J1 League · Regular Season - 16 May 09, 2026 09:00 Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

#12 · 14 pts

3 – 2

Final score

V-varen Nagasaki

#14 · 12 pts

Thiago Andrade (ast. M. Nakajima) 28'

S. Tanaka (ast. M. Shibayama) 63'

S. Kagawa 90'+4 (pen.)

(pen.) 25' R. Yamasaki

72' Matheus Jesus

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerezo Osaka a 44% win probability (draw 28%, V-varen Nagasaki 27%). The final result was Cerezo Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki. In 2 previous meetings, Cerezo Osaka have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for V-varen Nagasaki.

Match statistics

15

Total shots

6

8

Shots on target

4

2

Saves

5

65%

Possession

35%

8

Corners

3

8

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

25'

(pen.) R. Yamasaki⚽

⚽Thiago Andrade · ast. M. Nakajima

28'

62'

T. Kasayanagi / N. Campbell ↕

63'

Matheus Jesus / R. Yamasaki ↕

63'

K. Kushibiki / Dudu Giusti ↕

⚽S. Tanaka · ast. M. Shibayama

63'

71'

Thiago / M. Hasegawa ↕

72'

Matheus Jesus⚽

83'

T. Matsumoto / S. Yoneda ↕

⚽M. Nakajima (missed pen.)

83'

↕ Y. Yokoyama / S. Uejo

85'

↕ M. Shibayama / S. Homma

85'

↕ M. Nakajima / S. Kagawa

85'

86'

R. Yamada

86'

Thiago

↕ Thiago Andrade / S. Sakuragawa

88'

⚽S. Kagawa (pen.)

90'+4

↕ N. Ishiwatari / H. Tanaka

90'+11

K. Nakamura

90'+11

Pre-match prediction

44.34%

Cerezo ←

28.54%

X

27.12%

V-varen

we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 44.34% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cerezo

1.12

—

—

V-varen

0.85

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	27
2	FC Tokyo	12	27
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	26
4	Kashiwa Reysol	12	25
5	Vissel Kobe	12	23
6	Kawasaki Frontale	12	22
7	Urawa	12	21
8	Kashima	12	20
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	12	18
10	Fagiano Okayama	12	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	12	14
12	Cerezo Osaka	12	14
13	Shimizu S-pulse	12	14
14	V-varen Nagasaki	12	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	11
16	Kyoto Sanga	12	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	12	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	7
20	JEF United Chiba	12	7

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1

23 Kosuke Nakamura G 6.90

16 H. Okuda D 6.60

44 S. Hatanaka D 6.30

4 R. Inoue D 6.50

27 Dion-Johan Cools D 7.30

10 S. Tanaka 1 ⚽ M 7.90

18 N. Ishiwatari 89' M 7.50

14 Yumeki Yokoyama 85' M 6.90

13 M. Nakajima 1 👟 85' M 6.20

48 M. Shibayama 1 👟 85' M 7.30

11 Thiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.90

Bench

5 H. Kida M

19 S. Homma 17' M 6.70

8 S. Kagawa 1 ⚽ 17' M 7.20

9 S. Sakuragawa 14' F 6.50

7 S. Uejo 17' M 6.30

2 T. Nakamura D

V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1

13

G 6.90

22 H. Onaga D 6.70

4 Eduardo 62' D 6.70

48 Hayato Teruyama D 5.60

23

Yoneda Shunya 83' M 6.30

5 H. Yamaguchi M 6.30

24 R. Yamada M 6.20

3 M. Sekiguchi M 6.70

11 N. Campbell 63' F 6.20

41 M. Hasegawa 71' F 6.90

18 R. Yamasaki 1 ⚽ 63' F 6.30

Bench

21 Diego Pituca M

17 K. Takahata D

10 Matheus Jesus 1 ⚽ 27' M 7.30

34

Tenmu Matsumoto 19' M 6.50

9 Thiago Santana 19' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

Thiago Andrade

F · Cerezo

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

S. Tanaka

M · Cerezo

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 53 pass

N. Ishiwatari

M · Cerezo

7.50

1 shots · 85 pass

Dion-Johan Cools

D · Cerezo

7.30

· 31 pass

M. Shibayama

M · Cerezo

7.30

1 👟

2 shots · 50 pass

Matheus Jesus

M · V-varen

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 7 pass

Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Kosuke Nakamura	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	26	20%	—	1	—
H. Okuda	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	59	54%	—	—	—
S. Hatanaka	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	76	64%	—	—	—
R. Inoue	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	71	66%	—	—	—
Dion-Johan Cools	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	31	24%	2	—	—
S. Tanaka	M	90	7.90	1	—	2	53	48%	—	—	—
N. Ishiwatari	M	89	7.50	—	—	1	85	73%	4	—	—
Yumeki Yokoyama	M	85	6.90	—	—	2	15	11%	1	—	—
M. Nakajima	M	85	6.20	—	1	3	24	17%	—	—	—
M. Shibayama	M	85	7.30	—	1	2	50	40%	1	—	—
Thiago Andrade	F	88	7.90	1	—	2	14	10%	—	—	—
S. Homma	M	17	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
S. Kagawa	M	17	7.20	1	—	1	7	7%	—	—	—
S. Sakuragawa	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
S. Uejo	M	17	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	38	12%	—	—	—
H. Onaga	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	29	20%	1	—	—
Eduardo	D	62	6.70	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
Hayato Teruyama	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	26	21%	3	—	—
Yoneda Shunya	M	83	6.30	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
H. Yamaguchi	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	20%	1	—	—
R. Yamada	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	27	21%	—	1	—
M. Sekiguchi	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	25	15%	3	—	—
N. Campbell	F	63	6.20	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
M. Hasegawa	F	71	6.90	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
R. Yamasaki	F	63	6.30	1	—	3	14	6%	—	—	—
Matheus Jesus	M	27	7.30	1	—	2	7	—	—	—	—
Tenmu Matsumoto	M	19	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Thiago Santana	F	19	6.50	—	—	1	2	1%	—	1	—