J1 League · Regular Season - 16 May 09, 2026 09:00

Cerezo Osaka

#4 · 25 pts

3 – 2

Final score

V-varen Nagasaki

#10 · 19 pts

Thiago Andrade (ast. M. Nakajima) 28'

S. Tanaka (ast. M. Shibayama) 63'

S. Kagawa 90'+4 (pen.)

(pen.) 25' R. Yamasaki

72' Matheus Jesus

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerezo Osaka a 44% win probability (draw 28%, V-varen Nagasaki 27%). The final result was Cerezo Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki. In 1 previous meetings, Cerezo Osaka have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for V-varen Nagasaki.

Match statistics

15

Total shots

6

8

Shots on target

4

2

Saves

5

65%

Possession

35%

8

Corners

3

8

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

25'

(pen.) R. Yamasaki⚽

⚽Thiago Andrade · ast. M. Nakajima

28'

62'

T. Kasayanagi / N. Campbell ↕

63'

Matheus Jesus / R. Yamasaki ↕

63'

K. Kushibiki / Dudu Giusti ↕

⚽S. Tanaka · ast. M. Shibayama

63'

71'

Thiago / M. Hasegawa ↕

72'

Matheus Jesus⚽

83'

T. Matsumoto / S. Yoneda ↕

⚽M. Nakajima (missed pen.)

83'

↕ Y. Yokoyama / S. Uejo

85'

↕ M. Shibayama / S. Homma

85'

↕ M. Nakajima / S. Kagawa

85'

86'

R. Yamada

86'

Thiago

↕ Thiago Andrade / S. Sakuragawa

88'

⚽S. Kagawa (pen.)

90'+4

↕ N. Ishiwatari / H. Tanaka

90'+11

K. Nakamura

90'+11

Pre-match prediction

44.34%

Cerezo ←

28.54%

X

27.12%

V-varen

we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 44.34% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cerezo

1.12

—

—

V-varen

0.85

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nagoya Grampus	16	31
1	Nagoya Grampus	16	31
1	Kashima	16	39
1	Kashima	16	39
2	Vissel Kobe	15	28
2	Vissel Kobe	16	31
2	FC Tokyo	16	35
2	FC Tokyo	16	35
3	Machida Zelvia	16	33
3	Gamba Osaka	17	25
3	Machida Zelvia	14	28
3	Gamba Osaka	17	25
4	Tokyo Verdy	16	25
4	Cerezo Osaka	16	25
4	Cerezo Osaka	16	25
4	Urawa	16	24
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	16	24
5	Urawa	16	24
5	Tokyo Verdy	15	24
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	16	24
6	Shimizu S-pulse	16	24
6	Shimizu S-pulse	16	24
6	Kawasaki Frontale	16	23
6	Kawasaki Frontale	16	23
7	Mito Hollyhock	16	18
7	Fagiano Okayama	16	23
7	Mito Hollyhock	16	18
7	Fagiano Okayama	16	23
8	Avispa Fukuoka	17	21
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	16	17
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	16	17
8	Avispa Fukuoka	17	21
9	Kashiwa Reysol	16	14
9	Kyoto Sanga	16	20
9	Kyoto Sanga	15	20
9	Kashiwa Reysol	16	14
10	JEF United Chiba	16	12
10	V-varen Nagasaki	16	19
10	JEF United Chiba	15	12
10	V-varen Nagasaki	16	19

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1

23

K. Nakamura G 6.90

16

H. Okuda D 6.60

44

S. Hatanaka D 6.30

4

Rikito Inoue D 6.50

27

D. Cools D 7.30

10

S. Tanaka 1 ⚽ M 7.90

18

N. Ishiwatari 89' M 7.50

14

Y. Yokoyama 85' M 6.90

13

M. Nakajima 1 👟 85' M 6.20

48

M. Shibayama 1 👟 85' M 7.30

11

Thiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.90

Bench

5

H. Kida M

19

Shion Homma 17' M 6.70

8

S. Kagawa 1 ⚽ 17' M 7.20

9

S. Sakuragawa 14' F 6.50

7

S. Uejo 17' M 6.30

2

T. Nakamura D

V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1

13

G 6.90

22

H. Onaga D 6.70

4

Dudu Giusti 62' D 6.70

48

H. Teruyama D 5.60

23

S. Yoneda 83' M 6.30

5

H. Yamaguchi M 6.30

24

R. Yamada M 6.20

3

M. Sekiguchi M 6.70

11 N. Campbell 63' F 6.20

41

M. Hasegawa 71' F 6.90

18

R. Yamasaki 1 ⚽ 63' F 6.30

Bench

21

Diego Pituca M

17

K. Takahata D

10

Matheus Jesus 1 ⚽ 27' M 7.30

9

Thiago 19' F 6.50

34

T. Matsumoto 19' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

Thiago Andrade

F · Cerezo

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

S. Tanaka

M · Cerezo

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 53 pass

N. Ishiwatari

M · Cerezo

7.50

1 shots · 85 pass

D. Cools

D · Cerezo

7.30

· 31 pass

M. Shibayama

M · Cerezo

7.30

1 👟

2 shots · 50 pass

Matheus Jesus

M · V-varen

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 7 pass

Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Nakamura	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	26	20%	—	1	—
H. Okuda	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	59	54%	—	—	—
S. Hatanaka	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	76	64%	—	—	—
Rikito Inoue	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	71	66%	—	—	—
D. Cools	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	31	24%	2	—	—
S. Tanaka	M	90	7.90	1	—	2	53	48%	—	—	—
N. Ishiwatari	M	89	7.50	—	—	1	85	73%	4	—	—
Y. Yokoyama	M	85	6.90	—	—	2	15	11%	1	—	—
M. Nakajima	M	85	6.20	—	1	3	24	17%	—	—	—
M. Shibayama	M	85	7.30	—	1	2	50	40%	1	—	—
Thiago Andrade	F	88	7.90	1	—	2	14	10%	—	—	—
Shion Homma	M	17	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
S. Kagawa	M	17	7.20	1	—	1	7	7%	—	—	—
S. Sakuragawa	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
S. Uejo	M	17	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	38	12%	—	—	—
H. Onaga	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	29	20%	1	—	—
Dudu Giusti	D	62	6.70	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
H. Teruyama	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	26	21%	3	—	—
S. Yoneda	M	83	6.30	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
H. Yamaguchi	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	20%	1	—	—
R. Yamada	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	27	21%	—	1	—
M. Sekiguchi	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	25	15%	3	—	—
N. Campbell	F	63	6.20	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
M. Hasegawa	F	71	6.90	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
R. Yamasaki	F	63	6.30	1	—	3	14	6%	—	—	—
Matheus Jesus	M	27	7.30	1	—	2	7	—	—	—	—
Thiago	F	19	6.50	—	—	1	2	1%	—	1	—
T. Matsumoto	M	19	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—