño
86'
M
Kevin Londoño
86'
M
10
Fabián Sambueza
1 👟
88'
M
Fabián Sambueza
1 👟
88'
M
15
Emerson Batalla
1 ⚽
86'
M
Emerson Batalla
1 ⚽
86'
M
9
Brandon Caicedo
1 ⚽
70'
F
Brandon Caicedo
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
11
Fredy Salazar
F
Fredy Salazar
F
6
Gustavo Charrupi
8'
F
Gustavo Charrupi
8'
F
14
J. Mosquera
2'
D
4
José García
2'
D
José García
2'
D
28
Leonardo Flores
M
Leonardo Flores
M
12
Franklin Mosquera
88'
G
Franklin Mosquera
88'
G
15
J. Maza
88'
D
29
C. Henao
88'
D
4
Y. Mosquera
88'
D
6
Jonathan Lovera
87'
D
Jonathan Lovera
87'
D
25
88'
D
24
Santiago Cubides
61'
M
Santiago Cubides
61'
M
23
Fabián Mosquera
61'
M
21
Rafael Bustamante
1 👟
88'
M
Rafael Bustamante
1 👟
88'
M
7
Wilfrido De la Rosa
1 ⚽
87'
M
Wilfrido De la Rosa
1 ⚽
87'
M
11
A. Rentería
1 👟
88'
F
A. Rentería
1 👟
88'
F
Bench
14
Bladimir Angulo
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
1'
M
Cristian Alvarez
1'
M
26
Darwin Lopez
27'
F
Darwin Lopez
27'
F
1
Diego Martínez
G
Diego Martínez
G
8
D. Rodriguez Urango
1 ⚽
1'
F
13
Johan Hinestroza
27'
M
Johan Hinestroza
27'
M
16
Johar Mejía
F
Johar Mejía
F
Best on the pitch
Aldair Zárate
M · Bucaramanga
7.90
1 shots
· 62 pass
Emerson Batalla
M · Bucaramanga
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Brandon Caicedo
F · Bucaramanga
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Rafael Bustamante
M · Jaguares
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 65 pass
Felix Charrupí
M · Bucaramanga
7.30
· 37 pass
Wilfrido De la Rosa
M · Jaguares
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Bucaramanga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Freddy Hinestroza | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gutierrez | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Aldair Zárate | M | 80 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Felix Charrupí | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Sambueza | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Emerson Batalla | M | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Brandon Caicedo | F | 70 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Charrupi | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Mosquera | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| José García | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin Mosquera | G | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Maza | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Henao | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Mosquera | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Lovera | D | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — | |
| Santiago Cubides | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabián Mosquera | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Bustamante | M | 88 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 65 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Wilfrido De la Rosa | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 88 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Rodriguez Urango | F | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Hinestroza | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bucaramanga vs Jaguares?
The final score was Bucaramanga 2–2 Jaguares.
What did the model predict before Bucaramanga vs Jaguares?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Bucaramanga win, 29% to a draw, and 17% to an Jaguares win.