Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 00:00
J. Yendis
46'
42'
(ast. B. Rodriguez)
T. Perez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Club a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Caracas FC 32%). The final result was Caracas FC 1–1 Racing Club.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
18
2
Shots on target
4
0.45
Actual xG
2.94
3
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
4
Corners
9
18
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
24'
(missed pen.)
G. Rojas⚽
W. Correa
29'
42'
ast. B. Rodriguez ·
T. Perez⚽
C. Vegas
/ Robert Hernandez
46'
⚽J. Yendis
46'
63'
I. Rodriguez
/
G. Rojas
64'
D. Vergara
/
T. Conechny
70'
M. Zaracho
/
S. Solari
70'
A. Fernandez
/
B. Rodriguez
A. Fernandez
/ S. Gonzalez
70'
I. Gudino
78'
I. Gudino
/ R. Lezama
78'
80'
D. Pizarro
/
A. Forneris
W. Correa
/ M. Vegas
86'
Pre-match prediction
32.9%
Caracas
31.58%
X ←
35.52%
Racing
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
0.45
-0.61
0.99
2.94
+1.95
Racing Club dominated by xG (2.94 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
13
J. Yendis
1 ⚽
D
19
Luis Mago
D
4
J. Quintero
D
2
E. E. Fereira Penaranda
D
8
I. Gudino
78'
M
15
C. Larotonda
M
37
Charly Vegas
45'
M
33
W. Correa
85'
M
10
M. Covea
M
9
Adrián Fernández
70'
F
Bench
22
A. Figueroa
M
20
L. A. Maestre Nino
M
3
L. Pagano
D
11
M. Marquez
F
35
R. Lezama
19'
F
7
Robert Hernandez
52'
F
27
S. Gonzalez
27'
F
25
Facundo Cambeses
G
Facundo Cambeses
G
27
Gabriel Rojas
63'
D
Gabriel Rojas
63'
D
6
Marcos Rojo
D
Marcos Rojo
D
23
D
15
Gastón Martirena
D
Gastón Martirena
D
20
Baltasar Rodriguez
1 👟
70'
M
8
Alan Forneris
80'
M
Alan Forneris
80'
M
36
Bruno Zuculini
M
Bruno Zuculini
M
17
Tomás Conechny
63'
F
Tomás Conechny
63'
F
58
Tomás Pérez
1 ⚽
F
Tomás Pérez
1 ⚽
F
28
Santiago Solari
70'
F
Santiago Solari
70'
F
Bench
24
Adrián Fernández
27'
M
Adrián Fernández
27'
M
2
Agustín García Basso
D
Agustín García Basso
D
7
Duván Vergara
34'
F
Duván Vergara
34'
F
4
E. Cannavo
D
18
Franco Pardo
D
Franco Pardo
D
44
Gonzalo Sosa
M
Gonzalo Sosa
M
19
Ignacio Rodríguez
34'
M
Ignacio Rodríguez
34'
M
11
Matías Zaracho
27'
M
Matías Zaracho
27'
M
10
Matko Miljevic
M
Matko Miljevic
M
3
M. Di Cesare
D
M. Di Cesare
D
Best on the pitch
J. Yendis
D · Caracas
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Alan Forneris
M · Racing
7.20
· 45 pass
E. E. Fereira Penaranda
D · Caracas
7.00
· 22 pass
C. Larotonda
M · Caracas
7.00
· 26 pass
Gastón Martirena
D · Racing
7.00
· 37 pass
Matías Zaracho
M · Racing
6.90
· 13 pass
Caracas FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| J. Yendis | D | 97 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Luis Mago | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Quintero | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. E. Fereira Penaranda | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 6 | — | — |
| I. Gudino | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Larotonda | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| Charly Vegas | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| W. Correa | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Covea | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Adrián Fernández | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lezama | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Robert Hernandez | F | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Gonzalez | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Racing Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Cambeses | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Rojas | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Rojo | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 56% | — | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| Gastón Martirena | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Baltasar Rodriguez | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Alan Forneris | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Zuculini | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 64 | 60% | 5 | — | — |
| Tomás Conechny | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | F | 97 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Solari | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Fernández | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Duván Vergara | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Ignacio Rodríguez | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matías Zaracho | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Racing Club?
The final score was Caracas FC 1–1 Racing Club.
What did the model predict before Caracas FC vs Racing Club?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Caracas FC win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Racing Club win.