← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 20, 2026 19:30
Cagliari
#16 · 37 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Napoli
#2 · 70 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Napoli

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Cagliari 18%). The final result was Cagliari 0–1 Napoli. In 2 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Napoli.

Match statistics
0
Shots on target
5
0.35
Actual xG
1.77
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
18.91%
Cagliari
20.86%
X
60.23%
Napoli ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Napoli) 60.23% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cagliari
0.70
0.35
-0.35
Napoli
1.92
1.77
-0.15
Napoli dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Napoli?
The final score was Cagliari 0–1 Napoli.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Napoli?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Cagliari win, 20% to a draw, and 60% to an Napoli win.