← Serie B
#5 · 59 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#3 · 76 pts
S. Pontisso 6'
(pen.) 90'+6 M. Pessina

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Monza 32%). The final result was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monza.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
0.92
Actual xG
1.13
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
5
19
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
S. Pontisso
6'
8'
P. Cutrone
M. D'Alessandro
15'
M. D'Alessandro / R. Frosinini
18'
29'
A. Bakoune / P. Azzi
F. Pittarello
32'
G. Alesi
36'
45'
L. Lucchesi
46'
G. Caso / P. Obiang
46'
A. Carboni / L. Lucchesi
48'
P. Cutrone
48'
P. Cutrone
52'
K. Balde / P. Ciurria
M. Liberali / F. Rispoli
67'
S. Pontisso / M. Pompetti
67'
N. Brighenti
69'
74'
A. Colpani / Hernani
T. Cassandro
76'
76'
K. Balde
86'
F. Pittarello / N. Koffi
89'
90'+6
(pen.) M. Pessina
Pre-match prediction
43.31%
Catanzaro
24.65%
X ←
32.04%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Catanzaro
1.91
0.92
-0.99
Monza
1.48
1.13
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-3
22
G 6.70
23 Nicolò Brighenti Nicolò Brighenti D 6.70
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini D 6.50
84 Tommaso Cassandro Tommaso Cassandro D 6.60
77 Marco D'Alessandro Marco D'Alessandro 18' M 6.50
20 Simone Pontisso Simone Pontisso 1 ⚽ 67' M 8.30
10 Jacopo Petriccione Jacopo Petriccione M 8.20
30 Gabriele Alesi Gabriele Alesi 36' M 5.90
14 Mattia Liberali Mattia Liberali 67' F 6.90
8 Filippo Pittarello Filippo Pittarello 89' F 6.60
27 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli F 7.50
Bench
26 Bruno Verrengia Bruno Verrengia D
98
D. Buglio M
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli 23' M 6.50
94 Federico Di Francesco Federico Di Francesco F
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D
2
G. Esteves D
21 Marco Pompetti Marco Pompetti 23' M 6.90
39 N'Dri Koffi N'Dri Koffi 1' F
28 Rémi Oudin Rémi Oudin M
62 Ruggero Frosinini Ruggero Frosinini 72' D 5.90
Monza Monza 3-5-2
20
G 6.90
3
L. Lucchesi 45' D 6.30
15
F. Delli Carri D 6.30
13
D 7.20
7 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi 29' M 6.30
8
Hernani 74' M 6.30
14
P. Obiang 45' M 6.50
32
M. Pessina 1 ⚽ M 6.90
26
P. Ciurria 52' M 6.50
37 A. Petagna A. Petagna F 7.00
10
P. Cutrone 48' F 5.20
Bench
24
A. Bakoune 61' D 6.30
28
A. Colpani 16' M 6.60
47
D. Mota F
30
G. Caso 45' M 6.90
17 K. Baldé K. Baldé 24' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Simone Pontisso
Simone Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
Jacopo Petriccione
Jacopo Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
8.20
· 49 pass
Costantino Favasuli
Costantino Favasuli
F · Catanzaro
7.50
· 22 pass
D · Monza
7.20
1 shots · 47 pass
A. Petagna
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.00
· 13 pass
G. Caso
M · Monza
6.90
· 18 pass
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 38 25%
Nicolò Brighenti D 90 6.70 40 30% 1
Matias Antonini D 90 6.50 1 37 34% 1
Tommaso Cassandro D 90 6.60 31 27% 1
Marco D'Alessandro M 18 6.50 5 5% 1
Simone Pontisso M 67 8.30 1 1 39 33% 2
Jacopo Petriccione M 90 8.20 49 41% 2
Gabriele Alesi M 36 5.90 1 9 7% 3 1
Mattia Liberali F 67 6.90 16 13% 3
Filippo Pittarello F 89 6.60 2 16 12% 1
Costantino Favasuli F 90 7.50 22 16% 3
Fabio Rispoli M 23 6.50 6 5%
Marco Pompetti M 23 6.90 1 13 12% 3
N'Dri Koffi F 1
Ruggero Frosinini D 72 5.90 2 16 12% 2
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 30 24%
L. Lucchesi D 45 6.30 1 21 18% 2 1
F. Delli Carri D 90 6.30 1 31 29% 2
D 90 7.20 1 47 38% 2
Paulo Azzi M 29 6.30 1 1%
Hernani M 74 6.30 2 39 35% 1
P. Obiang M 45 6.50 13 11% 1
M. Pessina M 90 6.90 1 1 61 45% 4
P. Ciurria M 52 6.50 15 11% 2
A. Petagna F 90 7.00 13 11%
P. Cutrone F 48 5.20 1 6 5% 2 1
A. Bakoune D 61 6.30 25 25% 5
A. Colpani M 16 6.60 6 6%
G. Caso M 45 6.90 18 16%
K. Baldé F 24 6.70 7 7% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Monza?
The final score was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Monza?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Monza win.