✓Model correct — prediction Celtic
D. Maeda
30'
K. Tierney
(ast. D. Maeda)
44'
D. Maeda
(ast. S. Tounekti)
83'
70'
(ast. L. McCann)
K. Wilson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 66% win probability (draw 18%, Falkirk 14%). The final result was Celtic 3–1 Falkirk. In 3 previous meetings, Celtic have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Falkirk.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
3
1.20
Actual xG
0.81
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
4
18
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Maeda
30'
⚽K. Tierney
· ast. D. Maeda
44'
J. Forrest
/ S. Tounekti
62'
62'
E. Ross
/
F. Yeats
62'
K. Wilson
/
B. Broggio
A. Trusty
64'
70'
ast. L. McCann ·
K. Wilson⚽
A. Ralston
70'
71'
K. Wilson
K. Tierney
/ M. Saracchi
72'
A. Ralston
/ A. Johnston
72'
Yang Hyun-Jun
/ K. Iheanacho
72'
77'
D. Tait
C. McGregor
/ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
78'
80'
B. Parkinson
/
B. Stewart
⚽D. Maeda
· ast. S. Tounekti
83'
89'
L. McCann
90'
H. Cartwright
/
D. Tait
Pre-match prediction
66.94%
Celtic ←
18.23%
X
14.82%
Falkirk
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
66.94%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.53
1.20
-1.33
1.07
0.81
-0.26
Celtic dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
63
Kieran Tierney
1 ⚽
72'
D
Kieran Tierney
1 ⚽
72'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
56
Tony Ralston
72'
D
Tony Ralston
72'
D
27
Arne Engels
M
42
C. McGregor
78'
M
C. McGregor
78'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
72'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
72'
M
8
B. Nygren
M
B. Nygren
M
49
James Forrest
62'
M
38
D. Maeda
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
D. Maeda
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
2
A. Johnston
20'
D
A. Johnston
20'
D
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
14'
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
20'
F
14
Luke McCowan
M
41
Reo Hatate
M
Reo Hatate
M
23
S. Tounekti
1 👟
30'
F
S. Tounekti
1 👟
30'
F
1
G
3
L. McCann
1 👟
D
20
Connor Allan
D
Connor Allan
D
15
D
2
Keelan Adams
D
21
D. Tait
M
D. Tait
M
8
B. Spencer
M
B. Spencer
M
29
C. Miller
M
C. Miller
M
14
Finn Yeats
62'
M
Finn Yeats
62'
M
11
Ben Broggio
62'
M
Ben Broggio
62'
M
16
B. Stewart
80'
F
Bench
27
Ben Parkinson
12'
F
Ben Parkinson
12'
F
6
Coll Donaldson
D
Coll Donaldson
D
17
Henry Cartwright
2'
M
Henry Cartwright
2'
M
22
Kyrell Wilson
1 ⚽
30'
F
Kyrell Wilson
1 ⚽
30'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Maeda
F · Celtic
9.20
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 14 pass
Kieran Tierney
D · Celtic
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
Kyrell Wilson
F · Falkirk
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.60
1 shots
· 43 pass
S. Tounekti
F · Celtic
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.00
· 47 pass
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Kieran Tierney | D | 72 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Arne Engels | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| James Forrest | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 92 | 9.20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| L. McCann | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Connor Allan | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Keelan Adams | D | 92 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Tait | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ben Broggio | M | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Stewart | F | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | F | 30 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Falkirk?
The final score was Celtic 3–1 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Celtic win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an Falkirk win.