League One · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 16:00

Burton Albion

#17 · 54 pts

1 – 0

Final score

AFC Wimbledon

#19 · 53 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Burton Albion

K. Lofthouse (ast. J. Moon) 55'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burton Albion a 50% win probability (draw 30%, AFC Wimbledon 19%). The final result was Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. In 1 previous meetings, Burton Albion have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AFC Wimbledon.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

2

3

Shots on target

1

1

Saves

2

56%

Possession

44%

9

Corners

2

12

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽K. Lofthouse · ast. J. Moon

55'

65'

J. Tilley / N. Asiimwe ↕

65'

R. Nkeng / A. Sasu ↕

↕ A. Cannon / D. Williams

74'

74'

L. Stewart / M. Browne ↕

74'

O. Foyo / S. Hutchinson ↕

Charlie Webster

76'

↕ C. Webster / J. J. McKiernan

80'

83'

A. Hackford / Z. Nelson ↕

Pre-match prediction

50.32%

Burton ←

30.08%

X

19.6%

AFC

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Burton Albion) 50.32% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Burton

1.21

—

—

AFC

0.75

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lincoln	46	103
2	Cardiff	46	91
3	Stockport County	46	77
4	Bradford	46	77
5	Bolton	46	75
6	Stevenage	46	75
7	Luton	46	74
8	Plymouth	46	73
9	Huddersfield	46	67
10	Mansfield Town	46	65
11	Wycombe	46	63
12	Reading	46	63
13	Blackpool	46	60
14	Doncaster	46	60
15	Barnsley	46	59
16	Wigan	46	56
17	Burton Albion	46	54
18	Peterborough	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	52
21	Exeter City	46	49
22	Port Vale	46	42
23	Rotherham	46	41
24	Northampton	46	35

Lineups

Burton Albion 3-4-1-2

24

B. Collins G 6.90

16

A. Hartridge D 8.90

18

J. Moon 1 👟 D 7.90

2

D 7.30

3

J. Armer M 6.90

8

Charlie Webster 80' M 6.90

4

K. Chauke M 7.00

15 K. Lofthouse 1 ⚽ M 6.90

42

A. Cannon 74' F 7.90

10

T. Shade F 6.30

9 J. Beesley F 7.30

Bench

19

D. Williams 16' D 6.60

7

J. J. McKiernan 10' M 6.70

AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2

1

Nathan Bishop G 6.90

3 S. Seddon D 7.20

5

S. Hutchinson 74' D 6.30

33

I. Ogundere D 6.30

29

A. Sasu 65' M 6.70

37

Z. Nelson 83' M 6.30

4

J. Reeves M 6.30

12

A. Smith M 6.90

2

N. Asiimwe 65' M 6.30

8

C. Maycock F 6.20

11 M. Browne 74' F 6.50

Bench

16

A. Hackford 13' F 6.30

7

J. Tilley 25' F 6.60

32

K. Jennings M

36

L. Stewart 16' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

A. Hartridge

D · Burton

8.90

1 shots · 52 pass

J. Moon

D · Burton

7.90

1 👟

· 38 pass

A. Cannon

F · Burton

7.90

1 shots · 38 pass

D · Burton

7.30

· 39 pass

J. Beesley

F · Burton

7.30

1 shots · 28 pass

S. Seddon

D · AFC

7.20

· 40 pass

Burton Albion — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Collins	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
A. Hartridge	D	90	8.90	—	—	1	52	34%	1	—	—
J. Moon	D	90	7.90	—	1	—	38	28%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	39	29%	—	—	—
J. Armer	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	30	15%	1	—	—
Charlie Webster	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	24	14%	2	1	—
K. Chauke	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	43	30%	—	—	—
K. Lofthouse	M	90	6.90	1	—	3	20	10%	2	—	—
A. Cannon	F	74	7.90	—	—	1	38	27%	5	—	—
T. Shade	F	90	6.30	—	—	—	22	16%	—	—	—
J. Beesley	F	90	7.30	—	—	1	28	17%	1	—	—
D. Williams	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
J. J. McKiernan	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—

AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Nathan Bishop	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	12%	—	—	—
S. Seddon	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	40	26%	4	—	—
S. Hutchinson	D	74	6.30	—	—	—	23	13%	—	—	—
I. Ogundere	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	23%	—	—	—
A. Sasu	M	65	6.70	—	—	—	11	6%	2	—	—
Z. Nelson	M	83	6.30	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—
J. Reeves	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	37	23%	1	—	—
A. Smith	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	29%	1	—	—
N. Asiimwe	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	17	10%	1	—	—
C. Maycock	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
M. Browne	F	74	6.50	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
A. Hackford	F	13	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Tilley	F	25	6.60	—	—	—	5	2%	1	—	—
L. Stewart	F	16	6.30	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—