✓Model correct — prediction Celtic
D. Maeda
30'
K. Tierney
(ast. D. Maeda)
44'
D. Maeda
(ast. S. Tounekti)
83'
70'
(ast. L. McCann)
K. Wilson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 66% win probability (draw 18%, Falkirk 14%). The final result was Celtic 3–1 Falkirk. In 4 previous meetings, Celtic have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Falkirk.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
3
1.20
Actual xG
0.81
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
4
18
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Maeda
30'
⚽K. Tierney
· ast. D. Maeda
44'
J. Forrest
/ S. Tounekti
62'
62'
E. Ross
/
F. Yeats
62'
K. Wilson
/
B. Broggio
A. Trusty
64'
70'
ast. L. McCann ·
K. Wilson⚽
A. Ralston
70'
71'
K. Wilson
K. Tierney
/ M. Saracchi
72'
A. Ralston
/ A. Johnston
72'
Yang Hyun-Jun
/ K. Iheanacho
72'
77'
D. Tait
C. McGregor
/ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
78'
80'
B. Parkinson
/
B. Stewart
⚽D. Maeda
· ast. S. Tounekti
83'
89'
L. McCann
90'
H. Cartwright
/
D. Tait
Pre-match prediction
66.94%
Celtic ←
18.23%
X
14.82%
Falkirk
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
66.94%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.53
1.20
-1.33
1.07
0.81
-0.26
Celtic dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
63
K. Tierney
1 ⚽
72'
D
K. Tierney
1 ⚽
72'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
56
A. Ralston
72'
D
A. Ralston
72'
D
27
A. Engels
M
A. Engels
M
42
C. McGregor
78'
M
C. McGregor
78'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
72'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
72'
M
8
B. Nygren
M
B. Nygren
M
49
J. Forrest
62'
M
J. Forrest
62'
M
38
Daizen Maeda
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Daizen Maeda
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
2
Alistair Johnston
20'
D
Alistair Johnston
20'
D
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
14'
M
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
14'
M
17
K. Ịheanachọ
20'
F
K. Ịheanachọ
20'
F
14
L. McCowan
M
L. McCowan
M
41
R. Hatate
M
R. Hatate
M
23
S. Tounekti
1 👟
30'
F
S. Tounekti
1 👟
30'
F
1
G
3
L. McCann
1 👟
D
L. McCann
1 👟
D
20
C. Allan
D
C. Allan
D
15
D
2
Keelan Adams
D
21
D. Tait
M
D. Tait
M
8
B. Spencer
M
B. Spencer
M
29
C. Miller
M
C. Miller
M
14
F. Yeats
62'
M
F. Yeats
62'
M
11
B. Broggio
62'
M
B. Broggio
62'
M
16
Barney Stewart
80'
F
Barney Stewart
80'
F
Bench
27
Ben Parkinson
12'
F
Ben Parkinson
12'
F
6
C. Donaldson
D
C. Donaldson
D
17
Henry Cartwright
2'
M
Henry Cartwright
2'
M
22
Kyrell Wilson
1 ⚽
30'
F
Kyrell Wilson
1 ⚽
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Daizen Maeda
F · Celtic
9.20
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 14 pass
K. Tierney
D · Celtic
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
Kyrell Wilson
F · Falkirk
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
7.60
1 shots
· 43 pass
S. Tounekti
F · Celtic
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.00
· 47 pass
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| K. Tierney | D | 72 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Auston Trusty | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Engels | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Daizen Maeda | F | 92 | 9.20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Alistair Johnston | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Ịheanachọ | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| L. McCann | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Allan | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Keelan Adams | D | 92 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Tait | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| B. Broggio | M | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Barney Stewart | F | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | F | 30 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Falkirk?
The final score was Celtic 3–1 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Celtic win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an Falkirk win.