Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 33
April 11, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Celtic
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
15'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 74% win probability (draw 15%, ST Mirren 9%). The final result was Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Celtic have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
0.92
Actual xG
0.28
1
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
15'
32'
R. Mullen
/
S. George
50'
L. Donnelly
T. Cvancara
/ K. Iheanacho
62'
B. Nygren
/ A. Engels
63'
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
/ L. McCowan
73'
C. McGregor
/ R. Hatate
73'
73'
J. Richardson
/
M. O'Hara
73'
J. Young
/
J. Ayunga
80'
C. McMenamin
/
M. Mandron
81'
R. Idowu
/
D. John
83'
A. Gogic
Pre-match prediction
74.99%
Celtic ←
15.53%
X
9.48%
ST
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
74.99%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.54
0.92
-1.62
0.69
0.28
-0.41
Celtic dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
63
Kieran Tierney
D
Kieran Tierney
D
5
Liam Scales
D
Liam Scales
D
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
56
Tony Ralston
D
Tony Ralston
D
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
1 ⚽
73'
M
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
1 ⚽
73'
M
42
Callum McGregor
73'
M
Callum McGregor
73'
M
38
Daizen Maeda
M
Daizen Maeda
M
8
Benjamin Nygren
63'
M
Benjamin Nygren
63'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
M
11
T. Cvancara
62'
F
Bench
27
Arne Engels
27'
M
Arne Engels
27'
M
43
B. Arthur
D
49
James Forrest
M
James Forrest
M
17
Kelechi Iheanacho
28'
F
Kelechi Iheanacho
28'
F
14
Luke McCowan
17'
M
Luke McCowan
17'
M
41
Reo Hatate
17'
M
Reo Hatate
17'
M
23
Sebastian Tounekti
F
Sebastian Tounekti
F
1
S. George
32'
G
21
Miguel Freckleton
D
Miguel Freckleton
D
13
Alexander Gogić
D
Alexander Gogić
D
4
Liam Donnelly
D
Liam Donnelly
D
24
D. John
81'
M
D. John
81'
M
16
Allan Campbell
M
Allan Campbell
M
8
Jacob Devaney
M
Jacob Devaney
M
6
73'
M
88
Killian Phillips
F
Killian Phillips
F
9
Mikael Mandron
80'
F
Mikael Mandron
80'
F
11
J. Ayunga
73'
F
Bench
10
C. McMenamin
10'
F
5
Richard King
D
Richard King
D
31
R. Mullen
58'
G
7
Roland Idowu
9'
M
Roland Idowu
9'
M
3
Scott Tanser
D
Scott Tanser
D
Best on the pitch
Liam Donnelly
D · ST
7.90
1 shots
· 71 pass
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
7.90
· 100 pass
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
M · Celtic
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Kieran Tierney
D · Celtic
7.70
· 68 pass
Tony Ralston
D · Celtic
7.50
· 97 pass
Callum McGregor
M · Celtic
7.30
1 shots
· 42 pass
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | — | — | — | |
| Kieran Tierney | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Scales | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Auston Trusty | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 100 | 97% | — | — | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 97 | 84% | 3 | — | — |
| Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Callum McGregor | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Daizen Maeda | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamin Nygren | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cvancara | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Arne Engels | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luke McCowan | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Reo Hatate | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. George | G | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Freckleton | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 65% | 4 | — | — |
| Alexander Gogić | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| Liam Donnelly | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 68% | 6 | 1 | — |
| D. John | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Allan Campbell | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Devaney | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| Killian Phillips | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Mikael Mandron | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ayunga | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McMenamin | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mullen | G | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Roland Idowu | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Celtic win, 15% to a draw, and 9% to an ST Mirren win.