✗Model wrong — prediction Catanzaro, result Bari wins
B. Verrengia
(ast. M. D'Alessandro)
12'
N. Koffi
90'+7
(pen.)
23'
(ast. E. Rao)
G. Moncini
40'
K. Piscopo
50'
(ast. M. Dorval)
K. Piscopo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 64% win probability (draw 18%, Bari 16%). The final result was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bari.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
2.07
Actual xG
1.01
0
Saves
4
75%
Possession
25%
8
Corners
0
13
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Verrengia
· ast. M. D'Alessandro
12'
D. Buglio
16'
23'
ast. E. Rao ·
G. Moncini⚽
26'
K. Piscopo
40'
K. Piscopo⚽
50'
ast. M. Dorval ·
K. Piscopo⚽
G. Esteves
/ T. Cassandro
52'
D. Buglio
/ G. Alesi
52'
N. Brighenti
/ F. Di Francesco
52'
69'
F. Artioli
/
T. Esteves
R. Oudin
/ M. Liberali
69'
69'
M. Mane
/
K. Piscopo
78'
N. Bellomo
/
E. Rao
79'
M. Cuni
/
G. Moncini
M. D'Alessandro
/ P. Nuamah
79'
90'+2
L. Dickmann
/
G. Maggiore
⚽N. Koffi
(pen.)
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
64.57%
Catanzaro
18.65%
X
16.78%
Bari ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bari)
16.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
2.07
-0.35
0.82
1.01
+0.19
Catanzaro dominated by xG (2.07 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
26
Bruno Verrengia
1 ⚽
D
Bruno Verrengia
1 ⚽
D
23
Nicolò Brighenti
52'
D
Nicolò Brighenti
52'
D
5
D
77
Marco D'Alessandro
1 👟
79'
M
Marco D'Alessandro
1 👟
79'
M
98
Davide Buglio
52'
M
Davide Buglio
52'
M
21
Marco Pompetti
M
Marco Pompetti
M
2
G. Esteves
52'
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
F
Fabio Rispoli
F
28
Rémi Oudin
69'
F
Rémi Oudin
69'
F
39
N'Dri Koffi
1 ⚽
F
N'Dri Koffi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
94
Federico Di Francesco
38'
F
Federico Di Francesco
38'
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
30
Gabriele Alesi
38'
F
Gabriele Alesi
38'
F
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
14
Mattia Liberali
21'
F
Mattia Liberali
21'
F
19
P. Nuamah
11'
F
P. Nuamah
11'
F
20
S. Pontisso
M
S. Pontisso
M
84
Tommaso Cassandro
38'
D
Tommaso Cassandro
38'
D
31
G
43
Dimitrios Nikolaou
D
Dimitrios Nikolaou
D
26
Cas Odenthal
D
Cas Odenthal
D
13
Valerio Mantovani
D
Valerio Mantovani
D
93
M. Dorval
1 👟
M
M. Dorval
1 👟
M
8
Riccardo Pagano
M
Riccardo Pagano
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
89'
M
Giulio Maggiore
89'
M
19
Tomás Esteves
69'
M
Tomás Esteves
69'
M
28
Kevin Piscopo
2 ⚽
69'
M
Kevin Piscopo
2 ⚽
69'
M
17
78'
F
11
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
79'
F
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
66
Daouda Traore
M
Daouda Traore
M
80
Federico Artioli
21'
M
Federico Artioli
21'
M
24
Lorenzo Dickmann
1'
D
Lorenzo Dickmann
1'
D
90
Marvin Çuni
11'
F
Marvin Çuni
11'
F
30
Moussa Mane
21'
D
Moussa Mane
21'
D
Best on the pitch
Kevin Piscopo
M · Bari
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
D · Catanzaro
7.70
· 84 pass
Bruno Verrengia
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 85 pass
Tommaso Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
F · Bari
7.20
2 shots
· 8 pass
M. Dorval
M · Bari
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Bruno Verrengia | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 85 | 80% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolò Brighenti | D | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 58% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 84 | 73% | 4 | — | — | |
| Marco D'Alessandro | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Davide Buglio | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marco Pompetti | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Esteves | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Rémi Oudin | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| N'Dri Koffi | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Federico Di Francesco | F | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Alesi | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Mattia Liberali | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Nuamah | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Tommaso Cassandro | D | 38 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Dimitrios Nikolaou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Cas Odenthal | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Valerio Mantovani | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Dorval | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Riccardo Pagano | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Esteves | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Piscopo | M | 69 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Moncini | F | 79 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Federico Artioli | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Dickmann | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Çuni | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Moussa Mane | D | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Bari?
The final score was Catanzaro 2–3 Bari.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Bari?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Catanzaro win, 18% to a draw, and 16% to an Bari win.