← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 25, 2026 12:30
Catanzaro
#5 · 59 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Spezia
#19 · 35 pts
J. Petriccione (ast. C. Favasuli) 24'
Fellipe Jack (ast. C. Favasuli) 63'
F. Pittarello (ast. T. Cassandro) 78'
F. Pittarello (ast. F. Di Francesco) 82'
44' (ast. G. Lapadula) M. Valoti
(pen.) 90'+3 G. Lapadula

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Spezia 21%). The final result was Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Spezia.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
4
1.79
Actual xG
2.04
2
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
9
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽J. Petriccione · ast. C. Favasuli
24'
44'
ast. G. Lapadula · M. Valoti⚽
45'
G. Di Serio
⚽Fellipe Jack · ast. C. Favasuli
63'
J. Petriccione
66'
67'
L. Skjellerup / G. Di Serio ↕
67'
A. Romano / A. Nagy ↕
↕ J. Petriccione / F. Rispoli
71'
75'
P. Hristov
↕ Fellipe Jack / R. Frosinini
77'
↕ S. Pontisso / M. Pompetti
78'
↕ M. Liberali / P. Nuamah
78'
78'
E. Adamo / P. Beruatto ↕
⚽F. Pittarello · ast. T. Cassandro
78'
80'
M. Valoti
⚽F. Pittarello · ast. F. Di Francesco
82'
87'
L. Vignali / L. Sernicola ↕
87'
A. Bellemo / C. Comotto ↕
↕ F. Di Francesco / G. Esteves
89'
90'+3
(pen.) G. Lapadula⚽
Pre-match prediction
53.82%
Catanzaro ←
24.51%
X
21.67%
Spezia
we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro) 53.82% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Catanzaro
1.98
1.79
-0.19
Spezia
1.22
2.04
+0.82
xG dominance was balanced (1.79 – 2.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
22
G 7.30
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack 1 ⚽ 77' D 7.60
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini D 6.50
84 Tommaso Cassandro Tommaso Cassandro 1 👟 D 7.50
94 Federico Di Francesco Federico Di Francesco 1 👟 89' M 7.50
10 Jacopo Petriccione Jacopo Petriccione 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.90
20 Simone Pontisso Simone Pontisso 78' M 7.00
27 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli 2 👟 M 6.90
30 Gabriele Alesi Gabriele Alesi F 7.30
14 Mattia Liberali Mattia Liberali 78' F 6.30
8 Filippo Pittarello Filippo Pittarello 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
26 Bruno Verrengia Bruno Verrengia D
98
D. Buglio M
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli 26' M 6.60
2
G. Esteves 8' D 6.50
21 Marco Pompetti Marco Pompetti 19' M 6.30
39 N'Dri Koffi N'Dri Koffi F
19 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah Patrick Amiamo Nuamah 19' F 6.70
28 Rémi Oudin Rémi Oudin M
62 Ruggero Frosinini Ruggero Frosinini 20' D 6.20
Spezia Spezia 5-4-1
12
D. Mascardi G 7.30
11
P. Beruatto 78' D 6.20
31
G. Aurelio D 5.90
55
P. Hristov D 6.30
37
A. Mateju D 6.70
17
L. Sernicola 87' D 5.90
5
M. Valoti 1 ⚽ M 8.30
8
A. Nagy 67' M 6.50
34
C. Comotto 87' M 6.70
20
G. Di Serio 67' M 6.20
10
G. Lapadula 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.30
Bench
60
Alessandro Romano 30' M 6.30
70
E. Adamo 19' M 6.50
25
F. Bandinelli M
94
G. Bonfanti D
32
L. Vignali 10' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Valoti
M · Spezia
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Filippo Pittarello
Filippo Pittarello
F · Catanzaro
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 9 pass
Jacopo Petriccione
Jacopo Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 59 pass
Fellipe Jack
Fellipe Jack
D · Catanzaro
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Tommaso Cassandro
Tommaso Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 32 pass
Federico Di Francesco
Federico Di Francesco
M · Catanzaro
7.50
1 👟
· 27 pass
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.30 — — — 36 23% — — —
Fellipe Jack D 77 7.60 1 — 1 44 40% 3 — —
Matias Antonini D 97 6.50 — — — 49 46% — — —
Tommaso Cassandro D 97 7.50 — 1 1 32 30% 2 — —
Federico Di Francesco M 89 7.50 — 1 — 27 21% 1 — —
Jacopo Petriccione M 71 7.90 1 — 1 59 53% — 1 —
Simone Pontisso M 78 7.00 — — — 55 48% — — —
Costantino Favasuli M 97 6.90 — 2 1 26 23% 1 — —
Gabriele Alesi F 97 7.30 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
Mattia Liberali F 78 6.30 — — 2 28 21% 1 — —
Filippo Pittarello F 97 8.20 2 — 3 9 8% 1 — —
Fabio Rispoli M 26 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
G. Esteves D 8 6.50 — — — — — 1 — —
Marco Pompetti M 19 6.30 — — — 9 9% — — —
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah F 19 6.70 — — — 1 — — — —
Ruggero Frosinini D 20 6.20 — — — 5 1% 1 — —
Spezia Spezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Mascardi G 97 7.30 — — — 21 12% — — —
P. Beruatto D 78 6.20 — — 1 15 9% 1 — —
G. Aurelio D 97 5.90 — — — 21 11% — — —
P. Hristov D 97 6.30 — — — 22 17% 4 1 —
A. Mateju D 97 6.70 — — — 30 20% 1 — —
L. Sernicola D 87 5.90 — — 1 9 5% 3 — —
M. Valoti M 97 8.30 1 — 3 22 16% 2 1 —
A. Nagy M 67 6.50 — — — 18 14% 3 — —
C. Comotto M 87 6.70 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
G. Di Serio M 67 6.20 — — 1 10 7% — 1 —
G. Lapadula F 97 7.30 1 1 3 16 14% — — —
Alessandro Romano M 30 6.30 — — 1 12 9% — — —
E. Adamo M 19 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
L. Vignali D 10 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Spezia?
The final score was Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Spezia?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Spezia win.