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← Brasileirão Série A
#20 · 17 pts
0 – 4
Final score
#7 · 39 pts
23' Bernard
30' (ast. Hulk) Reinier
35' (ast. Reinier) Cuello
90' (ast. Cuello) Dudu
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Chapecoense-sc 32%). The final result was Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Atletico-MG.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
8
1.82
Actual xG
1.74
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
3
12
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Giovanni Augusto / Jean Carlos
21'
23'
Bernard
30'
ast. Hulk · Reinier
35'
ast. Reinier · Cuello
Victor Caetano
42'
Victor Caetano / Enio
46'
Italo / K. Ramirez
46'
Rafael Carvalheira / Higor Meritao
46'
67'
Gustavo Scarpa / Bernard
67'
Igor Gomes / Reinier
Y. Bolasie / Neto Pessoa
76'
81'
M. Cassierra / Hulk
81'
Dudu / Victor Hugo
86'
K. Pascini / R. Lodi
90'
ast. Cuello · Dudu
Pre-match prediction
32.82%
Chapecoense-sc
31.39%
X
35.79%
Atletico-MG ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 35.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chapecoense-sc
1.02
1.82
+0.8
Atletico-MG
1.17
1.74
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.82 – 1.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 26 32
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Gremio Gremio 26 28
16 Mirassol Mirassol 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1
1
G 5.70
37
D 6.00
3 Doma Doma D 6.20
33 Bruno Leonardo Bruno Leonardo D 6.20
2 Marcos Vinícius Marcos Vinícius D 5.50
25 Victor Caetano Victor Caetano 45' M 6.30
27
M 6.90
77 Italo Italo 45' M 6.00
10 Giovanni Augusto Giovanni Augusto 20' M 6.70
99 Rafael Carvalheira Rafael Carvalheira 45' M 6.90
11 Y. Bolasie Y. Bolasie 76' F 6.30
Bench
91 Bruno Pacheco Bruno Pacheco D
19 David Antunes David Antunes M
97 Ênio Ênio 45' M 7.00
22 Higor Meritão Higor Meritão 45' M 6.60
20 Jean Carlos Jean Carlos 70' M 6.30
5 João Vitor João Vitor M
7 Marcinho Marcinho F
18 Neto Pessoa Neto Pessoa 14' F 6.50
15 Rafael Thyere Rafael Thyere D
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-4-2
22
G 7.90
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi 86' D 7.30
13 Lyanco Lyanco D 7.90
4 Ruan Tressoldi Ruan Tressoldi D 8.20
2 Natanael Natanael D 7.70
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.90
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo 81' M 6.30
25 Tomás Pérez Tomás Pérez M 7.00
11 Bernard Bernard 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.50
19 Reinier Reinier 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' F 8.20
7 Hulk Hulk 1 👟 81' F 6.90
Bench
21 A. Franco A. Franco M
5 Alexsander Alexsander M
29 Cauã Campos Soares Cauã Campos Soares F
92 Dudu Dudu 1 ⚽ 9' F 7.70
10 Gustavo Scarpa Gustavo Scarpa 23' M 7.00
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes 23' M 6.70
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra 9' F 6.20
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D
Best on the pitch
T. Cuello
T. Cuello
M · Atletico-MG
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
D · Atletico-MG
8.20
· 46 pass
Reinier
Reinier
F · Atletico-MG
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
Lyanco
Lyanco
D · Atletico-MG
7.90
1 shots · 54 pass
G · Atletico-MG
7.90
· 44 pass
Dudu
Dudu
F · Atletico-MG
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.70 18 15%
D 90 6.00 1 38 31% 1
Doma D 90 6.20 2 49 44% 2
Bruno Leonardo D 90 6.20 1 48 42% 2
Marcos Vinícius D 90 5.50 3 29 22% 1
Victor Caetano M 45 6.30 28 22% 1
M 90 6.90 1 42 38% 1
Italo M 45 6.00 1 8 6%
Giovanni Augusto M 20 6.70 6 5%
Rafael Carvalheira M 45 6.90 9 9% 3
Y. Bolasie F 76 6.30 1 11 8%
Ênio M 45 7.00 25 21%
Higor Meritão M 45 6.60 1 24 22% 2
Jean Carlos M 70 6.30 1 32 22%
Neto Pessoa F 14 6.50 2 3 2%
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 44 30%
Renan Lodi D 86 7.30 1 61 55%
Lyanco D 90 7.90 1 54 50%
Ruan Tressoldi D 90 8.20 46 45% 4
Natanael D 90 7.70 1 42 31% 2
T. Cuello M 90 8.90 1 1 1 27 21% 2
Victor Hugo M 81 6.30 1 38 33% 1
Tomás Pérez M 90 7.00 49 45%
Bernard M 67 7.50 1 2 17 14%
Reinier F 67 8.20 1 1 1 31 28%
Hulk F 81 6.90 1 2 21 17%
Dudu F 9 7.70 1 2 8 7%
Gustavo Scarpa M 23 7.00 1 18 15%
Igor Gomes M 23 6.70 20 18%
M. Cassierra F 9 6.20 3 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Chapecoense-sc 0–4 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Chapecoense-sc win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Atletico-MG win.