← Scottish Premiership

Celtic - Heart Of Midlothian

Scottish Premiership May 16, 2026 13:30
#2 · 79 pts
vs
#1 · 70 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 11.8°C 💨 6 km/h · Glasgow
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.3%
Win
Celtic
19.35%
Draw
27.35%
Win
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Expected xG
1.65

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celtic a 53% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 27% for Heart Of Midlothian. Expected goals are 2.3 for Celtic and 1.6 for Heart Of Midlothian (total 4.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Celtic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.

Score Matrix
↕ Celtic Heart Of Midlothian →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.4% 7.2% 5.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.1% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.5% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Recent form
W Motherwell 2–3
W Rangers 3–1
W Hibernian 1–2
W Falkirk 3–1
W ST Mirren 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 21%
W Falkirk 3–0
D Motherwell 1–1
W Rangers 2–1
W Hibernian 1–2
W Motherwell 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Celtic Celtic
Attack
49
Defence
72
Form
74
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
Attack
43
Defence
77
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model gives Celtic a 53% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 27% for an Heart Of Midlothian win.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Expected goals: Celtic 2.3, Heart Of Midlothian 1.6 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.