← Serie B
Serie B · Quarter-finals May 12, 2026 21:00
Catanzaro
#5 · 59 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Avellino
#8 · 49 pts
S. Pontisso (ast. J. Petriccione) 41'
T. Cassandro (ast. C. Favasuli) 83'
P. Iemmello 90'+3 (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Avellino 27%). The final result was Catanzaro 3–0 Avellino. In 2 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Avellino.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
0.98
Actual xG
0.71
3
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
5
11
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
T. Cancellotti
⚽S. Pontisso · ast. J. Petriccione
41'
51'
54'
L. Pandolfi / M. Besaggio ↕
54'
T. Biasci / C. Patierno ↕
60'
R. Insigne / D. Sounas ↕
↕ F. Di Francesco / F. Rispoli
69'
↕ S. Pontisso / M. Pompetti
80'
↕ M. Liberali / R. Frosinini
80'
↕ G. Alesi / P. Iemmello
80'
80'
L. D'Andrea / L. Palmiero ↕
80'
A. Le Borgne / T. Cancellotti ↕
⚽T. Cassandro · ast. C. Favasuli
83'
⚽P. Iemmello (pen.)
90'+3
↕ J. Petriccione / P. Nuamah
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
48.65%
Catanzaro ←
24.07%
X
27.28%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro) 48.65% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Catanzaro
1.64
0.98
-0.66
Avellino
1.16
0.71
-0.45
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 0.71). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
22 Mirko Pigliacelli Mirko Pigliacelli G 7.50
23 Nicolò Brighenti Nicolò Brighenti D 6.90
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini D 7.30
84 Tommaso Cassandro Tommaso Cassandro 1 ⚽ D 8.20
94 Federico Di Francesco Federico Di Francesco 69' M 6.90
10 Jacopo Petriccione Jacopo Petriccione 1 👟 M 6.50
20 Simone Pontisso Simone Pontisso 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.30
27 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli 1 👟 M 6.60
30 Gabriele Alesi Gabriele Alesi 80' F 7.00
14 Mattia Liberali Mattia Liberali 80' F 7.20
8 Filippo Pittarello Filippo Pittarello F 6.50
Bench
26 Bruno Verrengia Bruno Verrengia D
1 Christian Marietta Christian Marietta G
5 Ervin Bashi Ervin Bashi D
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli 24' M 6.70
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D
77 Marco D'Alessandro Marco D'Alessandro F
21 Marco Pompetti Marco Pompetti 13' M 6.30
39 N'Dri Koffi N'Dri Koffi F
19 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah Patrick Amiamo Nuamah F
9 Pietro Iemmello Pietro Iemmello 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.70
28 Rémi Oudin Rémi Oudin M
62 Ruggero Frosinini Ruggero Frosinini 13' D 6.50
Avellino Avellino 4-4-2
1 Antony Iannarilli Antony Iannarilli G 6.50
2 Filippo Missori Filippo Missori D 6.20
56 Patrick Enrici Patrick Enrici D 6.90
4 Armando Izzo Armando Izzo D 6.20
29 Tommaso Cancellotti Tommaso Cancellotti 80' D 6.30
39 Michele Besaggio Michele Besaggio 54' M 6.60
6 Luca Palmiero Luca Palmiero 80' M 6.90
20 Martin Palumbo Martin Palumbo M 6.30
24 Dimitrios Sounas Dimitrios Sounas 60' M 6.20
10 Raffaele Russo Raffaele Russo F 7.30
9 Cosimo Patierno Cosimo Patierno 54' F 6.20
Bench
63 Alessandro Fontanarosa Alessandro Fontanarosa D
27 Andrea Le Borgne Andrea Le Borgne 13' M 5.60
7 Gennaro Tutino Gennaro Tutino F
30 Giovanni Daffara Giovanni Daffara G
53 Jacopo Sassi Jacopo Sassi G
16 Justin Kumi Justin Kumi M
18 Lorenzo Sgarbi Lorenzo Sgarbi F
11 Luca D'Andrea Luca D'Andrea 13' F 6.30
8 Luca Pandolfi Luca Pandolfi 39' F 6.00
21 Marco Armellino Marco Armellino M
94 Roberto Insigne Roberto Insigne 33' F 6.90
14 Tommaso Biasci Tommaso Biasci 39' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Tommaso Cassandro
Tommaso Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
Pietro Iemmello
Pietro Iemmello
F · Catanzaro
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Mirko Pigliacelli
Mirko Pigliacelli
G · Catanzaro
7.50
· 35 pass
Matias Antonini
Matias Antonini
D · Catanzaro
7.30
· 39 pass
Simone Pontisso
Simone Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 41 pass
Raffaele Russo
Raffaele Russo
F · Avellino
7.30
· 28 pass
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mirko Pigliacelli G 93 7.50 — — — 35 24% — — —
Nicolò Brighenti D 93 6.90 — — — 63 52% — — —
Matias Antonini D 93 7.30 — — — 39 33% 1 — —
Tommaso Cassandro D 93 8.20 1 — 2 39 38% 1 — —
Federico Di Francesco M 69 6.90 — — 1 27 22% — — —
Jacopo Petriccione M 93 6.50 — 1 1 39 32% — — —
Simone Pontisso M 80 7.30 1 — 2 41 37% — — —
Costantino Favasuli M 93 6.60 — 1 2 30 26% 5 — —
Gabriele Alesi F 80 7.00 — — 1 30 25% 1 — —
Mattia Liberali F 80 7.20 — — 2 21 17% 3 — —
Filippo Pittarello F 93 6.50 — — 3 7 5% — — —
Fabio Rispoli M 24 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Marco Pompetti M 13 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Pietro Iemmello F 13 7.70 1 — 1 4 3% — — —
Ruggero Frosinini D 13 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Antony Iannarilli G 93 6.50 — — — 25 15% — — —
Filippo Missori D 93 6.20 — — 1 46 33% 4 — —
Patrick Enrici D 93 6.90 — — — 56 48% 4 — —
Armando Izzo D 93 6.20 — — — 63 54% 1 — —
Tommaso Cancellotti D 80 6.30 — — — 31 27% 1 1 —
Michele Besaggio M 54 6.60 — — 1 13 12% — — —
Luca Palmiero M 80 6.90 — — — 49 39% 2 — —
Martin Palumbo M 93 6.30 — — 1 41 36% 1 — —
Dimitrios Sounas M 60 6.20 — — 1 24 22% — — —
Raffaele Russo F 93 7.30 — — — 28 22% 5 — —
Cosimo Patierno F 54 6.20 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
Andrea Le Borgne M 13 5.60 — — — 8 6% — — —
Luca D'Andrea F 13 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
Luca Pandolfi F 39 6.00 — — 2 5 2% — — —
Roberto Insigne F 33 6.90 — — 1 14 14% — — —
Tommaso Biasci F 39 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Avellino?
The final score was Catanzaro 3–0 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Avellino?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 27% to an Avellino win.