Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 9
April 03, 2026 02:00
23'
Bernard
30'
(ast. Hulk)
Reinier
35'
(ast. Reinier)
Cuello
90'
(ast. Cuello)
Dudu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Chapecoense-sc 32%). The final result was Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
8
1.82
Actual xG
1.74
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
3
12
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Giovanni Augusto
/ Jean Carlos
21'
23'
Bernard⚽
30'
ast. Hulk ·
Reinier⚽
35'
ast. Reinier ·
Cuello⚽
Victor Caetano
42'
Victor Caetano
/ Enio
46'
Italo
/ K. Ramirez
46'
Rafael Carvalheira
/ Higor Meritao
46'
67'
Gustavo Scarpa
/
Bernard
67'
Igor Gomes
/
Reinier
Y. Bolasie
/ Neto Pessoa
76'
81'
M. Cassierra
/
Hulk
81'
Dudu
/
Victor Hugo
86'
K. Pascini
/
R. Lodi
90'
ast. Cuello ·
Dudu⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.82%
Chapecoense-sc
31.39%
X
35.79%
Atletico-MG ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG)
35.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.82
+0.8
1.17
1.74
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.82 – 1.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
37
D
3
Eduardo Doma
D
Eduardo Doma
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
2
Marcos Vinícius
D
Marcos Vinícius
D
25
Victor Caetano
45'
M
Victor Caetano
45'
M
27
M
77
Italo
45'
M
Italo
45'
M
10
Giovanni Augusto
20'
M
Giovanni Augusto
20'
M
99
Rafael Carvalheira
45'
M
Rafael Carvalheira
45'
M
11
Yannick Bolasie
76'
F
Yannick Bolasie
76'
F
Bench
91
Bruno Pacheco
D
Bruno Pacheco
D
19
David Antunes
M
97
Ênio
45'
M
Ênio
45'
M
22
Higor Meritão
45'
M
Higor Meritão
45'
M
20
Jean Carlos
70'
M
Jean Carlos
70'
M
5
João Vitor
M
João Vitor
M
7
Marcinho
F
Marcinho
F
18
Neto Pessoa
14'
F
15
Rafael Thyere
D
22
G
16
Renan Lodi
86'
D
Renan Lodi
86'
D
13
Lyanco
D
4
Ruan
D
Ruan
D
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
28
T. Cuello
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
T. Cuello
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
30
Victor Hugo
81'
M
25
Tomás Pérez
M
Tomás Pérez
M
11
Bernard
1 ⚽
67'
M
Bernard
1 ⚽
67'
M
19
Reinier
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
Reinier
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
7
Hulk
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
21
A. Franco
M
5
Alexsander
M
Alexsander
M
29
Cauã Campos Soares
F
Cauã Campos Soares
F
92
Dudu
1 ⚽
9'
F
Dudu
1 ⚽
9'
F
10
Gustavo Scarpa
23'
M
17
Igor Gomes
23'
M
Igor Gomes
23'
M
9
Mateo Cassierra
9'
F
Mateo Cassierra
9'
F
14
Vitor Hugo
D
Vitor Hugo
D
Best on the pitch
T. Cuello
M · Atletico-MG
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Ruan
D · Atletico-MG
8.20
· 46 pass
Reinier
F · Atletico-MG
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
Lyanco
D · Atletico-MG
7.90
1 shots
· 54 pass
G · Atletico-MG
7.90
· 44 pass
Dudu
F · Atletico-MG
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Caetano | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — | |
| Italo | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Carvalheira | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Higor Meritão | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Renan Lodi | D | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Lyanco | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Ruan | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Natanael | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Cuello | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 67 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Reinier | F | 67 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | F | 9 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Scarpa | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Igor Gomes | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Cassierra | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Chapecoense-sc win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Atletico-MG win.