Serie B
· Regular Season - 33
April 06, 2026 15:00
S. Pontisso
6'
(pen.)
90'+6
M. Pessina
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Monza 32%). The final result was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monza.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
0.92
Actual xG
1.13
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
5
19
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Pontisso
6'
8'
P. Cutrone
M. D'Alessandro
15'
M. D'Alessandro
/ R. Frosinini
18'
29'
A. Bakoune
/
P. Azzi
F. Pittarello
32'
G. Alesi
36'
45'
L. Lucchesi
46'
G. Caso
/
P. Obiang
46'
A. Carboni
/
L. Lucchesi
48'
P. Cutrone
48'
P. Cutrone
52'
K. Balde
/
P. Ciurria
M. Liberali
/ F. Rispoli
67'
S. Pontisso
/ M. Pompetti
67'
N. Brighenti
69'
74'
A. Colpani
/
Hernani
T. Cassandro
76'
76'
K. Balde
86'
F. Pittarello
/ N. Koffi
89'
90'+6
(pen.)
M. Pessina⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.31%
Catanzaro
24.65%
X ←
32.04%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
0.92
-0.99
1.48
1.13
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
23
Nicolò Brighenti
D
Nicolò Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
Tommaso Cassandro
D
Tommaso Cassandro
D
77
Marco D'Alessandro
18'
M
Marco D'Alessandro
18'
M
20
Simone Pontisso
1 ⚽
67'
M
Simone Pontisso
1 ⚽
67'
M
10
Jacopo Petriccione
M
Jacopo Petriccione
M
30
Gabriele Alesi
36'
M
Gabriele Alesi
36'
M
14
Mattia Liberali
67'
F
Mattia Liberali
67'
F
8
Filippo Pittarello
89'
F
Filippo Pittarello
89'
F
27
Costantino Favasuli
F
Costantino Favasuli
F
Bench
26
Bruno Verrengia
D
Bruno Verrengia
D
98
D. Buglio
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
23'
M
Fabio Rispoli
23'
M
94
Federico Di Francesco
F
Federico Di Francesco
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
2
G. Esteves
D
21
Marco Pompetti
23'
M
Marco Pompetti
23'
M
39
N'Dri Koffi
1'
F
N'Dri Koffi
1'
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
Rémi Oudin
M
62
Ruggero Frosinini
72'
D
Ruggero Frosinini
72'
D
20
G
3
L. Lucchesi
45'
D
15
F. Delli Carri
D
13
D
7
Paulo Azzi
29'
M
Paulo Azzi
29'
M
8
Hernani
74'
M
14
P. Obiang
45'
M
32
M. Pessina
1 ⚽
M
26
P. Ciurria
52'
M
37
A. Petagna
F
A. Petagna
F
10
P. Cutrone
48'
F
Bench
24
A. Bakoune
61'
D
28
A. Colpani
16'
M
47
D. Mota
F
30
G. Caso
45'
M
17
K. Baldé
24'
F
K. Baldé
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Simone Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Jacopo Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
8.20
· 49 pass
Costantino Favasuli
F · Catanzaro
7.50
· 22 pass
D · Monza
7.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.00
· 13 pass
G. Caso
M · Monza
6.90
· 18 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolò Brighenti | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Tommaso Cassandro | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Marco D'Alessandro | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Simone Pontisso | M | 67 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Jacopo Petriccione | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriele Alesi | M | 36 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Mattia Liberali | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Filippo Pittarello | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pompetti | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| N'Dri Koffi | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruggero Frosinini | D | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hernani | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Obiang | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pessina | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Ciurria | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 48 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 2 | 1 |
| A. Bakoune | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Colpani | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Caso | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| K. Baldé | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Monza?
The final score was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Monza?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Monza win.