✗Model wrong — prediction Catanzaro, result Bari wins
B. Verrengia
(ast. M. D'Alessandro)
12'
N. Koffi
90'+7
(pen.)
23'
(ast. E. Rao)
G. Moncini
40'
K. Piscopo
50'
(ast. M. Dorval)
K. Piscopo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 64% win probability (draw 18%, Bari 16%). The final result was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bari.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
2.07
Actual xG
1.01
0
Saves
4
75%
Possession
25%
8
Corners
0
13
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Verrengia
· ast. M. D'Alessandro
12'
D. Buglio
16'
23'
ast. E. Rao ·
G. Moncini⚽
26'
K. Piscopo
40'
K. Piscopo⚽
50'
ast. M. Dorval ·
K. Piscopo⚽
G. Esteves
/ T. Cassandro
52'
D. Buglio
/ G. Alesi
52'
N. Brighenti
/ F. Di Francesco
52'
69'
F. Artioli
/
T. Esteves
R. Oudin
/ M. Liberali
69'
69'
M. Mane
/
K. Piscopo
78'
N. Bellomo
/
E. Rao
79'
M. Cuni
/
G. Moncini
M. D'Alessandro
/ P. Nuamah
79'
90'+2
L. Dickmann
/
G. Maggiore
⚽N. Koffi
(pen.)
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
64.57%
Catanzaro
18.65%
X
16.78%
Bari ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bari)
16.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
2.07
-0.35
0.82
1.01
+0.19
Catanzaro dominated by xG (2.07 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
26
B. Verrengia
1 ⚽
D
B. Verrengia
1 ⚽
D
23
N. Brighenti
52'
D
N. Brighenti
52'
D
5
D
77
M. D'Alessandro
1 👟
79'
M
M. D'Alessandro
1 👟
79'
M
98
D. Buglio
52'
M
D. Buglio
52'
M
21
M. Pompetti
M
M. Pompetti
M
2
Gonçalo Esteves
52'
M
Gonçalo Esteves
52'
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
F
Fabio Rispoli
F
28
Rémi Oudin
69'
F
39
N. Koffi
1 ⚽
F
N. Koffi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
94
F. Di Francesco
38'
F
F. Di Francesco
38'
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
30
G. Alesi
38'
F
G. Alesi
38'
F
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
14
M. Liberali
21'
F
M. Liberali
21'
F
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
11'
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
11'
F
20
S. Pontisso
M
S. Pontisso
M
84
T. Cassandro
38'
D
T. Cassandro
38'
D
31
G
43
D. Nikolaou
D
D. Nikolaou
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
C. Odenthal
D
13
Valerio Mantovani
D
Valerio Mantovani
D
93
M. Dorval
1 👟
M
M. Dorval
1 👟
M
8
R. Pagano
M
R. Pagano
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
89'
M
Giulio Maggiore
89'
M
19
Tomás Esteves
69'
M
Tomás Esteves
69'
M
28
K. Piscopo
2 ⚽
69'
M
K. Piscopo
2 ⚽
69'
M
17
78'
F
11
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
79'
F
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
66
D. Traoré
M
D. Traoré
M
80
F. Artioli
21'
M
F. Artioli
21'
M
24
L. Dickmann
1'
D
L. Dickmann
1'
D
90
Marvin Çuni
11'
F
Marvin Çuni
11'
F
30
Moussa Mane
21'
D
Moussa Mane
21'
D
Best on the pitch
K. Piscopo
M · Bari
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
D · Catanzaro
7.70
· 84 pass
B. Verrengia
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 85 pass
T. Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
F · Bari
7.20
2 shots
· 8 pass
M. Dorval
M · Bari
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| B. Verrengia | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 85 | 80% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Brighenti | D | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 58% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 84 | 73% | 4 | — | — | |
| M. D'Alessandro | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| D. Buglio | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Esteves | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Rémi Oudin | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| N. Koffi | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Di Francesco | F | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| G. Alesi | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Amiamo Nuamah | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 38 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D. Nikolaou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Valerio Mantovani | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Dorval | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pagano | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Esteves | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Piscopo | M | 69 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Moncini | F | 79 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Artioli | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Dickmann | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Çuni | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Moussa Mane | D | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Bari?
The final score was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Bari?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Catanzaro win, 18% to a draw, and 16% to an Bari win.