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Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 15:00 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Catanzaro
#17 · 3 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Monza
S. Pontisso 6'
(pen.) 90'+6 M. Pessina
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Monza 32%). The final result was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza. In 3 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Monza.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
0.92
Actual xG
1.13
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
5
19
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Pontisso
6'
8'
P. Cutrone
M. D'Alessandro
15'
↕ M. D'Alessandro / R. Frosinini
18'
29'
A. Bakoune / P. Azzi ↕
F. Pittarello
32'
G. Alesi
36'
45'
L. Lucchesi
46'
G. Caso / P. Obiang ↕
46'
A. Carboni / L. Lucchesi ↕
48'
P. Cutrone
48'
P. Cutrone
52'
K. Balde / P. Ciurria ↕
↕ M. Liberali / F. Rispoli
67'
↕ S. Pontisso / M. Pompetti
67'
N. Brighenti
69'
74'
A. Colpani / Hernani ↕
T. Cassandro
76'
76'
K. Balde
86'
↕ F. Pittarello / N. Koffi
89'
90'+6
(pen.) M. Pessina⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.31%
Catanzaro
24.65%
X ←
32.04%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Catanzaro
1.91
0.92
-0.99
Monza
1.48
1.13
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-3
22
G 6.70
23 N. Brighenti N. Brighenti D 6.70
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini D 6.50
84 T. Cassandro T. Cassandro D 6.60
77 M. D'Alessandro M. D'Alessandro 18' M 6.50
20 S. Pontisso S. Pontisso 1 ⚽ 67' M 8.30
10 J. Petriccione J. Petriccione M 8.20
30 G. Alesi G. Alesi 36' M 5.90
14 M. Liberali M. Liberali 67' F 6.90
8 F. Pittarello F. Pittarello 89' F 6.60
27 C. Favasuli C. Favasuli F 7.50
Bench
26 B. Verrengia B. Verrengia D
98 D. Buglio D. Buglio M
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli 23' M 6.50
94 F. Di Francesco F. Di Francesco F
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D
2 Gonçalo Esteves Gonçalo Esteves D
21 M. Pompetti M. Pompetti 23' M 6.90
39 N. Koffi N. Koffi 1' F
28
Rémi Oudin M
62 R. Frosinini R. Frosinini 72' D 5.90
Monza Monza 3-5-2
20
G 6.90
3 L. Lucchesi L. Lucchesi 45' D 6.30
15 F. Delli Carri F. Delli Carri D 6.30
13
D 7.20
7 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi 29' M 6.30
8 Hernani Hernani 74' M 6.30
14 Pedro Obiang Pedro Obiang 45' M 6.50
32 Matteo Pessina Matteo Pessina 1 ⚽ M 6.90
26 Patrick Ciurria Patrick Ciurria 52' M 6.50
37 A. Petagna A. Petagna F 7.00
10 P. Cutrone P. Cutrone 48' F 5.20
Bench
24 A. Bakoune A. Bakoune 61' D 6.30
28 A. Colpani A. Colpani 16' M 6.60
47 Dany Mota Dany Mota F
30 G. Caso G. Caso 45' M 6.90
17 K. Baldé K. Baldé 24' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
S. Pontisso
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
J. Petriccione
J. Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
8.20
· 49 pass
C. Favasuli
C. Favasuli
F · Catanzaro
7.50
· 22 pass
D · Monza
7.20
1 shots · 47 pass
A. Petagna
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.00
· 13 pass
G. Caso
G. Caso
M · Monza
6.90
· 18 pass
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 38 25% — — —
N. Brighenti D 90 6.70 — — — 40 30% — 1 —
Matias Antonini D 90 6.50 — — 1 37 34% 1 — —
T. Cassandro D 90 6.60 — — — 31 27% — 1 —
M. D'Alessandro M 18 6.50 — — — 5 5% — 1 —
S. Pontisso M 67 8.30 1 — 1 39 33% 2 — —
J. Petriccione M 90 8.20 — — — 49 41% 2 — —
G. Alesi M 36 5.90 — — 1 9 7% 3 — 1
M. Liberali F 67 6.90 — — — 16 13% 3 — —
F. Pittarello F 89 6.60 — — 2 16 12% — 1 —
C. Favasuli F 90 7.50 — — — 22 16% 3 — —
Fabio Rispoli M 23 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
M. Pompetti M 23 6.90 — — 1 13 12% 3 — —
N. Koffi F 1 — — — — — — — — —
R. Frosinini D 72 5.90 — — 2 16 12% 2 — —
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 30 24% — — —
L. Lucchesi D 45 6.30 — — 1 21 18% 2 1 —
F. Delli Carri D 90 6.30 — — 1 31 29% 2 — —
D 90 7.20 — — 1 47 38% 2 — —
Paulo Azzi M 29 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Hernani M 74 6.30 — — 2 39 35% 1 — —
Pedro Obiang M 45 6.50 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
Matteo Pessina M 90 6.90 1 — 1 61 45% 4 — —
Patrick Ciurria M 52 6.50 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
A. Petagna F 90 7.00 — — — 13 11% — — —
P. Cutrone F 48 5.20 — — 1 6 5% — 2 1
A. Bakoune D 61 6.30 — — — 25 25% 5 — —
A. Colpani M 16 6.60 — — — 6 6% — — —
G. Caso M 45 6.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
K. Baldé F 24 6.70 — — — 7 7% — — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Monza?
The final score was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Monza?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Monza win.