J. Petriccione
(ast. C. Favasuli)
24'
Fellipe Jack
(ast. C. Favasuli)
63'
F. Pittarello
(ast. T. Cassandro)
78'
F. Pittarello
(ast. F. Di Francesco)
82'
44'
(ast. G. Lapadula)
M. Valoti
(pen.)
90'+3
G. Lapadula
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Spezia 21%). The final result was Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia. In 1 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Spezia.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
4
1.79
Actual xG
2.04
2
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
9
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽J. Petriccione
· ast. C. Favasuli
24'
44'
ast. G. Lapadula ·
M. Valoti⚽
45'
G. Di Serio
⚽Fellipe Jack
· ast. C. Favasuli
63'
J. Petriccione
66'
67'
L. Skjellerup
/
G. Di Serio
67'
A. Romano
/
A. Nagy
J. Petriccione
/ F. Rispoli
71'
75'
P. Hristov
Fellipe Jack
/ R. Frosinini
77'
S. Pontisso
/ M. Pompetti
78'
M. Liberali
/ P. Nuamah
78'
78'
E. Adamo
/
P. Beruatto
⚽F. Pittarello
· ast. T. Cassandro
78'
80'
M. Valoti
⚽F. Pittarello
· ast. F. Di Francesco
82'
87'
L. Vignali
/
L. Sernicola
87'
A. Bellemo
/
C. Comotto
F. Di Francesco
/ G. Esteves
89'
90'+3
(pen.)
G. Lapadula⚽
Pre-match prediction
53.82%
Catanzaro ←
24.51%
X
21.67%
Spezia
we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro)
53.82%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.79
-0.19
1.22
2.04
+0.82
xG dominance was balanced (1.79 – 2.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
6
Fellipe Jack
1 ⚽
77'
D
Fellipe Jack
1 ⚽
77'
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
T. Cassandro
1 👟
D
T. Cassandro
1 👟
D
94
F. Di Francesco
1 👟
89'
M
F. Di Francesco
1 👟
89'
M
10
J. Petriccione
1 ⚽
71'
M
J. Petriccione
1 ⚽
71'
M
20
S. Pontisso
78'
M
S. Pontisso
78'
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
2 👟
M
Costantino Favasuli
2 👟
M
30
G. Alesi
F
G. Alesi
F
14
M. Liberali
78'
F
M. Liberali
78'
F
8
F. Pittarello
2 ⚽
F
F. Pittarello
2 ⚽
F
Bench
26
B. Verrengia
D
B. Verrengia
D
98
D. Buglio
M
D. Buglio
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
26'
M
Fabio Rispoli
26'
M
2
Gonçalo Esteves
8'
D
Gonçalo Esteves
8'
D
21
M. Pompetti
19'
M
M. Pompetti
19'
M
39
N. Koffi
F
N. Koffi
F
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
19'
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
19'
F
62
R. Frosinini
20'
D
R. Frosinini
20'
D
28
R. Oudin
M
12
D. Mascardi
G
D. Mascardi
G
11
P. Beruatto
78'
D
P. Beruatto
78'
D
31
G. Aurelio
D
G. Aurelio
D
55
P. Hristov
D
37
A. Mateju
D
17
L. Sernicola
87'
D
L. Sernicola
87'
D
5
M. Valoti
1 ⚽
M
M. Valoti
1 ⚽
M
8
Á. Nagy
67'
M
Á. Nagy
67'
M
34
C. Comotto
87'
M
C. Comotto
87'
M
20
G. Di Serio
67'
M
10
G. Lapadula
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
G. Lapadula
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
60
A. Romano
30'
M
A. Romano
30'
M
70
E. Adamo
19'
M
E. Adamo
19'
M
25
F. Bandinelli
M
F. Bandinelli
M
94
G. Bonfanti
D
G. Bonfanti
D
32
L. Vignali
10'
D
L. Vignali
10'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Valoti
M · Spezia
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
F. Pittarello
F · Catanzaro
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
J. Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 59 pass
Fellipe Jack
D · Catanzaro
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
T. Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
F. Di Francesco
M · Catanzaro
7.50
1 👟
· 27 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Fellipe Jack | D | 77 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | — | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Di Francesco | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 71 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 59 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Alesi | F | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 97 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Esteves | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Amiamo Nuamah | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Spezia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mascardi | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Beruatto | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Aurelio | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| P. Hristov | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Mateju | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sernicola | D | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Valoti | M | 97 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Á. Nagy | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Comotto | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Di Serio | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Lapadula | F | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Romano | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| E. Adamo | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Vignali | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Spezia?
The final score was Catanzaro 4–2 Spezia.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Spezia?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Catanzaro win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Spezia win.