Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 20, 2026 18:30 Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Cagliari

#10 · 13 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Napoli

#6 · 14 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Napoli

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Cagliari 18%). The final result was Cagliari 0–1 Napoli. In 2 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Napoli.

Match statistics

0

Shots on target

5

0.35

Actual xG

1.77

33%

Possession

67%

2

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

18.91%

Cagliari

20.86%

X

60.23%

Napoli ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Napoli) 60.23% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cagliari

0.70

0.35

-0.35

Napoli

1.92

1.77

-0.15

Napoli dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Inter	9	25
2	Lazio	9	25
3	AS Roma	9	21
4	Como	9	20
5	AC Milan	9	18
6	Napoli	9	14
7	Frosinone	8	14
8	Juventus	9	14
9	Torino	9	13
10	Cagliari	9	13
11	Bologna	9	11
12	Atalanta	8	10
13	Genoa	9	10
14	Lecce	8	9
15	Sassuolo	9	8
16	Monza	9	7
17	Udinese	9	5
18	Parma	9	5
19	Fiorentina	8	4
20	Venezia	9	3