✓Model correct — prediction Celtic
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
15'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 74% win probability (draw 15%, ST Mirren 9%). The final result was Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren. In 4 previous meetings, Celtic have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for ST Mirren.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
0.92
Actual xG
0.28
1
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
15'
32'
R. Mullen
/
S. George
50'
L. Donnelly
T. Cvancara
/ K. Iheanacho
62'
B. Nygren
/ A. Engels
63'
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
/ L. McCowan
73'
C. McGregor
/ R. Hatate
73'
73'
J. Richardson
/
M. O'Hara
73'
J. Young
/
J. Ayunga
80'
C. McMenamin
/
M. Mandron
81'
R. Idowu
/
D. John
83'
A. Gogic
Pre-match prediction
74.99%
Celtic ←
15.53%
X
9.48%
ST
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
74.99%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.54
0.92
-1.62
0.69
0.28
-0.41
Celtic dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
63
K. Tierney
D
K. Tierney
D
5
L. Scales
D
L. Scales
D
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
56
A. Ralston
D
A. Ralston
D
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
1 ⚽
73'
M
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
1 ⚽
73'
M
42
C. McGregor
73'
M
C. McGregor
73'
M
38
D. Maeda
M
D. Maeda
M
8
B. Nygren
63'
M
B. Nygren
63'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
M
11
T. Čvančara
62'
F
T. Čvančara
62'
F
Bench
27
A. Engels
27'
M
A. Engels
27'
M
43
Benjamin Arthur
D
Benjamin Arthur
D
49
J. Forrest
M
J. Forrest
M
17
K. Ịheanachọ
28'
F
K. Ịheanachọ
28'
F
14
L. McCowan
17'
M
L. McCowan
17'
M
41
R. Hatate
17'
M
R. Hatate
17'
M
23
S. Tounekti
F
S. Tounekti
F
1
S. George
32'
G
S. George
32'
G
21
M. Freckleton
D
M. Freckleton
D
13
A. Gogić
D
A. Gogić
D
4
L. Donnelly
D
L. Donnelly
D
24
D. John
81'
M
D. John
81'
M
16
Allan Campbell
M
8
J. Devaney
M
J. Devaney
M
6
73'
M
88
K. Phillips
F
K. Phillips
F
9
M. Mandron
80'
F
M. Mandron
80'
F
11
J. Ayunga
73'
F
Bench
10
C. McMenamin
10'
F
7
R. Idowu
9'
M
R. Idowu
9'
M
5
R. King
D
R. King
D
31
R. Mullen
58'
G
R. Mullen
58'
G
3
S. Tanser
D
S. Tanser
D
Best on the pitch
L. Donnelly
D · ST
7.90
1 shots
· 71 pass
A. Trusty
D · Celtic
7.90
· 100 pass
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M · Celtic
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
K. Tierney
D · Celtic
7.70
· 68 pass
A. Ralston
D · Celtic
7.50
· 97 pass
C. McGregor
M · Celtic
7.30
1 shots
· 42 pass
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | — | — | — | |
| K. Tierney | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 100 | 97% | — | — | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 97 | 84% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Čvančara | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ịheanachọ | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. McCowan | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hatate | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
ST Mirren — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. George | G | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Freckleton | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 65% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Donnelly | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 68% | 6 | 1 | — |
| D. John | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Allan Campbell | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| K. Phillips | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mandron | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ayunga | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McMenamin | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Idowu | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Mullen | G | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celtic vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Celtic 1–0 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Celtic vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Celtic win, 15% to a draw, and 9% to an ST Mirren win.