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Pro League · Conference League Group - 36 May 02, 2026 18:15
Charleroi
#3 · 30 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Genk
#1 · 33 pts
K. Van Den Kerkhof (ast. A. Scheidler) 55'
P. Guiagon 69' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 52% win probability (draw 20%, Charleroi 27%). The final result was Charleroi 2–0 Genk. In 3 previous meetings, Charleroi have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Genk.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
1.52
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
6
22
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽K. Van Den Kerkhof · ast. A. Scheidler
55'
A. Bernier
58'
60'
R. Mirisola / A. Bibout ↕
60'
K. Karetsas / N. Adedeji-Sternberg ↕
60'
A. Yokoyama / D. Heymans ↕
↕ L. Blum / P. Guiagon
62'
↕ E. Camara / Y. Titraoui
62'
⚽P. Guiagon (pen.)
69'
↕ A. Bernier / P. Pflucke
77'
↕ J. Romsaas / M. Boukamir
77'
82'
Y. Sor / J. Ito ↕
83'
N. Sattlberger / B. Heynen ↕
P. Guiagon
84'
↕ M. Nzita / J. Gaudin
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.07%
Charleroi ←
20.54%
X
52.39%
Genk
we assigned to the actual result (Charleroi) 27.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charleroi
1.20
1.52
+0.32
Genk
2.13
1.45
-0.68
xG dominance was balanced (1.52 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Charleroi Charleroi 4-2-3-1
30
G 8.20
24 Mardochee Nzita Mardochee Nzita 89' D 7.30
95 Cheick Keita Cheick Keita D 7.00
4 Aiham Ousou Aiham Ousou D 7.30
27 Lewin Blum Lewin Blum 62' D 7.50
40 Yassine Khalifi Yassine Khalifi M 7.20
5 Etienne Camara Etienne Camara 62' M 6.90
17 Antoine Bernier Antoine Bernier 77' M 6.60
8 Jakob Napoleon Romsaas Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 77' M 7.20
3 Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 1 ⚽ M 8.30
21 Aurélien Scheidler Aurélien Scheidler 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
56 Amine Boukamir Amine Boukamir M
25 Antoine Colassin Antoine Colassin F
10 Parfait Guiagon Parfait Guiagon 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.30
14 Patrick Pflücke Patrick Pflücke 13' F 6.70
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.30
18
D 7.20
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo Josue Ndenge Kongolo D 7.20
6 Matte Smets Matte Smets D 6.90
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 6.50
8 Bryan Heynen Bryan Heynen 83' M 6.30
21 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 6.90
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 60' M 6.30
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans 60' M 6.60
10 Junya Ito Junya Ito 82' M 7.30
23 Aaron Bibout Aaron Bibout 60' F 6.20
Bench
7 Jarne Steuckers Jarne Steuckers F
20 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 30' M 6.50
3
M. Sadick D
29 Robin Mirisola Robin Mirisola 30' F 6.70
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor 8' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
M · Charleroi
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
G · Charleroi
8.20
· 39 pass
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum
D · Charleroi
7.50
· 29 pass
Mardochee Nzita
Mardochee Nzita
D · Charleroi
7.30
· 43 pass
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon
F · Charleroi
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou
D · Charleroi
7.30
· 43 pass
Charleroi Charleroi — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 39 29% — — —
Mardochee Nzita D 89 7.30 — — — 43 34% 4 — —
Cheick Keita D 90 7.00 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
Aiham Ousou D 90 7.30 — — — 43 41% 4 — —
Lewin Blum D 62 7.50 — — — 29 23% 4 — —
Yassine Khalifi M 90 7.20 — — — 42 38% 2 — —
Etienne Camara M 62 6.90 — — — 38 38% 1 — —
Antoine Bernier M 77 6.60 — — 1 28 22% — 1 —
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas M 77 7.20 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof M 90 8.30 1 — 2 25 19% 4 — —
Aurélien Scheidler F 90 6.60 — 1 — 18 14% 1 — —
Parfait Guiagon F 28 7.30 1 — 1 11 10% — 1 —
Patrick Pflücke F 13 6.70 — — 1 5 5% — — —
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 22 18% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 56 46% 1 — —
Josue Ndenge Kongolo D 90 7.20 — — — 58 56% 3 — —
Matte Smets D 90 6.90 — — — 59 55% — — —
Z. El Ouahdi D 90 6.50 — — 1 49 43% — — —
Bryan Heynen M 83 6.30 — — 1 34 31% 2 — —
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 90 6.90 — — 2 31 30% 2 — —
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 60 6.30 — — — 17 16% 2 — —
D. Heymans M 60 6.60 — — 2 10 9% 1 — —
Junya Ito M 82 7.30 — — — 30 23% 4 — —
Aaron Bibout F 60 6.20 — — 1 10 8% — — —
K. Karetsas M 30 6.50 — — 1 22 18% — — —
Robin Mirisola F 30 6.70 — — 2 3 3% — — —
Yira Collins Sor F 8 6.90 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charleroi vs Genk?
The final score was Charleroi 2–0 Genk.
What did the model predict before Charleroi vs Genk?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Charleroi win, 20% to a draw, and 52% to an Genk win.