← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 19:30
Carrarese
#12 · 44 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Spezia
#19 · 35 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Carrarese
N. Calabrese (ast. E. Zuelli) 17'
M. Finotto (ast. S. Zanon) 23'
F. Abiuso (ast. L. Hasa) 63'
49' (ast. G. Artistico) M. Valoti

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 58% win probability (draw 25%, Spezia 16%). The final result was Carrarese 3–1 Spezia. In 1 previous meetings, Carrarese have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Spezia.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
2.61
Actual xG
1.46
3
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
5
5
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
3
Match Events
16'
G. Bonfanti
⚽N. Calabrese · ast. E. Zuelli
17'
⚽M. Finotto · ast. S. Zanon
23'
⚽F. Abiuso (missed pen.)
27'
45'+2
A. Mateju
46'
G. Lapadula / A. Mateju ↕
49'
ast. G. Artistico · M. Valoti⚽
M. Finotto
59'
⚽F. Abiuso · ast. L. Hasa
63'
69'
L. Vignali
70'
C. Comotto / L. Vignali ↕
↕ M. Finotto / F. Di Stefano
70'
↕ J. Rouhi / N. Belloni
70'
70'
E. Adamo / F. Bandinelli ↕
79'
M. Ruggero / G. Aurelio ↕
↕ L. Hasa / N. Schiavi
79'
↕ S. Zanon / D. Bouah
85'
↕ F. Abiuso / T. Rubino
85'
85'
M. Valoti
85'
A. Bellemo / A. Romano ↕
90'+2
G. Bonfanti
90'+6
C. Comotto
90'
E. Adamo
N. Belloni
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.73%
Carrarese ←
25.26%
X
16.01%
Spezia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese) 58.73% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Carrarese
1.83
2.61
+0.78
Spezia
0.84
1.46
+0.62
Carrarese dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Carrarese Carrarese 3-5-2
1
G 6.90
26
F. Ruggeri D 8.20
6
F. Oliana D 6.50
37
N. Calabrese 1 ⚽ D 7.50
73
J. Rouhi 70' M 6.60
70
L. Hasa 1 👟 79' M 7.50
17
E. Zuelli 1 👟 M 7.30
77
G. Parlanti M 7.30
72 S. Zanon S. Zanon 1 👟 85' M 7.70
32
M. Finotto 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.20
9 F. Abiuso F. Abiuso 1 ⚽ 85' F 6.90
Bench
13
D. Bouah 13' M 6.70
92
E. Torregrossa F
28
F. Di Stefano 28' F 6.30
8
F. Melegoni M
7
N. Belloni 20' M 6.70
18
N. Schiavi 19' M 6.60
21
T. Rubino 13' F 6.70
Spezia Spezia 3-5-1-1
22
G 6.60
94
G. Bonfanti D 6.20
55
P. Hristov D 6.30
37
A. Mateju 45' D 5.70
31
G. Aurelio 79' M 6.00
25
F. Bandinelli 70' M 7.20
60
Alessandro Romano 85' M 6.70
32
L. Vignali 70' M 6.20
17
L. Sernicola M 6.30
5
M. Valoti 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.90
9 G. Artistico G. Artistico 1 👟 F 6.30
Bench
8
A. Nagy M
34
C. Comotto 28' M 6.20
12
D. Mascardi G
70
E. Adamo 20' M 6.30
20
G. Di Serio F
10
G. Lapadula 53' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Valoti
F · Spezia
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
F. Ruggeri
D · Carrarese
8.20
1 shots · 54 pass
S. Zanon
S. Zanon
M · Carrarese
7.70
1 👟
· 14 pass
N. Calabrese
D · Carrarese
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
L. Hasa
M · Carrarese
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
E. Zuelli
M · Carrarese
7.30
1 👟
· 54 pass
Carrarese Carrarese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.90 — — — 25 18% — — —
F. Ruggeri D 98 8.20 — — 1 54 46% — — —
F. Oliana D 98 6.50 — — — 35 26% — — —
N. Calabrese D 98 7.50 1 — 1 30 24% — — —
J. Rouhi M 70 6.60 — — — 19 14% — — —
L. Hasa M 79 7.50 — 1 1 25 18% 2 — —
E. Zuelli M 98 7.30 — 1 — 54 46% — — —
G. Parlanti M 98 7.30 — — 2 28 24% 2 — —
S. Zanon M 85 7.70 — 1 — 14 8% — — —
M. Finotto F 70 7.20 1 — 1 7 5% — 1 —
F. Abiuso F 85 6.90 1 — 3 12 8% — — —
D. Bouah M 13 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
F. Di Stefano F 28 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. Belloni M 20 6.70 — — 1 14 13% 1 — 1
N. Schiavi M 19 6.60 — — — 18 14% — — —
T. Rubino F 13 6.70 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Spezia Spezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.60 — — — 21 12% — — —
G. Bonfanti D 92 6.20 — — — 46 39% 2 1 1
P. Hristov D 98 6.30 — — — 41 34% 2 — —
A. Mateju D 45 5.70 — — — 23 17% — 1 —
G. Aurelio M 79 6.00 — — 1 9 7% — — —
F. Bandinelli M 70 7.20 — — 1 36 30% 3 — —
Alessandro Romano M 85 6.70 — — 1 40 31% 1 — —
L. Vignali M 70 6.20 — — 2 17 13% — 1 —
L. Sernicola M 98 6.30 — — — 34 30% — — —
M. Valoti F 85 8.90 1 — 2 39 34% 6 — 1
G. Artistico F 98 6.30 — 1 1 10 7% — — —
C. Comotto M 28 6.20 — — — 5 3% — 1 —
E. Adamo M 20 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — 1
G. Lapadula F 53 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Spezia?
The final score was Carrarese 3–1 Spezia.
What did the model predict before Carrarese vs Spezia?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Carrarese win, 25% to a draw, and 16% to an Spezia win.