Premier League · Regular Season - 33 April 18, 2026 23:00

Chelsea

#9 · 49 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Manchester United

#3 · 65 pts

43' (ast. Bruno Fernandes) Matheus Cunha

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Manchester United 35%). The final result was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

2

3

Shots on target

1

1.55

Actual xG

0.29

1

Saves

3

59%

Possession

41%

7

Corners

1

8

Tackles

16

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

↕ Estêvão / Alejandro Garnacho

16'

25'

Matheus Cunha

Jorrel Hato

39'

43'

ast. Bruno Fernandes · Matheus Cunha⚽

80'

Amad Diallo / Benjamin Šeško ↕

↕ Malo Gusto / Josh Acheampong

81'

↕ Wesley Fofana / Trevoh Chalobah

81'

81'

Mason Mount / Matheus Cunha ↕

87'

Joshua Zirkzee / Bryan Mbeumo ↕

↕ Enzo Fernández / Roméo Lavia

88'

90'+1

Mason Mount

90'+4

Kobbie Mainoo

Pre-match prediction

40.68%

Chelsea

24.04%

X

35.28%

Manchester ←

we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 35.28% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Chelsea

1.66

1.55

-0.11

Manchester

1.88

0.29

-1.59

Chelsea dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	36	79
2	Manchester City	36	77
3	Manchester United	36	65
4	Liverpool	36	59
5	Aston Villa	36	59
6	Bournemouth	36	55
7	Brighton	36	53
8	Brentford	36	51
9	Chelsea	36	49
10	Everton	36	49
11	Fulham	36	48
12	Sunderland	36	48
13	Newcastle	36	46
14	Leeds	36	44
15	Crystal Palace	36	44
16	Nottingham Forest	36	43
17	Tottenham	36	38
18	West Ham	36	36
19	Burnley	36	21
20	Wolves	36	18

Lineups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

1

R. Sanchez G 6.50

3

Marc Cucurella D 6.30

21

J. Hato D 7.00

29

Wesley Fofana 81' D 7.00

27

Malo Gusto 81' D 7.00

8 E. Fernández 88' M 7.70

25 M. Caicedo M 7.00

7

Pedro Neto M 6.90

10 C. Palmer M 6.60

41

Estêvão 16' M 6.70

9

L. Delap F 6.30

Bench

49

A. Garnacho 79' F 6.90

17

Andrey Santos M

14

Dário Essugo M

45

R. Lavia 7' M

4

T. Adarabioyo D

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

31

G 7.20

23

L. Shaw D 7.30

26

D 8.00

3

N. Mazraoui D 6.90

2

D. Dalot D 7.20

37

K. Mainoo M 7.20

18 Casemiro M 7.20

10

Matheus Cunha 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.50

8 Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 7.20

19 B. Mbeumo 87' M 6.30

30 B. Šeško 80' F 6.30

Bench

16 A. Diallo 15' F 6.70

11

J. Zirkzee 8' F 6.70

7

Mason Mount 14' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

D · Manchester

8.00

· 46 pass

E. Fernández

M · Chelsea

7.70

2 shots · 80 pass

Matheus Cunha

M · Manchester

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

L. Shaw

D · Manchester

7.30

· 29 pass

Casemiro

M · Manchester

7.20

· 44 pass

K. Mainoo

M · Manchester

7.20

· 55 pass

Chelsea — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Sanchez	G	95	6.50	—	—	—	34	26%	—	—	—
Marc Cucurella	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	44	40%	1	—	—
J. Hato	D	95	7.00	—	—	—	83	76%	2	1	—
Wesley Fofana	D	81	7.00	—	—	1	78	74%	—	—	—
Malo Gusto	D	81	7.00	—	—	—	56	48%	1	—	—
E. Fernández	M	88	7.70	—	—	2	80	71%	1	—	—
M. Caicedo	M	95	7.00	—	—	1	86	80%	2	—	—
Pedro Neto	M	95	6.90	—	—	—	45	38%	—	—	—
C. Palmer	M	95	6.60	—	—	1	30	29%	—	—	—
Estêvão	M	16	6.70	—	—	2	2	—	—	—	—
L. Delap	F	95	6.30	—	—	1	10	9%	—	—	—
A. Garnacho	F	79	6.90	—	—	—	38	31%	1	—	—
R. Lavia	M	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Manchester United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	95	7.20	—	—	—	32	23%	—	—	—
L. Shaw	D	95	7.30	—	—	—	29	24%	1	—	—
	D	95	8.00	—	—	—	46	41%	3	—	—
N. Mazraoui	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	50	44%	2	—	—
D. Dalot	D	95	7.20	—	—	—	30	25%	3	—	—
K. Mainoo	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	55	52%	2	1	—
Casemiro	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	44	36%	3	—	—
Matheus Cunha	M	81	7.50	1	—	1	21	20%	—	1	—
Bruno Fernandes	M	95	7.20	—	1	1	59	45%	1	—	—
B. Mbeumo	M	87	6.30	—	—	—	25	18%	—	—	—
B. Šeško	F	80	6.30	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
A. Diallo	F	15	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
J. Zirkzee	F	8	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Mason Mount	M	14	6.70	—	—	—	9	9%	1	1	—