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Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 38 May 16, 2026 13:30 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic
#1 · 31 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Heart Of Midlothian
#4 · 20 pts
A. Engels 45'+3 (pen.)
D. Maeda (ast. C. Osmand) 88'
C. Osmand (ast. C. McGregor) 90'+8
43' (ast. S. Kingsley) L. Shankland
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Heart Of Midlothian 27%). The final result was Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 4 previous meetings, Celtic have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
2.82
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
2
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
6
7
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Johnston
35'
38'
M. Steinwender
43'
ast. S. Kingsley · L. Shankland⚽
⚽A. Engels (pen.)
45'+3
↕ S. Tounekti / K. Iheanacho
46'
47'
F. Kent / J. Altena ↕
50'
B. Spittal / B. Baningime ↕
B. Nygren
53'
A. Trusty
58'
↕ Yang Hyun-Jun / J. Forrest
62'
67'
A. Forrest / A. Kyziridis ↕
67'
I. Chesnokov / H. Milne ↕
67'
C. Braga / P. Kabore ↕
↕ K. Tierney / M. Saracchi
73'
↕ A. Trusty / C. Osmand
73'
77'
S. Findlay
⚽D. Maeda · ast. C. Osmand
88'
↕ B. Nygren / D. Murray
89'
90'+4
L. Shankland
M. Saracchi
90'+4
D. Maeda
90'+6
C. McGregor
90'+7
⚽C. Osmand · ast. C. McGregor
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
53.63%
Celtic ←
19.08%
X
27.29%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic) 53.63% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celtic
2.40
2.82
+0.42
Heart
1.69
0.96
-0.73
Celtic dominated by xG (2.82 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 13 31
2 Rangers Rangers 12 27
3 Falkirk Falkirk 13 21
4 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 12 20
5 Dundee Dundee 12 17
6 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 12 17
7 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 13 17
8 ST Mirren ST Mirren 13 14
9 Motherwell Motherwell 13 13
10 Hibernian Hibernian 12 11
11 Aberdeen Aberdeen 12 11
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 13 9
Lineups
Celtic Celtic 4-2-3-1
12 V. Sinisalo V. Sinisalo G 6.70
63 K. Tierney K. Tierney 73' D 6.60
5 L. Scales L. Scales D 7.70
6 A. Trusty A. Trusty 73' D 7.20
2 A. Johnston A. Johnston D 6.70
27 A. Engels A. Engels 1 ⚽ M 7.70
42 C. McGregor C. McGregor 1 👟 M 6.50
23 S. Tounekti S. Tounekti 45' M 6.30
8 B. Nygren B. Nygren 89' M 6.30
13 Yang Hyun-Jun Yang Hyun-Jun 62' M 6.20
38 D. Maeda D. Maeda 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
56 A. Ralston A. Ralston D
19 C. Osmand C. Osmand 1 ⚽ 1 👟 17' F 8.60
47 D. Murray D. Murray 8' D 6.90
49 J. Forrest J. Forrest 28' M 6.90
17 K. Ịheanachọ K. Ịheanachọ 45' F 6.70
14 L. McCowan L. McCowan M
36 M. Saracchi M. Saracchi 17' D 6.90
31 R. Doohan R. Doohan G
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 4-4-2
25 A. Schwolow A. Schwolow G 6.70
18 H. Milne H. Milne 68' D 6.90
19 S. Findlay S. Findlay D 5.60
15 M. Steinwender M. Steinwender D 6.20
3 Stephen Kingsley Stephen Kingsley 1 👟 D 6.60
23 J. Altena J. Altena 47' M 6.30
6 Beni Baningime Beni Baningime 51' M 6.20
14 C. Devlin C. Devlin M 6.20
89 A. Kyziridis A. Kyziridis 67' M 6.50
11 P. Kabore P. Kabore 68' F 6.30
9 L. Shankland L. Shankland 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
17 A. Forrest A. Forrest 23' F 6.50
16 B. Spittal B. Spittal 39' M 6.50
12 Christian Borchgrevink Christian Borchgrevink D
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga 22' F 6.50
2 Frankie Kent Frankie Kent 43' D 6.30
99 I. Chesnokov I. Chesnokov 22' M 6.70
5 J. McCart J. McCart D
30 R. Fulton R. Fulton G
29 S. Kerjota S. Kerjota F
Best on the pitch
C. Osmand
C. Osmand
F · Celtic
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 6 pass
L. Scales
L. Scales
D · Celtic
7.70
· 56 pass
A. Engels
A. Engels
M · Celtic
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
D. Maeda
D. Maeda
F · Celtic
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
A. Trusty
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.20
1 shots · 78 pass
L. Shankland
L. Shankland
F · Heart
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Celtic Celtic — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Sinisalo G 90 6.70 — — — 37 33% — — —
K. Tierney D 73 6.60 — — — 31 20% — — —
L. Scales D 90 7.70 — — — 56 49% 1 — —
A. Trusty D 73 7.20 — — 1 78 72% — 1 —
A. Johnston D 90 6.70 — — — 50 37% 3 1 —
A. Engels M 90 7.70 1 — 2 35 29% 1 — —
C. McGregor M 90 6.50 — 1 — 41 35% — 1 —
S. Tounekti M 45 6.30 — — 1 14 14% — — —
B. Nygren M 89 6.30 — — 3 38 30% 1 1 —
Yang Hyun-Jun M 62 6.20 — — — 27 15% 1 — —
D. Maeda F 90 7.60 1 — 2 18 15% — 1 —
C. Osmand F 17 8.60 1 1 1 6 4% — — —
D. Murray D 8 6.90 — — — — — — — —
J. Forrest M 28 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
K. Ịheanachọ F 45 6.70 — — 1 12 10% — — —
M. Saracchi D 17 6.90 — — — 11 8% — 1 —
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Schwolow G 90 6.70 — — — 38 10% — — —
H. Milne D 68 6.90 — — — 12 8% 2 — —
S. Findlay D 90 5.60 — — — 20 10% — — —
M. Steinwender D 90 6.20 — — 1 22 8% 2 1 —
Stephen Kingsley D 90 6.60 — 1 1 15 12% 1 — —
J. Altena M 47 6.30 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Beni Baningime M 51 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
C. Devlin M 90 6.20 — — — 32 23% 2 1 —
A. Kyziridis M 67 6.50 — — 1 14 11% 2 — —
P. Kabore F 68 6.30 — — 2 7 2% 2 — —
L. Shankland F 90 7.20 1 — 2 22 16% 1 1 —
A. Forrest F 23 6.50 — — 1 4 2% 1 — —
B. Spittal M 39 6.50 — — — 15 7% 1 — —
Cláudio Braga F 22 6.50 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Frankie Kent D 43 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
I. Chesnokov M 22 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Celtic win, 19% to a draw, and 27% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.