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Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 38 May 16, 2026 13:30 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic
#1 · 6 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Heart Of Midlothian
#4 · 3 pts
A. Engels 45'+3 (pen.)
D. Maeda (ast. C. Osmand) 88'
C. Osmand (ast. C. McGregor) 90'+8
43' (ast. S. Kingsley) L. Shankland
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Heart Of Midlothian 27%). The final result was Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Celtic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
2.82
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
2
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
6
7
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Johnston
35'
38'
M. Steinwender
43'
ast. S. Kingsley · L. Shankland⚽
⚽A. Engels (pen.)
45'+3
↕ S. Tounekti / K. Iheanacho
46'
47'
F. Kent / J. Altena ↕
50'
B. Spittal / B. Baningime ↕
B. Nygren
53'
A. Trusty
58'
↕ Yang Hyun-Jun / J. Forrest
62'
67'
A. Forrest / A. Kyziridis ↕
67'
I. Chesnokov / H. Milne ↕
67'
C. Braga / P. Kabore ↕
↕ K. Tierney / M. Saracchi
73'
↕ A. Trusty / C. Osmand
73'
77'
S. Findlay
⚽D. Maeda · ast. C. Osmand
88'
↕ B. Nygren / D. Murray
89'
90'+4
L. Shankland
M. Saracchi
90'+4
D. Maeda
90'+6
C. McGregor
90'+7
⚽C. Osmand · ast. C. McGregor
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
53.63%
Celtic ←
19.08%
X
27.29%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 53.63% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celtic
2.40
2.82
+0.42
Heart
1.69
0.96
-0.73
Celtic dominated by xG (2.82 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 2 6
2 ST Mirren ST Mirren 2 6
3 Motherwell Motherwell 2 4
4 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 2 3
5 Dundee Dundee 2 3
6 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 2 3
7 Hibernian Hibernian 2 3
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2 3
9 Rangers Rangers 2 1
10 Falkirk Falkirk 2 1
11 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 2 1
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2 0
Lineups
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
12 Viljami Sinisalo Viljami Sinisalo G 6.70
63 K. Tierney K. Tierney 73' D 6.60
5 L. Scales L. Scales D 7.70
6 Auston Trusty Auston Trusty 73' D 7.20
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston D 6.70
27 A. Engels A. Engels 1 ⚽ M 7.70
42 Callum McGregor Callum McGregor 1 👟 M 6.50
23 Sebastian Tounekti Sebastian Tounekti 45' M 6.30
8 B. Nygren B. Nygren 89' M 6.30
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 62' M 6.20
38 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
21 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain M
19 Callum Osmand Callum Osmand 1 ⚽ 1 👟 17' F 8.60
47 Dane Murray Dane Murray 8' D 6.90
49 James Forrest James Forrest 28' M 6.90
17
Kelechi Iheanacho 45' F 6.70
14 L. McCowan L. McCowan M
36
Marcelo Saracchi 17' D 6.90
31 Ross Doohan Ross Doohan G
56 Tony Ralston Tony Ralston D
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 4-4-2
25 Alexander Schwolow Alexander Schwolow G 6.70
18
Harry Milne 68' D 6.90
19 S. Findlay S. Findlay D 5.60
15 Michael Steinwender Michael Steinwender D 6.20
3 Stephen Kingsley Stephen Kingsley 1 👟 D 6.60
23 J. Altena J. Altena 47' M 6.30
6 Beni Baningime Beni Baningime 51' M 6.20
14 Cameron Devlin Cameron Devlin M 6.20
89
Alexandros Kyziridis 67' M 6.50
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré Pierre Landry Kaboré 68' F 6.30
9 Lawrence Shankland Lawrence Shankland 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
17 Alan Forrest Alan Forrest 23' F 6.50
16 Blair Spittal Blair Spittal 39' M 6.50
12 Christian Borchgrevink Christian Borchgrevink D
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga 22' F 6.50
2 Frankie Kent Frankie Kent 43' D 6.30
99 I. Chesnokov I. Chesnokov 22' M 6.70
5 Jamie McCart Jamie McCart D
30 Ryan Fulton Ryan Fulton G
29 S. Kerjota S. Kerjota F
Best on the pitch
Callum Osmand
Callum Osmand
F · Celtic
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 6 pass
L. Scales
L. Scales
D · Celtic
7.70
· 56 pass
A. Engels
A. Engels
M · Celtic
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda
F · Celtic
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.20
1 shots · 78 pass
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland
F · Heart
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Viljami Sinisalo G 90 6.70 — — — 37 33% — — —
K. Tierney D 73 6.60 — — — 31 20% — — —
L. Scales D 90 7.70 — — — 56 49% 1 — —
Auston Trusty D 73 7.20 — — 1 78 72% — 1 —
Alistair Johnston D 90 6.70 — — — 50 37% 3 1 —
A. Engels M 90 7.70 1 — 2 35 29% 1 — —
Callum McGregor M 90 6.50 — 1 — 41 35% — 1 —
Sebastian Tounekti M 45 6.30 — — 1 14 14% — — —
B. Nygren M 89 6.30 — — 3 38 30% 1 1 —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 62 6.20 — — — 27 15% 1 — —
Daizen Maeda F 90 7.60 1 — 2 18 15% — 1 —
Callum Osmand F 17 8.60 1 1 1 6 4% — — —
Dane Murray D 8 6.90 — — — — — — — —
James Forrest M 28 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
Kelechi Iheanacho F 45 6.70 — — 1 12 10% — — —
Marcelo Saracchi D 17 6.90 — — — 11 8% — 1 —
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexander Schwolow G 90 6.70 — — — 38 10% — — —
Harry Milne D 68 6.90 — — — 12 8% 2 — —
S. Findlay D 90 5.60 — — — 20 10% — — —
Michael Steinwender D 90 6.20 — — 1 22 8% 2 1 —
Stephen Kingsley D 90 6.60 — 1 1 15 12% 1 — —
J. Altena M 47 6.30 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Beni Baningime M 51 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
Cameron Devlin M 90 6.20 — — — 32 23% 2 1 —
Alexandros Kyziridis M 67 6.50 — — 1 14 11% 2 — —
Pierre Landry Kaboré F 68 6.30 — — 2 7 2% 2 — —
Lawrence Shankland F 90 7.20 1 — 2 22 16% 1 1 —
Alan Forrest F 23 6.50 — — 1 4 2% 1 — —
Blair Spittal M 39 6.50 — — — 15 7% 1 — —
Cláudio Braga F 22 6.50 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Frankie Kent D 43 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
I. Chesnokov M 22 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Celtic win, 19% to a draw, and 27% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.