Celtic - Heart Of Midlothian
Scottish Premiership
May 16, 2026 13:30
Weather at kick-off
🌤️
Mainly clear
11.8°C
💨 6 km/h
· Glasgow
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.3%
Win
Celtic
19.35%
Draw
27.35%
Win
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
1.65
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celtic a 53% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 27% for Heart Of Midlothian. Expected goals are 2.3 for Celtic and 1.6 for Heart Of Midlothian (total 4.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Celtic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Score Matrix
↕ Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Celtic
Attack
49
Defence
72
Form
74
Heart Of Midlothian
Attack
43
Defence
77
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
33 | 70 |
| 1 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
37 | 80 |
| 1 |
Dundee Utd
|
37 | 44 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
33 | 69 |
| 2 |
Celtic
|
37 | 79 |
| 2 |
Aberdeen
|
37 | 40 |
| 3 |
Dundee
|
37 | 39 |
| 3 |
Celtic
|
33 | 67 |
| 3 |
Rangers
|
37 | 69 |
| 4 |
Motherwell
|
37 | 58 |
| 4 |
Kilmarnock
|
37 | 37 |
| 4 |
Motherwell
|
33 | 54 |
| 5 |
ST Mirren
|
37 | 33 |
| 5 |
Hibernian
|
33 | 51 |
| 5 |
Hibernian
|
37 | 57 |
| 6 |
Livingston
|
37 | 21 |
| 6 |
Falkirk
|
33 | 46 |
| 6 |
Falkirk
|
37 | 49 |
| 7 |
Dundee Utd
|
33 | 40 |
| 8 |
Aberdeen
|
33 | 33 |
| 9 |
Dundee
|
33 | 33 |
| 10 |
ST Mirren
|
33 | 30 |
| 11 |
Kilmarnock
|
33 | 28 |
| 12 |
Livingston
|
33 | 16 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model gives Celtic a 53% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 27% for an Heart Of Midlothian win.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Expected goals: Celtic 2.3, Heart Of Midlothian 1.6 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.