League One · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 16:00

Burton Albion

#11 · 8 pts

1 – 0

Final score

AFC Wimbledon

#7 · 10 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Burton Albion

K. Lofthouse (ast. J. Moon) 55'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burton Albion a 50% win probability (draw 30%, AFC Wimbledon 19%). The final result was Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. In 2 previous meetings, Burton Albion have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AFC Wimbledon.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

2

3

Shots on target

1

1

Saves

2

56%

Possession

44%

9

Corners

2

12

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽K. Lofthouse · ast. J. Moon

55'

65'

J. Tilley / N. Asiimwe ↕

65'

R. Nkeng / A. Sasu ↕

↕ A. Cannon / D. Williams

74'

74'

L. Stewart / M. Browne ↕

74'

O. Foyo / S. Hutchinson ↕

Charlie Webster

76'

↕ C. Webster / J. J. McKiernan

80'

83'

A. Hackford / Z. Nelson ↕

Pre-match prediction

50.32%

Burton ←

30.08%

X

19.6%

AFC

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Burton Albion) 50.32% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Burton

1.21

—

—

AFC

0.75

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Sheffield Wednesday	6	13
2	Huddersfield	6	12
3	Bradford	6	12
4	Cambridge United	6	11
5	Oxford United	5	10
6	Plymouth	6	10
7	AFC Wimbledon	6	10
8	Stockport County	6	9
9	Stevenage	6	9
10	Blackpool	6	8
11	Burton Albion	6	8
12	Luton	6	8
13	Leicester	6	8
14	Reading	5	7
15	Leyton Orient	6	7
16	Notts County	6	7
17	Mansfield Town	6	7
18	Barnsley	6	7
19	Wycombe	6	6
20	Milton Keynes Dons	6	5
21	Peterborough	6	5
22	Bromley	6	5
23	Wigan	6	4
24	Doncaster	6	3

Lineups

Burton Albion 3-4-1-2

24 B. Collins G 6.90

16 A. Hartridge D 8.90

18

J. Moon 1 👟 D 7.90

2

D 7.30

3 J. Armer M 6.90

8 C. Webster 80' M 6.90

4 K. Chauke M 7.00

15 K. Lofthouse 1 ⚽ M 6.90

42 Andy Cannon 74' F 7.90

10 T. Shade F 6.30

9 J. Beesley F 7.30

Bench

19 Dylan Williams 16' D 6.60

7 J. McKiernan 10' M 6.70

AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2

1 N. Bishop G 6.90

3 S. Seddon D 7.20

5

S. Hutchinson 74' D 6.30

33 I. Ogundere D 6.30

29 A. Sasu 65' M 6.70

37 Z. Nelson 83' M 6.30

4 Jake Reeves M 6.30

12 A. Smith M 6.90

2 N. Asiimwe 65' M 6.30

8 C. Maycock F 6.20

11 Marcus Browne 74' F 6.50

Bench

16 Antwoine Hackford 13' F 6.30

7 J. Tilley 25' F 6.60

32 Kai Jennings M

36 Layton Stewart 16' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

A. Hartridge

D · Burton

8.90

1 shots · 52 pass

J. Moon

D · Burton

7.90

1 👟

· 38 pass

Andy Cannon

F · Burton

7.90

1 shots · 38 pass

D · Burton

7.30

· 39 pass

J. Beesley

F · Burton

7.30

1 shots · 28 pass

S. Seddon

D · AFC

7.20

· 40 pass

Burton Albion — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Collins	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
A. Hartridge	D	90	8.90	—	—	1	52	34%	1	—	—
J. Moon	D	90	7.90	—	1	—	38	28%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	39	29%	—	—	—
J. Armer	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	30	15%	1	—	—
C. Webster	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	24	14%	2	1	—
K. Chauke	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	43	30%	—	—	—
K. Lofthouse	M	90	6.90	1	—	3	20	10%	2	—	—
Andy Cannon	F	74	7.90	—	—	1	38	27%	5	—	—
T. Shade	F	90	6.30	—	—	—	22	16%	—	—	—
J. Beesley	F	90	7.30	—	—	1	28	17%	1	—	—
Dylan Williams	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
J. McKiernan	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—

AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Bishop	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	12%	—	—	—
S. Seddon	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	40	26%	4	—	—
S. Hutchinson	D	74	6.30	—	—	—	23	13%	—	—	—
I. Ogundere	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	23%	—	—	—
A. Sasu	M	65	6.70	—	—	—	11	6%	2	—	—
Z. Nelson	M	83	6.30	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—
Jake Reeves	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	37	23%	1	—	—
A. Smith	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	29%	1	—	—
N. Asiimwe	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	17	10%	1	—	—
C. Maycock	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
Marcus Browne	F	74	6.50	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
Antwoine Hackford	F	13	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Tilley	F	25	6.60	—	—	—	5	2%	1	—	—
Layton Stewart	F	16	6.30	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—