A. Engels
45'+3
(pen.)
D. Maeda
(ast. C. Osmand)
88'
C. Osmand
(ast. C. McGregor)
90'+8
43'
(ast. S. Kingsley)
L. Shankland
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Heart Of Midlothian 27%). The final result was Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Celtic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
2.82
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
2
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
6
7
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Johnston
35'
38'
M. Steinwender
43'
ast. S. Kingsley ·
L. Shankland⚽
⚽A. Engels
(pen.)
45'+3
S. Tounekti
/ K. Iheanacho
46'
47'
F. Kent
/
J. Altena
50'
B. Spittal
/
B. Baningime
B. Nygren
53'
A. Trusty
58'
Yang Hyun-Jun
/ J. Forrest
62'
67'
A. Forrest
/
A. Kyziridis
67'
I. Chesnokov
/
H. Milne
67'
C. Braga
/
P. Kabore
K. Tierney
/ M. Saracchi
73'
A. Trusty
/ C. Osmand
73'
77'
S. Findlay
⚽D. Maeda
· ast. C. Osmand
88'
B. Nygren
/ D. Murray
89'
90'+4
L. Shankland
M. Saracchi
90'+4
D. Maeda
90'+6
C. McGregor
90'+7
⚽C. Osmand
· ast. C. McGregor
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
53.63%
Celtic ←
19.08%
X
27.29%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
53.63%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
2.82
+0.42
1.69
0.96
-0.73
Celtic dominated by xG (2.82 vs 0.96).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Viljami Sinisalo
G
Viljami Sinisalo
G
63
Kieran Tierney
73'
D
Kieran Tierney
73'
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
A. Trusty
73'
D
A. Trusty
73'
D
2
A. Johnston
D
A. Johnston
D
27
Arne Engels
1 ⚽
M
42
C. McGregor
1 👟
M
C. McGregor
1 👟
M
23
S. Tounekti
45'
M
S. Tounekti
45'
M
8
B. Nygren
89'
M
B. Nygren
89'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
62'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
62'
M
38
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
D. Maeda
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
19
Callum Osmand
1 ⚽
1 👟
17'
F
47
Dane Murray
8'
D
49
James Forrest
28'
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
45'
F
14
Luke McCowan
M
36
Marcelo Saracchi
17'
D
31
Ross Doohan
G
56
Tony Ralston
D
Tony Ralston
D
25
Alexander Schwolow
G
Alexander Schwolow
G
18
H. Milne
68'
D
H. Milne
68'
D
19
Stuart Findlay
D
Stuart Findlay
D
15
Michael Steinwender
D
Michael Steinwender
D
3
Stephen Kingsley
1 👟
D
Stephen Kingsley
1 👟
D
23
J. Altena
47'
M
J. Altena
47'
M
6
Beni Baningime
51'
M
Beni Baningime
51'
M
14
C. Devlin
M
C. Devlin
M
89
A. Kyziridis
67'
M
A. Kyziridis
67'
M
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
68'
F
9
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
F
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
Alan Forrest
23'
F
Alan Forrest
23'
F
16
Blair Spittal
39'
M
Blair Spittal
39'
M
12
Christian Borchgrevink
D
Christian Borchgrevink
D
10
Cláudio Braga
22'
F
Cláudio Braga
22'
F
2
Frankie Kent
43'
D
Frankie Kent
43'
D
99
I. Chesnokov
22'
M
I. Chesnokov
22'
M
5
Jamie McCart
D
Jamie McCart
D
30
Ryan Fulton
G
Ryan Fulton
G
29
Sabah Kerjota
F
Sabah Kerjota
F
Best on the pitch
Callum Osmand
F · Celtic
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 6 pass
L. Scales
D · Celtic
7.70
· 56 pass
Arne Engels
M · Celtic
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
D. Maeda
F · Celtic
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.20
1 shots
· 78 pass
Lawrence Shankland
F · Heart
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viljami Sinisalo | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Tierney | D | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 72% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Arne Engels | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Tounekti | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Callum Osmand | F | 17 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dane Murray | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Forrest | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Saracchi | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schwolow | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 10% | — | — | — |
| H. Milne | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Stuart Findlay | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Michael Steinwender | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Altena | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Beni Baningime | M | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Devlin | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Kyziridis | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Lawrence Shankland | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alan Forrest | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Frankie Kent | D | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Chesnokov | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Celtic win, 19% to a draw, and 27% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.