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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Catanzaro
#20 · 5 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Bari
✗Model wrong — prediction Catanzaro, result Bari wins
B. Verrengia (ast. M. D'Alessandro) 12'
N. Koffi 90'+7 (pen.)
23' (ast. E. Rao) G. Moncini
40' K. Piscopo
50' (ast. M. Dorval) K. Piscopo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 64% win probability (draw 18%, Bari 16%). The final result was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
2.07
Actual xG
1.01
0
Saves
4
75%
Possession
25%
8
Corners
0
13
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Verrengia · ast. M. D'Alessandro
12'
D. Buglio
16'
23'
ast. E. Rao · G. Moncini⚽
26'
K. Piscopo
40'
K. Piscopo⚽
50'
ast. M. Dorval · K. Piscopo⚽
↕ G. Esteves / T. Cassandro
52'
↕ D. Buglio / G. Alesi
52'
↕ N. Brighenti / F. Di Francesco
52'
69'
F. Artioli / T. Esteves ↕
↕ R. Oudin / M. Liberali
69'
69'
M. Mane / K. Piscopo ↕
78'
N. Bellomo / E. Rao ↕
79'
M. Cuni / G. Moncini ↕
↕ M. D'Alessandro / P. Nuamah
79'
90'+2
L. Dickmann / G. Maggiore ↕
⚽N. Koffi (pen.)
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
64.57%
Catanzaro
18.65%
X
16.78%
Bari ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bari) 16.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Catanzaro
2.42
2.07
-0.35
Bari
0.82
1.01
+0.19
Catanzaro dominated by xG (2.07 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
1
G 5.90
26 B. Verrengia B. Verrengia 1 ⚽ D 7.20
23 N. Brighenti N. Brighenti 52' D 6.20
5
D 7.70
77 M. D'Alessandro M. D'Alessandro 1 👟 79' M 6.90
98 D. Buglio D. Buglio 52' M 6.50
21 M. Pompetti M. Pompetti M 6.90
2 Gonçalo Esteves Gonçalo Esteves 52' M 6.70
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli F 7.20
28
R. Oudin 69' F 6.90
39 N. Koffi N. Koffi 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
94 F. Di Francesco F. Di Francesco 38' F 6.60
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D
30 G. Alesi G. Alesi 38' F 6.30
10 J. Petriccione J. Petriccione M
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini D
14 M. Liberali M. Liberali 21' F 6.60
19 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah Patrick Amiamo Nuamah 11' F 6.90
20 S. Pontisso S. Pontisso M
84 T. Cassandro T. Cassandro 38' D 7.20
Bari Bari 3-5-2
31
G 6.90
43 D. Nikolaou D. Nikolaou D 6.30
26 C. Odenthal C. Odenthal D 6.30
13 Valerio Mantovani Valerio Mantovani D 6.30
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval 1 👟 M 7.20
8 R. Pagano R. Pagano M 6.50
18 Giulio Maggiore Giulio Maggiore 89' M 6.90
19 Tomás Esteves Tomás Esteves 69' M 6.50
28 K. Piscopo K. Piscopo 2 ⚽ 69' M 8.50
17
78' F 7.20
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 1 ⚽ 79' F 6.90
Bench
66 D. Traoré D. Traoré M
80 F. Artioli F. Artioli 21' M 6.30
24 L. Dickmann L. Dickmann 1' D
90 Marvin Çuni Marvin Çuni 11' F 6.20
30 Moussa Mane Moussa Mane 21' D 6.50
Best on the pitch
K. Piscopo
K. Piscopo
M · Bari
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
D · Catanzaro
7.70
· 84 pass
B. Verrengia
B. Verrengia
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 85 pass
T. Cassandro
T. Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 shots · 35 pass
F · Bari
7.20
2 shots · 8 pass
M. Dorval
M. Dorval
M · Bari
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.90 — — — 32 26% — — —
B. Verrengia D 90 7.20 1 — 1 85 80% 3 — —
N. Brighenti D 52 6.20 — — — 59 58% — — —
D 90 7.70 — — — 84 73% 4 — —
M. D'Alessandro M 79 6.90 — 1 — 36 30% — — —
D. Buglio M 52 6.50 — — — 29 25% 1 1 —
M. Pompetti M 90 6.90 — — — 60 56% 1 — —
Gonçalo Esteves M 52 6.70 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
Fabio Rispoli F 90 7.20 — — 1 41 37% — — —
R. Oudin F 69 6.90 — — 1 30 26% — — —
N. Koffi F 90 6.90 1 — 3 13 13% — — —
F. Di Francesco F 38 6.60 — — — 31 30% — — —
G. Alesi F 38 6.30 — — 1 23 19% — — —
M. Liberali F 21 6.60 — — — 12 8% — — —
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah F 11 6.90 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
T. Cassandro D 38 7.20 — — 1 35 34% 2 — —
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 24 13% — — —
D. Nikolaou D 90 6.30 — — — 19 13% — — —
C. Odenthal D 90 6.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
Valerio Mantovani D 90 6.30 — — — 19 15% — — —
M. Dorval M 90 7.20 — 1 — 8 6% 1 — —
R. Pagano M 90 6.50 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
Giulio Maggiore M 89 6.90 — — — 25 19% 3 — —
Tomás Esteves M 69 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
K. Piscopo M 69 8.50 2 — 3 14 9% 1 1 —
F 78 7.20 — — 2 8 5% 1 — —
G. Moncini F 79 6.90 1 — 2 8 4% — — —
F. Artioli M 21 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
L. Dickmann D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Marvin Çuni F 11 6.20 — — — 1 — 1 — —
Moussa Mane D 21 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Bari?
The final score was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Bari?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Catanzaro win, 18% to a draw, and 16% to an Bari win.