S. Pontisso
6'
(pen.)
90'+6
M. Pessina
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Monza 32%). The final result was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza. In 3 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Monza.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
0.92
Actual xG
1.13
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
5
19
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Pontisso
6'
8'
P. Cutrone
M. D'Alessandro
15'
M. D'Alessandro
/ R. Frosinini
18'
29'
A. Bakoune
/
P. Azzi
F. Pittarello
32'
G. Alesi
36'
45'
L. Lucchesi
46'
G. Caso
/
P. Obiang
46'
A. Carboni
/
L. Lucchesi
48'
P. Cutrone
48'
P. Cutrone
52'
K. Balde
/
P. Ciurria
M. Liberali
/ F. Rispoli
67'
S. Pontisso
/ M. Pompetti
67'
N. Brighenti
69'
74'
A. Colpani
/
Hernani
T. Cassandro
76'
76'
K. Balde
86'
F. Pittarello
/ N. Koffi
89'
90'+6
(pen.)
M. Pessina⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.31%
Catanzaro
24.65%
X ←
32.04%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
0.92
-0.99
1.48
1.13
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
23
N. Brighenti
D
N. Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
T. Cassandro
D
T. Cassandro
D
77
M. D'Alessandro
18'
M
M. D'Alessandro
18'
M
20
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
67'
M
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
67'
M
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
30
G. Alesi
36'
M
G. Alesi
36'
M
14
M. Liberali
67'
F
M. Liberali
67'
F
8
F. Pittarello
89'
F
F. Pittarello
89'
F
27
Costantino Favasuli
F
Costantino Favasuli
F
Bench
26
B. Verrengia
D
B. Verrengia
D
98
D. Buglio
M
D. Buglio
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
23'
M
Fabio Rispoli
23'
M
94
F. Di Francesco
F
F. Di Francesco
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
2
Gonçalo Esteves
D
Gonçalo Esteves
D
21
M. Pompetti
23'
M
M. Pompetti
23'
M
39
N. Koffi
1'
F
N. Koffi
1'
F
62
R. Frosinini
72'
D
R. Frosinini
72'
D
28
R. Oudin
M
20
G
3
L. Lucchesi
45'
D
L. Lucchesi
45'
D
15
F. Delli Carri
D
F. Delli Carri
D
13
D
7
Paulo Azzi
29'
M
Paulo Azzi
29'
M
8
Hernani
74'
M
Hernani
74'
M
14
Pedro Obiang
45'
M
Pedro Obiang
45'
M
32
Matteo Pessina
1 ⚽
M
Matteo Pessina
1 ⚽
M
26
P. Ciurria
52'
M
P. Ciurria
52'
M
37
A. Petagna
F
A. Petagna
F
10
P. Cutrone
48'
F
P. Cutrone
48'
F
Bench
24
A. Bakoune
61'
D
A. Bakoune
61'
D
28
A. Colpani
16'
M
A. Colpani
16'
M
47
Dany Mota
F
Dany Mota
F
30
G. Caso
45'
M
G. Caso
45'
M
17
K. Baldé
24'
F
K. Baldé
24'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
J. Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
8.20
· 49 pass
Costantino Favasuli
F · Catanzaro
7.50
· 22 pass
D · Monza
7.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.00
· 13 pass
G. Caso
M · Monza
6.90
· 18 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| N. Brighenti | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| M. D'Alessandro | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 67 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Alesi | M | 36 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | 1 |
| M. Liberali | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Koffi | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hernani | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Ciurria | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 48 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 2 | 1 |
| A. Bakoune | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Colpani | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Caso | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| K. Baldé | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Monza?
The final score was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Monza?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Monza win.