Primera División
· Regular Season - 15
May 12, 2026 01:30
D. Daguerre
45'+3
F. Sellecchia
84'
59'
F. Batista
74'
L. Umpierrez
87'
A. Hernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 40% win probability (draw 26%, Cerro Largo 32%). The final result was Cerro Largo 2–3 Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
39'
F. Alvez
/
F. Escobar
⚽D. Daguerre
45'+3
46'
A. Hernandez
/
B. Barboza
59'
F. Batista⚽
62'
S. Muhlethaler
/
G. Togni
62'
K. Rodriguez
/
D. Laxalt
D. Daguerre
/ M. Garcia
64'
A. Hernandez
68'
69'
K. Rodriguez
74'
L. Umpierrez⚽
M. Anasco
/ G. Viera
78'
81'
M. Olivera
S. Marcel
/ E. Jourdan
83'
A. Pandiani
/ F. Sellecchia
83'
⚽F. Sellecchia
84'
87'
A. Hernandez⚽
88'
A. Hernandez
89'
T. Olase
/
F. Batista
Pre-match prediction
32.42%
Cerro
26.79%
X
40.79%
Penarol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
40.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
—
—
1.28
—
—
Lineups
1
Juan Moreno
G
20
Santiago Franca
D
16
Matías Fracchia
D
14
Lucas Correa
D
17
Alexander Hernandez
D
11
Maximiliano Añasco
M
5
Santiago Marcel
M
15
Sebastián Assis
M
10
Axel Pandiani
M
9
Tiziano Correa
F
18
Diego Daguerre
1 ⚽
F
Bench
3
Alexis Piegas
D
13
Borys Barone
F
25
Emiliano Jourdan
M
19
Federico Sellecchia
1 ⚽
F
4
Fernando Souza
D
2
Gabriel Chocobar
D
7
Gustavo Viera
M
8
Mario García
M
28
Nicolás Ramos
D
12
Pedro Gonzalez
G
1
Sebastián Britos
G
15
Maximiliano Olivera
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
L. Ferreira
D
2
Franco Escobar
D
36
Brian Barboza
D
21
Jesús Trindade
M
8
Nicolás Fernández
M
23
Gastón Togni
M
32
Leandro Umpierrez
1 ⚽
M
93
Diego Laxalt
M
9
Facundo Batista
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
Abel Hernández
1 ⚽
F
22
Facundo Alvez
D
18
German Barbas
M
20
Julio Daguer
M
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
27
Lucas Hernández
D
31
Luis Díaz
G
25
Matías González
D
30
Stiven Muhlethaler
M
16
Tomas Olase
M
Cerro Largo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Moreno | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Franca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Fracchia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Correa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Hernandez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Añasco | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Marcel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Assis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Pandiani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiziano Correa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Daguerre | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Britos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Barboza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gastón Togni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Umpierrez | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Laxalt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Batista | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
The final score was Cerro Largo 2–3 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Cerro Largo win, 26% to a draw, and 40% to an Penarol win.