← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30
Catanzaro
#5 · 59 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Bari
#17 · 40 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Catanzaro, result Bari vince
B. Verrengia (ast. M. D'Alessandro) 12'
N. Koffi 90'+7 (pen.)
23' (ast. E. Rao) G. Moncini
40' K. Piscopo
50' (ast. M. Dorval) K. Piscopo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 64% win probability (draw 18%, Bari 16%). The final result was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
2.07
Actual xG
1.01
0
Saves
4
75%
Possession
25%
8
Corners
0
13
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Verrengia · ast. M. D'Alessandro
12'
D. Buglio
16'
23'
ast. E. Rao · G. Moncini⚽
26'
K. Piscopo
40'
K. Piscopo⚽
50'
ast. M. Dorval · K. Piscopo⚽
↕ G. Esteves / T. Cassandro
52'
↕ D. Buglio / G. Alesi
52'
↕ N. Brighenti / F. Di Francesco
52'
69'
F. Artioli / T. Esteves ↕
↕ R. Oudin / M. Liberali
69'
69'
M. Mane / K. Piscopo ↕
78'
N. Bellomo / E. Rao ↕
79'
M. Cuni / G. Moncini ↕
↕ M. D'Alessandro / P. Nuamah
79'
90'+2
L. Dickmann / G. Maggiore ↕
⚽N. Koffi (pen.)
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
64.57%
Catanzaro
18.65%
X
16.78%
Bari ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bari) 16.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Catanzaro
2.42
2.07
-0.35
Bari
0.82
1.01
+0.19
Catanzaro dominated by xG (2.07 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
1
G 5.90
26 Bruno Verrengia Bruno Verrengia 1 ⚽ D 7.20
23 Nicolò Brighenti Nicolò Brighenti 52' D 6.20
5
D 7.70
77 Marco D'Alessandro Marco D'Alessandro 1 👟 79' M 6.90
98
D. Buglio 52' M 6.50
21 Marco Pompetti Marco Pompetti M 6.90
2
G. Esteves 52' M 6.70
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli F 7.20
28 Rémi Oudin Rémi Oudin 69' F 6.90
39 N'Dri Koffi N'Dri Koffi 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
94 Federico Di Francesco Federico Di Francesco 38' F 6.60
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D
30 Gabriele Alesi Gabriele Alesi 38' F 6.30
10 Jacopo Petriccione Jacopo Petriccione M
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini D
14 Mattia Liberali Mattia Liberali 21' F 6.60
19 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah Patrick Amiamo Nuamah 11' F 6.90
20 Simone Pontisso Simone Pontisso M
84 Tommaso Cassandro Tommaso Cassandro 38' D 7.20
Bari Bari 3-5-2
31
G 6.90
43
D. Nikolaou D 6.30
26
C. Odenthal D 6.30
13
V. Mantovani D 6.30
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval 1 👟 M 7.20
8
R. Pagano M 6.50
18
Giulio Maggiore 89' M 6.90
19
T. Esteves 69' M 6.50
28
K. Piscopo 2 ⚽ 69' M 8.50
17
78' F 7.20
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 1 ⚽ 79' F 6.90
Bench
30
Balla Moussa Mane 21' D 6.50
66
D. Traore M
80
F. Artioli 21' M 6.30
24
L. Dickmann 1' D
90
M. Cuni 11' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
K. Piscopo
M · Bari
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
D · Catanzaro
7.70
· 84 pass
Bruno Verrengia
Bruno Verrengia
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 85 pass
Tommaso Cassandro
Tommaso Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 shots · 35 pass
M. Dorval
M. Dorval
M · Bari
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
F · Bari
7.20
2 shots · 8 pass
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.90 — — — 32 26% — — —
Bruno Verrengia D 90 7.20 1 — 1 85 80% 3 — —
Nicolò Brighenti D 52 6.20 — — — 59 58% — — —
D 90 7.70 — — — 84 73% 4 — —
Marco D'Alessandro M 79 6.90 — 1 — 36 30% — — —
D. Buglio M 52 6.50 — — — 29 25% 1 1 —
Marco Pompetti M 90 6.90 — — — 60 56% 1 — —
G. Esteves M 52 6.70 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
Fabio Rispoli F 90 7.20 — — 1 41 37% — — —
Rémi Oudin F 69 6.90 — — 1 30 26% — — —
N'Dri Koffi F 90 6.90 1 — 3 13 13% — — —
Federico Di Francesco F 38 6.60 — — — 31 30% — — —
Gabriele Alesi F 38 6.30 — — 1 23 19% — — —
Mattia Liberali F 21 6.60 — — — 12 8% — — —
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah F 11 6.90 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Tommaso Cassandro D 38 7.20 — — 1 35 34% 2 — —
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 24 13% — — —
D. Nikolaou D 90 6.30 — — — 19 13% — — —
C. Odenthal D 90 6.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
V. Mantovani D 90 6.30 — — — 19 15% — — —
M. Dorval M 90 7.20 — 1 — 8 6% 1 — —
R. Pagano M 90 6.50 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
Giulio Maggiore M 89 6.90 — — — 25 19% 3 — —
T. Esteves M 69 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
K. Piscopo M 69 8.50 2 — 3 14 9% 1 1 —
F 78 7.20 — — 2 8 5% 1 — —
G. Moncini F 79 6.90 1 — 2 8 4% — — —
Balla Moussa Mane D 21 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
F. Artioli M 21 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
L. Dickmann D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Cuni F 11 6.20 — — — 1 — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Bari?
The final score was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Bari?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Catanzaro win, 18% to a draw, and 16% to an Bari win.