League One · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 16:00

Burton Albion

#12 · 17 pts

1 – 0

Final score

AFC Wimbledon

#17 · 13 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Burton Albion

K. Lofthouse (ast. J. Moon) 55'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burton Albion a 50% win probability (draw 30%, AFC Wimbledon 19%). The final result was Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. In 2 previous meetings, Burton Albion have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AFC Wimbledon.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

2

3

Shots on target

1

1

Saves

2

56%

Possession

44%

9

Corners

2

12

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽K. Lofthouse · ast. J. Moon

55'

65'

J. Tilley / N. Asiimwe ↕

65'

R. Nkeng / A. Sasu ↕

↕ A. Cannon / D. Williams

74'

74'

L. Stewart / M. Browne ↕

74'

O. Foyo / S. Hutchinson ↕

Charlie Webster

76'

↕ C. Webster / J. J. McKiernan

80'

83'

A. Hackford / Z. Nelson ↕

Pre-match prediction

50.32%

Burton ←

30.08%

X

19.6%

AFC

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Burton Albion) 50.32% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Burton

1.21

—

—

AFC

0.75

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Huddersfield	12	25
2	Stockport County	13	23
3	Oxford United	11	22
4	Bradford	12	22
5	Plymouth	13	22
6	Reading	12	21
7	Cambridge United	13	21
8	Luton	12	20
9	Sheffield Wednesday	12	19
10	Mansfield Town	11	18
11	Leicester	12	18
12	Burton Albion	13	17
13	Stevenage	11	15
14	Milton Keynes Dons	12	15
15	Wycombe	12	15
16	Leyton Orient	12	14
17	AFC Wimbledon	12	13
18	Doncaster	12	12
19	Notts County	11	11
20	Blackpool	11	11
21	Peterborough	12	10
22	Bromley	12	9
23	Barnsley	11	8
24	Wigan	12	7

Lineups

Burton Albion 3-4-1-2

24 B. Collins G 6.90

16 A. Hartridge D 8.90

18

J. Moon 1 👟 D 7.90

2

D 7.30

3 J. Armer M 6.90

8 C. Webster 80' M 6.90

4 K. Chauke M 7.00

15 K. Lofthouse 1 ⚽ M 6.90

42 A. Cannon 74' F 7.90

10 T. Shade F 6.30

9 J. Beesley F 7.30

Bench

19 Dylan Williams 16' D 6.60

7 J. McKiernan 10' M 6.70

AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2

1 N. Bishop G 6.90

3 S. Seddon D 7.20

5

S. Hutchinson 74' D 6.30

33 I. Ogundere D 6.30

29 A. Sasu 65' M 6.70

37 Z. Nelson 83' M 6.30

4 Jake Reeves M 6.30

12 A. Smith M 6.90

2 N. Asiimwe 65' M 6.30

8 C. Maycock F 6.20

11 M. Browne 74' F 6.50

Bench

16 Antwoine Hackford 13' F 6.30

7 J. Tilley 25' F 6.60

32 Kai Jennings M

36 Layton Stewart 16' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

A. Hartridge

D · Burton

8.90

1 shots · 52 pass

J. Moon

D · Burton

7.90

1 👟

· 38 pass

A. Cannon

F · Burton

7.90

1 shots · 38 pass

D · Burton

7.30

· 39 pass

J. Beesley

F · Burton

7.30

1 shots · 28 pass

S. Seddon

D · AFC

7.20

· 40 pass

Burton Albion — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Collins	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
A. Hartridge	D	90	8.90	—	—	1	52	34%	1	—	—
J. Moon	D	90	7.90	—	1	—	38	28%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	39	29%	—	—	—
J. Armer	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	30	15%	1	—	—
C. Webster	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	24	14%	2	1	—
K. Chauke	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	43	30%	—	—	—
K. Lofthouse	M	90	6.90	1	—	3	20	10%	2	—	—
A. Cannon	F	74	7.90	—	—	1	38	27%	5	—	—
T. Shade	F	90	6.30	—	—	—	22	16%	—	—	—
J. Beesley	F	90	7.30	—	—	1	28	17%	1	—	—
Dylan Williams	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
J. McKiernan	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—

AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Bishop	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	12%	—	—	—
S. Seddon	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	40	26%	4	—	—
S. Hutchinson	D	74	6.30	—	—	—	23	13%	—	—	—
I. Ogundere	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	23%	—	—	—
A. Sasu	M	65	6.70	—	—	—	11	6%	2	—	—
Z. Nelson	M	83	6.30	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—
Jake Reeves	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	37	23%	1	—	—
A. Smith	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	29%	1	—	—
N. Asiimwe	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	17	10%	1	—	—
C. Maycock	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
M. Browne	F	74	6.50	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
Antwoine Hackford	F	13	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Tilley	F	25	6.60	—	—	—	5	2%	1	—	—
Layton Stewart	F	16	6.30	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—