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Pro League · Conference League Group - 36 May 02, 2026 18:15 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Charleroi
#4 · 12 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Genk
#9 · 8 pts
K. Van Den Kerkhof (ast. A. Scheidler) 55'
P. Guiagon 69' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 52% win probability (draw 20%, Charleroi 27%). The final result was Charleroi 2–0 Genk. In 3 previous meetings, Charleroi have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Genk.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
1.52
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
6
22
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽K. Van Den Kerkhof · ast. A. Scheidler
55'
A. Bernier
58'
60'
R. Mirisola / A. Bibout ↕
60'
K. Karetsas / N. Adedeji-Sternberg ↕
60'
A. Yokoyama / D. Heymans ↕
↕ L. Blum / P. Guiagon
62'
↕ E. Camara / Y. Titraoui
62'
⚽P. Guiagon (pen.)
69'
↕ A. Bernier / P. Pflucke
77'
↕ J. Romsaas / M. Boukamir
77'
82'
Y. Sor / J. Ito ↕
83'
N. Sattlberger / B. Heynen ↕
P. Guiagon
84'
↕ M. Nzita / J. Gaudin
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.07%
Charleroi ←
20.54%
X
52.39%
Genk
we assigned to the actual result (Charleroi) 27.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Charleroi
1.20
1.52
+0.32
Genk
2.13
1.45
-0.68
xG dominance was balanced (1.52 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 5 15
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 5 13
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 5 12
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 5 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 5 8
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Lommel United Lommel United 5 7
12 Antwerp Antwerp 5 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 5 4
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 5 2
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5 0
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
Charleroi Charleroi 4-2-3-1
30
G 8.20
24 M. Nzita M. Nzita 89' D 7.30
95 C. Keita C. Keita D 7.00
4 A. Ousou A. Ousou D 7.30
27 L. Blum L. Blum 62' D 7.50
40 Y. Khalifi Y. Khalifi M 7.20
5 E. Camara E. Camara 62' M 6.90
17 A. Bernier A. Bernier 77' M 6.60
8 J. Romsaas J. Romsaas 77' M 7.20
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof K. Van Den Kerkhof 1 ⚽ M 8.30
21 A. Scheidler A. Scheidler 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
56 A. Boukamir A. Boukamir M
25 A. Colassin A. Colassin F
10 P. Guiagon P. Guiagon 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.30
14 P. Pflücke P. Pflücke 13' F 6.70
Genk Genk 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.30
18
D 7.20
44 J. Kongolo J. Kongolo D 7.20
6 M. Smets M. Smets D 6.90
77 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D 6.50
8 B. Heynen B. Heynen 83' M 6.30
21 I. Bangoura I. Bangoura M 6.90
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 60' M 6.30
38 D. Heymans D. Heymans 60' M 6.60
10 J. Ito J. Ito 82' M 7.30
23 A. Bibout A. Bibout 60' F 6.20
Bench
7 J. Steuckers J. Steuckers F
20 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 30' M 6.50
3 Mujaid Sadick Mujaid Sadick D
29 R. Mirisola R. Mirisola 30' F 6.70
14 Yira Collins Sor Yira Collins Sor 8' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
K. Van Den Kerkhof
K. Van Den Kerkhof
M · Charleroi
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
G · Charleroi
8.20
· 39 pass
L. Blum
L. Blum
D · Charleroi
7.50
· 29 pass
M. Nzita
M. Nzita
D · Charleroi
7.30
· 43 pass
P. Guiagon
P. Guiagon
F · Charleroi
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
A. Ousou
A. Ousou
D · Charleroi
7.30
· 43 pass
Charleroi Charleroi — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 39 29% — — —
M. Nzita D 89 7.30 — — — 43 34% 4 — —
C. Keita D 90 7.00 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
A. Ousou D 90 7.30 — — — 43 41% 4 — —
L. Blum D 62 7.50 — — — 29 23% 4 — —
Y. Khalifi M 90 7.20 — — — 42 38% 2 — —
E. Camara M 62 6.90 — — — 38 38% 1 — —
A. Bernier M 77 6.60 — — 1 28 22% — 1 —
J. Romsaas M 77 7.20 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
K. Van Den Kerkhof M 90 8.30 1 — 2 25 19% 4 — —
A. Scheidler F 90 6.60 — 1 — 18 14% 1 — —
P. Guiagon F 28 7.30 1 — 1 11 10% — 1 —
P. Pflücke F 13 6.70 — — 1 5 5% — — —
Genk Genk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 22 18% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 56 46% 1 — —
J. Kongolo D 90 7.20 — — — 58 56% 3 — —
M. Smets D 90 6.90 — — — 59 55% — — —
Z. El Ouahdi D 90 6.50 — — 1 49 43% — — —
B. Heynen M 83 6.30 — — 1 34 31% 2 — —
I. Bangoura M 90 6.90 — — 2 31 30% 2 — —
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg M 60 6.30 — — — 17 16% 2 — —
D. Heymans M 60 6.60 — — 2 10 9% 1 — —
J. Ito M 82 7.30 — — — 30 23% 4 — —
A. Bibout F 60 6.20 — — 1 10 8% — — —
K. Karetsas M 30 6.50 — — 1 22 18% — — —
R. Mirisola F 30 6.70 — — 2 3 3% — — —
Yira Collins Sor F 8 6.90 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charleroi vs Genk?
The final score was Charleroi 2–0 Genk.
What did the model predict before Charleroi vs Genk?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Charleroi win, 20% to a draw, and 52% to an Genk win.