Primera División
· Apertura - 15
May 12, 2026 01:30
D. Daguerre
45'+3
F. Sellecchia
84'
59'
F. Batista
74'
L. Umpierrez
87'
A. Hernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 40% win probability (draw 26%, Cerro Largo 32%). The final result was Cerro Largo 2–3 Penarol. In 1 previous meetings, Cerro Largo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
39'
F. Alvez
/
F. Escobar
⚽D. Daguerre
45'+3
46'
A. Hernandez
/
B. Barboza
59'
F. Batista⚽
62'
S. Muhlethaler
/
G. Togni
62'
K. Rodriguez
/
D. Laxalt
D. Daguerre
/ M. Garcia
64'
A. Hernandez
68'
69'
K. Rodriguez
74'
L. Umpierrez⚽
M. Anasco
/ G. Viera
78'
81'
M. Olivera
S. Marcel
/ E. Jourdan
83'
A. Pandiani
/ F. Sellecchia
83'
⚽F. Sellecchia
84'
87'
A. Hernandez⚽
88'
A. Hernandez
89'
T. Olase
/
F. Batista
Pre-match prediction
32.42%
Cerro
26.79%
X
40.79%
Penarol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
40.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
—
—
1.28
—
—
Lineups
1
Juan Moreno
G
20
S. Franca
D
16
Matías Fracchia
D
14
L. Correa
D
17
A. Hernández
D
11
Maximiliano Añasco
M
5
S. Marcel
M
15
A. Assis
M
10
Axel Michele Pandiani
M
9
T. Correa
F
18
Diego Daguerre
1 ⚽
F
Bench
3
A. Piegas
D
13
Borys Santiago Barone Grillo
F
25
E. Jourdan
M
19
Federico Sellecchia
1 ⚽
F
4
Fernando Souza
D
2
Gabriel Chocobar
D
7
G. Viera
M
G. Viera
M
8
M. García
M
28
Nicolás Ramos
D
12
P. González
G
1
S. Britos
G
15
M. Olivera
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
2
F. Escobar
D
F. Escobar
D
36
B. Barboza
D
21
J. Trindade
M
8
N. Fernández
M
23
G. Togni
M
G. Togni
M
32
L. Umpiérrez
1 ⚽
M
93
D. Laxalt
M
9
F. Batista
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
A. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
22
Facundo Alvez
D
Facundo Alvez
D
18
German Barbas
M
20
Julio Daguer
M
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
27
L. Hernández
D
31
Luis Díaz
G
25
Matías González
D
30
S. Mülhethaler
M
16
Tomas Olase
M
Cerro Largo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Moreno | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Franca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Fracchia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Correa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Añasco | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Marcel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Assis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Michele Pandiani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Correa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Daguerre | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Britos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Barboza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Togni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Laxalt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Batista | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
The final score was Cerro Largo 2–3 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Cerro Largo win, 26% to a draw, and 40% to an Penarol win.