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#10 · 7 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#12 · 5 pts
43' (ast. Bruno Fernandes) Matheus Cunha
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Manchester United 35%). The final result was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
1
1.55
Actual xG
0.29
1
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
1
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ Estêvão / Alejandro Garnacho
16'
25'
Matheus Cunha
Jorrel Hato
39'
43'
ast. Bruno Fernandes · Matheus Cunha⚽
80'
Amad Diallo / Benjamin Šeško ↕
↕ Malo Gusto / Josh Acheampong
81'
↕ Wesley Fofana / Trevoh Chalobah
81'
81'
Mason Mount / Matheus Cunha ↕
87'
Joshua Zirkzee / Bryan Mbeumo ↕
↕ Enzo Fernández / Roméo Lavia
88'
90'+1
Mason Mount
90'+4
Kobbie Mainoo
Pre-match prediction
40.68%
Chelsea
24.04%
X
35.28%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 35.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.66
1.55
-0.11
Manchester
1.88
0.29
-1.59
Chelsea dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 6.50
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D 6.30
21 J. Hato J. Hato D 7.00
29 W. Fofana W. Fofana 81' D 7.00
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto 81' D 7.00
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández 88' M 7.70
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 7.00
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto M 6.90
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 6.60
41 Estêvão Estêvão 16' M 6.70
9 L. Delap L. Delap F 6.30
Bench
49 A. Garnacho A. Garnacho 79' F 6.90
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo M
45 R. Lavia R. Lavia 7' M
4 T. Adarabioyo T. Adarabioyo D
31
G 7.20
23 L. Shaw L. Shaw D 7.30
26
D 8.00
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui D 6.90
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 7.20
37 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo M 7.20
18 Casemiro Casemiro M 7.20
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.50
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 7.20
19
Bryan Mbeumo 87' M 6.30
30 B. Šeško B. Šeško 80' F 6.30
Bench
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo 15' F 6.70
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee 8' F 6.70
7 M. Mount M. Mount 14' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
D · Manchester
8.00
· 46 pass
E. Fernández
E. Fernández
M · Chelsea
7.70
2 shots · 80 pass
Matheus Cunha
Matheus Cunha
M · Manchester
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
L. Shaw
L. Shaw
D · Manchester
7.30
· 29 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
M · Manchester
7.20
· 44 pass
K. Mainoo
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.20
· 55 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 95 6.50 — — — 34 26% — — —
Marc Cucurella D 95 6.30 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
J. Hato D 95 7.00 — — — 83 76% 2 1 —
W. Fofana D 81 7.00 — — 1 78 74% — — —
M. Gusto D 81 7.00 — — — 56 48% 1 — —
E. Fernández M 88 7.70 — — 2 80 71% 1 — —
M. Caicedo M 95 7.00 — — 1 86 80% 2 — —
Pedro Neto M 95 6.90 — — — 45 38% — — —
C. Palmer M 95 6.60 — — 1 30 29% — — —
Estêvão M 16 6.70 — — 2 2 — — — —
L. Delap F 95 6.30 — — 1 10 9% — — —
A. Garnacho F 79 6.90 — — — 38 31% 1 — —
R. Lavia M 7 — — — — — — — — —
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 7.20 — — — 32 23% — — —
L. Shaw D 95 7.30 — — — 29 24% 1 — —
D 95 8.00 — — — 46 41% 3 — —
N. Mazraoui D 95 6.90 — — — 50 44% 2 — —
Diogo Dalot D 95 7.20 — — — 30 25% 3 — —
K. Mainoo M 95 7.20 — — — 55 52% 2 1 —
Casemiro M 95 7.20 — — — 44 36% 3 — —
Matheus Cunha M 81 7.50 1 — 1 21 20% — 1 —
Bruno Fernandes M 95 7.20 — 1 1 59 45% 1 — —
Bryan Mbeumo M 87 6.30 — — — 25 18% — — —
B. Šeško F 80 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
A. Diallo F 15 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
J. Zirkzee F 8 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
M. Mount M 14 6.70 — — — 9 9% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Manchester United?
The final score was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Chelsea win, 24% to a draw, and 35% to an Manchester United win.