← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 34 April 25, 2026 20:30
Celtic
#2 · 79 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Falkirk
#6 · 46 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Celtic
D. Maeda 30'
K. Tierney (ast. D. Maeda) 44'
D. Maeda (ast. S. Tounekti) 83'
70' (ast. L. McCann) K. Wilson

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 66% win probability (draw 18%, Falkirk 14%). The final result was Celtic 3–1 Falkirk. In 3 previous meetings, Celtic have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Falkirk.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
3
1.20
Actual xG
0.81
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
4
18
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Maeda
30'
⚽K. Tierney · ast. D. Maeda
44'
↕ J. Forrest / S. Tounekti
62'
62'
E. Ross / F. Yeats ↕
62'
K. Wilson / B. Broggio ↕
A. Trusty
64'
70'
ast. L. McCann · K. Wilson⚽
A. Ralston
70'
71'
K. Wilson
↕ K. Tierney / M. Saracchi
72'
↕ A. Ralston / A. Johnston
72'
↕ Yang Hyun-Jun / K. Iheanacho
72'
77'
D. Tait
↕ C. McGregor / A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
78'
80'
B. Parkinson / B. Stewart ↕
⚽D. Maeda · ast. S. Tounekti
83'
89'
L. McCann
90'
H. Cartwright / D. Tait ↕
Pre-match prediction
66.94%
Celtic ←
18.23%
X
14.82%
Falkirk
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 66.94% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celtic
2.53
1.20
-1.33
Falkirk
1.07
0.81
-0.26
Celtic dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
12
G 6.00
63 Kieran Tierney Kieran Tierney 1 ⚽ 72' D 7.90
5 Liam Scales Liam Scales D 6.90
6 Auston Trusty Auston Trusty D 7.00
56 Tony Ralston Tony Ralston 72' D 6.50
27 Arne Engels Arne Engels M 6.90
42 Callum McGregor Callum McGregor 78' M 6.90
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 72' M 6.20
8 Benjamin Nygren Benjamin Nygren M 7.60
49 James Forrest James Forrest 62' M 6.90
38 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.20
Bench
21 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 14' M 6.70
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston 20' D 6.60
17 Kelechi Iheanacho Kelechi Iheanacho 20' F 6.70
14 Luke McCowan Luke McCowan M
41 Reo Hatate Reo Hatate M
23 Sebastian Tounekti Sebastian Tounekti 1 👟 30' F 7.20
Falkirk Falkirk 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.00
3
L. McCann 1 👟 D 6.20
20 Connor Allan Connor Allan D 6.70
15
D 5.90
2
Keelan Adams D 5.00
21 Dylan Tait Dylan Tait M 5.90
8 Brad Spencer Brad Spencer M 6.90
29 Calvin Miller Calvin Miller M 6.60
14 Finn Yeats Finn Yeats 62' M 6.70
11 Ben Broggio Ben Broggio 62' M 5.90
16
B. Stewart 80' F 5.90
Bench
27 Ben Parkinson Ben Parkinson 12' F 6.70
6 Coll Donaldson Coll Donaldson D
17 Henry Cartwright Henry Cartwright 2' M
22 Kyrell Wilson Kyrell Wilson 1 ⚽ 30' F 7.90
Best on the pitch
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda
F · Celtic
9.20
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 14 pass
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney
D · Celtic
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
Kyrell Wilson
Kyrell Wilson
F · Falkirk
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren
M · Celtic
7.60
1 shots · 43 pass
Sebastian Tounekti
Sebastian Tounekti
F · Celtic
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.00
· 47 pass
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.00 — — — 40 20% — — —
Kieran Tierney D 72 7.90 1 — 1 45 32% — — —
Liam Scales D 92 6.90 — — 1 60 50% 2 — —
Auston Trusty D 92 7.00 — — — 47 43% — 1 —
Tony Ralston D 72 6.50 — — 1 36 31% 1 1 —
Arne Engels M 92 6.90 — — 1 36 27% 5 — —
Callum McGregor M 78 6.90 — — — 41 37% 1 — —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 72 6.20 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
Benjamin Nygren M 92 7.60 — — 1 43 36% 3 — —
James Forrest M 62 6.90 — — — 16 13% 2 — —
Daizen Maeda F 92 9.20 2 1 4 14 11% 3 — —
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain M 14 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Alistair Johnston D 20 6.60 — — — 16 11% — — —
Kelechi Iheanacho F 20 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Sebastian Tounekti F 30 7.20 — 1 — 8 7% — — —
Falkirk Falkirk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.00 — — — 40 26% — — —
L. McCann D 92 6.20 — 1 — 43 34% 1 1 —
Connor Allan D 92 6.70 — — 1 46 41% 1 — —
D 92 5.90 — — — 41 30% — — —
Keelan Adams D 92 5.00 — — — 25 14% 2 — —
Dylan Tait M 90 5.90 — — 3 34 24% 1 1 —
Brad Spencer M 92 6.90 — — 2 44 35% 2 — —
Calvin Miller M 92 6.60 — — 1 22 18% — — —
Finn Yeats M 62 6.70 — — — 18 16% — — —
Ben Broggio M 62 5.90 — — — 16 13% — — —
B. Stewart F 80 5.90 — — 1 13 8% — — —
Ben Parkinson F 12 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Henry Cartwright M 2 — — — — 3 2% — — —
Kyrell Wilson F 30 7.90 1 — 2 8 5% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Falkirk?
The final score was Celtic 3–1 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Celtic win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an Falkirk win.