S. Pontisso
(ast. J. Petriccione)
41'
T. Cassandro
(ast. C. Favasuli)
83'
P. Iemmello
90'+3
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Avellino 27%). The final result was Catanzaro 3–0 Avellino. In 2 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Avellino.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
0.98
Actual xG
0.71
3
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
5
11
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
T. Cancellotti
⚽S. Pontisso
· ast. J. Petriccione
41'
51'
54'
L. Pandolfi
/
M. Besaggio
54'
T. Biasci
/
C. Patierno
60'
R. Insigne
/
D. Sounas
F. Di Francesco
/ F. Rispoli
69'
S. Pontisso
/ M. Pompetti
80'
M. Liberali
/ R. Frosinini
80'
G. Alesi
/ P. Iemmello
80'
80'
L. D'Andrea
/
L. Palmiero
80'
A. Le Borgne
/
T. Cancellotti
⚽T. Cassandro
· ast. C. Favasuli
83'
⚽P. Iemmello
(pen.)
90'+3
J. Petriccione
/ P. Nuamah
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
48.65%
Catanzaro ←
24.07%
X
27.28%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro)
48.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
0.98
-0.66
1.16
0.71
-0.45
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
M. Pigliacelli
G
M. Pigliacelli
G
23
N. Brighenti
D
N. Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
T. Cassandro
1 ⚽
D
T. Cassandro
1 ⚽
D
94
F. Di Francesco
69'
M
F. Di Francesco
69'
M
10
J. Petriccione
1 👟
M
J. Petriccione
1 👟
M
20
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
80'
M
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
80'
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
M
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
M
30
G. Alesi
80'
F
G. Alesi
80'
F
14
M. Liberali
80'
F
M. Liberali
80'
F
8
F. Pittarello
F
F. Pittarello
F
Bench
26
B. Verrengia
D
B. Verrengia
D
1
C. Marietta
G
C. Marietta
G
5
Ervin Bashi
D
Ervin Bashi
D
32
Fabio Rispoli
24'
M
Fabio Rispoli
24'
M
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
77
M. D'Alessandro
F
M. D'Alessandro
F
21
M. Pompetti
13'
M
M. Pompetti
13'
M
39
N. Koffi
F
N. Koffi
F
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
9
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
13'
F
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
13'
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
62
R. Frosinini
13'
D
R. Frosinini
13'
D
1
A. Iannarilli
G
A. Iannarilli
G
2
F. Missori
D
F. Missori
D
56
P. Enrici
D
P. Enrici
D
4
A. Izzo
D
A. Izzo
D
29
T. Cancellotti
80'
D
T. Cancellotti
80'
D
39
M. Besaggio
54'
M
M. Besaggio
54'
M
6
L. Palmiero
80'
M
L. Palmiero
80'
M
20
M. Palumbo
M
M. Palumbo
M
24
D. Sounas
60'
M
D. Sounas
60'
M
10
R. Russo
F
R. Russo
F
9
Cosimo Patierno
54'
F
Cosimo Patierno
54'
F
Bench
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
A. Fontanarosa
D
27
A. Le Borgne
13'
M
A. Le Borgne
13'
M
30
G. Daffara
G
G. Daffara
G
7
G. Tutino
F
G. Tutino
F
53
Jacopo Sassi
G
Jacopo Sassi
G
16
J. Kumi
M
J. Kumi
M
11
L. D'Andrea
13'
F
L. D'Andrea
13'
F
18
Lorenzo Sgarbi
F
Lorenzo Sgarbi
F
8
L. Pandolfi
39'
F
L. Pandolfi
39'
F
21
Marco Armellino
M
Marco Armellino
M
94
Roberto Insigne
33'
F
Roberto Insigne
33'
F
14
T. Biasci
39'
F
T. Biasci
39'
F
Best on the pitch
T. Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
P. Iemmello
F · Catanzaro
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
M. Pigliacelli
G · Catanzaro
7.50
· 35 pass
Matias Antonini
D · Catanzaro
7.30
· 39 pass
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
R. Russo
F · Avellino
7.30
· 28 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pigliacelli | G | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| N. Brighenti | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 93 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Di Francesco | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Alesi | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 13 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Iannarilli | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Missori | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Enrici | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Izzo | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cancellotti | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Besaggio | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Palumbo | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sounas | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Russo | F | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Le Borgne | M | 13 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. D'Andrea | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Pandolfi | F | 39 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Insigne | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Avellino?
The final score was Catanzaro 3–0 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Avellino?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 27% to an Avellino win.