S. Pontisso
6'
(pen.)
90'+6
M. Pessina
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Monza 32%). The final result was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza. In 3 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Monza.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
0.92
Actual xG
1.13
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
5
19
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Pontisso
6'
8'
P. Cutrone
M. D'Alessandro
15'
M. D'Alessandro
/ R. Frosinini
18'
29'
A. Bakoune
/
P. Azzi
F. Pittarello
32'
G. Alesi
36'
45'
L. Lucchesi
46'
G. Caso
/
P. Obiang
46'
A. Carboni
/
L. Lucchesi
48'
P. Cutrone
48'
P. Cutrone
52'
K. Balde
/
P. Ciurria
M. Liberali
/ F. Rispoli
67'
S. Pontisso
/ M. Pompetti
67'
N. Brighenti
69'
74'
A. Colpani
/
Hernani
T. Cassandro
76'
76'
K. Balde
86'
F. Pittarello
/ N. Koffi
89'
90'+6
(pen.)
M. Pessina⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.31%
Catanzaro
24.65%
X ←
32.04%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
0.92
-0.99
1.48
1.13
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
23
Nicolò Brighenti
D
Nicolò Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
Tommaso Cassandro
D
Tommaso Cassandro
D
77
Marco D'Alessandro
18'
M
Marco D'Alessandro
18'
M
20
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
67'
M
S. Pontisso
1 ⚽
67'
M
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
30
Gabriele Alesi
36'
M
Gabriele Alesi
36'
M
14
Mattia Liberali
67'
F
Mattia Liberali
67'
F
8
F. Pittarello
89'
F
F. Pittarello
89'
F
27
Costantino Favasuli
F
Costantino Favasuli
F
Bench
26
Bruno Verrengia
D
Bruno Verrengia
D
98
Davide Buglio
M
Davide Buglio
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
23'
M
Fabio Rispoli
23'
M
94
Federico Di Francesco
F
Federico Di Francesco
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
2
G. Esteves
D
21
Marco Pompetti
23'
M
Marco Pompetti
23'
M
39
N'Dri Koffi
1'
F
N'Dri Koffi
1'
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
Rémi Oudin
M
62
R. Frosinini
72'
D
R. Frosinini
72'
D
20
G
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
45'
D
Lorenzo Lucchesi
45'
D
15
Filippo Delli Carri
D
Filippo Delli Carri
D
13
D
7
Paulo Azzi
29'
M
Paulo Azzi
29'
M
8
Hernani
74'
M
Hernani
74'
M
14
Pedro Obiang
45'
M
Pedro Obiang
45'
M
32
Matteo Pessina
1 ⚽
M
Matteo Pessina
1 ⚽
M
26
Patrick Ciurria
52'
M
Patrick Ciurria
52'
M
37
A. Petagna
F
A. Petagna
F
10
Patrick Cutrone
48'
F
Patrick Cutrone
48'
F
Bench
24
Adam Bakoune
61'
D
Adam Bakoune
61'
D
28
Andrea Colpani
16'
M
Andrea Colpani
16'
M
47
Dany Mota
F
Dany Mota
F
30
Giuseppe Caso
45'
M
Giuseppe Caso
45'
M
17
K. Baldé
24'
F
K. Baldé
24'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
J. Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
8.20
· 49 pass
Costantino Favasuli
F · Catanzaro
7.50
· 22 pass
D · Monza
7.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.00
· 13 pass
Giuseppe Caso
M · Monza
6.90
· 18 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolò Brighenti | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Tommaso Cassandro | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Marco D'Alessandro | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 67 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriele Alesi | M | 36 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Mattia Liberali | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pompetti | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| N'Dri Koffi | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Lorenzo Lucchesi | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Filippo Delli Carri | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hernani | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrick Ciurria | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Cutrone | F | 48 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Adam Bakoune | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Andrea Colpani | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Caso | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| K. Baldé | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Monza?
The final score was Catanzaro 1–1 Monza.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Monza?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Monza win.