S. Pontisso
(ast. J. Petriccione)
41'
T. Cassandro
(ast. C. Favasuli)
83'
P. Iemmello
90'+3
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Avellino 27%). The final result was Catanzaro 3–0 Avellino. In 2 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Avellino.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
0.98
Actual xG
0.71
3
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
5
11
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
T. Cancellotti
⚽S. Pontisso
· ast. J. Petriccione
41'
51'
54'
L. Pandolfi
/
M. Besaggio
54'
T. Biasci
/
C. Patierno
60'
R. Insigne
/
D. Sounas
F. Di Francesco
/ F. Rispoli
69'
S. Pontisso
/ M. Pompetti
80'
M. Liberali
/ R. Frosinini
80'
G. Alesi
/ P. Iemmello
80'
80'
L. D'Andrea
/
L. Palmiero
80'
A. Le Borgne
/
T. Cancellotti
⚽T. Cassandro
· ast. C. Favasuli
83'
⚽P. Iemmello
(pen.)
90'+3
J. Petriccione
/ P. Nuamah
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
48.65%
Catanzaro ←
24.07%
X
27.28%
Avellino
we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro)
48.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
0.98
-0.66
1.16
0.71
-0.45
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Mirko Pigliacelli
G
Mirko Pigliacelli
G
23
Nicolò Brighenti
D
Nicolò Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
Tommaso Cassandro
1 ⚽
D
Tommaso Cassandro
1 ⚽
D
94
Federico Di Francesco
69'
M
Federico Di Francesco
69'
M
10
J. Petriccione
1 👟
M
J. Petriccione
1 👟
M
20
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
80'
M
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
80'
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
M
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
M
30
Gabriele Alesi
80'
F
Gabriele Alesi
80'
F
14
Mattia Liberali
80'
F
Mattia Liberali
80'
F
8
F. Pittarello
F
F. Pittarello
F
Bench
26
Bruno Verrengia
D
Bruno Verrengia
D
1
Christian Marietta
G
Christian Marietta
G
5
Ervin Bashi
D
Ervin Bashi
D
32
Fabio Rispoli
24'
M
Fabio Rispoli
24'
M
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
77
Marco D'Alessandro
F
Marco D'Alessandro
F
21
Marco Pompetti
13'
M
Marco Pompetti
13'
M
39
N'Dri Koffi
F
N'Dri Koffi
F
9
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
13'
F
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
13'
F
19
P. Nuamah
F
P. Nuamah
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
Rémi Oudin
M
62
R. Frosinini
13'
D
R. Frosinini
13'
D
1
Antony Iannarilli
G
Antony Iannarilli
G
2
Filippo Missori
D
Filippo Missori
D
56
Patrick Enrici
D
Patrick Enrici
D
4
Armando Izzo
D
Armando Izzo
D
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
80'
D
Tommaso Cancellotti
80'
D
39
Michele Besaggio
54'
M
Michele Besaggio
54'
M
6
L. Palmiero
80'
M
L. Palmiero
80'
M
20
Martin Palumbo
M
Martin Palumbo
M
24
Dimitrios Sounas
60'
M
Dimitrios Sounas
60'
M
10
Raffaele Russo
F
Raffaele Russo
F
9
Cosimo Patierno
54'
F
Cosimo Patierno
54'
F
Bench
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
A. Fontanarosa
D
27
Andrea Le Borgne
13'
M
Andrea Le Borgne
13'
M
7
Gennaro Tutino
F
Gennaro Tutino
F
30
Giovanni Daffara
G
Giovanni Daffara
G
53
Jacopo Sassi
G
Jacopo Sassi
G
16
Justin Kumi
M
Justin Kumi
M
18
Lorenzo Sgarbi
F
Lorenzo Sgarbi
F
11
Luca D'Andrea
13'
F
Luca D'Andrea
13'
F
8
Luca Pandolfi
39'
F
Luca Pandolfi
39'
F
21
Marco Armellino
M
Marco Armellino
M
94
Roberto Insigne
33'
F
Roberto Insigne
33'
F
14
T. Biasci
39'
F
T. Biasci
39'
F
Best on the pitch
Tommaso Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
P. Iemmello
F · Catanzaro
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Mirko Pigliacelli
G · Catanzaro
7.50
· 35 pass
Matias Antonini
D · Catanzaro
7.30
· 39 pass
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
Raffaele Russo
F · Avellino
7.30
· 28 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirko Pigliacelli | G | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Brighenti | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Tommaso Cassandro | D | 93 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Di Francesco | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Gabriele Alesi | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Mattia Liberali | F | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pompetti | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 13 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antony Iannarilli | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Missori | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrick Enrici | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Armando Izzo | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Tommaso Cancellotti | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Michele Besaggio | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Palumbo | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Dimitrios Sounas | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Russo | F | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrea Le Borgne | M | 13 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luca D'Andrea | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Luca Pandolfi | F | 39 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Insigne | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Avellino?
The final score was Catanzaro 3–0 Avellino.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Avellino?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 27% to an Avellino win.