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#6 · 0 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#16 · 0 pts
43' (ast. Bruno Fernandes) Matheus Cunha
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Manchester United 35%). The final result was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
1
1.55
Actual xG
0.29
1
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
1
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Estêvão / Alejandro Garnacho
16'
25'
Matheus Cunha
Jorrel Hato
39'
43'
ast. Bruno Fernandes · Matheus Cunha
80'
Amad Diallo / Benjamin Šeško
Malo Gusto / Josh Acheampong
81'
Wesley Fofana / Trevoh Chalobah
81'
81'
Mason Mount / Matheus Cunha
87'
Joshua Zirkzee / Bryan Mbeumo
Enzo Fernández / Roméo Lavia
88'
90'+1
Mason Mount
90'+4
Kobbie Mainoo
Pre-match prediction
40.68%
Chelsea
24.04%
X
35.28%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 35.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.66
1.55
-0.11
Manchester
1.88
0.29
-1.59
Chelsea dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 0 0
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0 0
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
4 Brentford Brentford 0 0
5 Brighton Brighton 0 0
6 Chelsea Chelsea 0 0
7 Coventry Coventry 0 0
8 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
9 Everton Everton 0 0
10 Fulham Fulham 0 0
11 Hull City Hull City 0 0
12 Ipswich Ipswich 0 0
13 Leeds Leeds 0 0
14 Liverpool Liverpool 0 0
15 Manchester City Manchester City 0 0
16 Manchester United Manchester United 0 0
17 Newcastle Newcastle 0 0
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0 0
19 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
20 Tottenham Tottenham 0 0
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 6.50
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D 6.30
21 Jorrel Hato Jorrel Hato D 7.00
29 Wesley Fofana Wesley Fofana 81' D 7.00
27 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto 81' D 7.00
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández 88' M 7.70
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 7.00
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto M 6.90
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 6.60
41 Estêvão Estêvão 16' M 6.70
9 L. Delap L. Delap F 6.30
Bench
49 A. Garnacho A. Garnacho 79' F 6.90
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo M
45
R. Lavia 7' M
4 Tosin Adarabioyo Tosin Adarabioyo D
31
G 7.20
23 L. Shaw L. Shaw D 7.30
26
D 8.00
3 Noussair Mazraoui Noussair Mazraoui D 6.90
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 7.20
37 Kobbie Mainoo Kobbie Mainoo M 7.20
18 Casemiro Casemiro M 7.20
10 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.50
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 7.20
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo 87' M 6.30
30 B. Šeško B. Šeško 80' F 6.30
Bench
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo 15' F 6.70
11 Joshua Zirkzee Joshua Zirkzee 8' F 6.70
7 Mason Mount Mason Mount 14' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
D · Manchester
8.00
· 46 pass
E. Fernández
E. Fernández
M · Chelsea
7.70
2 shots · 80 pass
Matheus Cunha
Matheus Cunha
M · Manchester
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
L. Shaw
L. Shaw
D · Manchester
7.30
· 29 pass
Casemiro
Casemiro
M · Manchester
7.20
· 44 pass
Kobbie Mainoo
Kobbie Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.20
· 55 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 95 6.50 34 26%
Marc Cucurella D 95 6.30 44 40% 1
Jorrel Hato D 95 7.00 83 76% 2 1
Wesley Fofana D 81 7.00 1 78 74%
Malo Gusto D 81 7.00 56 48% 1
E. Fernández M 88 7.70 2 80 71% 1
M. Caicedo M 95 7.00 1 86 80% 2
Pedro Neto M 95 6.90 45 38%
C. Palmer M 95 6.60 1 30 29%
Estêvão M 16 6.70 2 2
L. Delap F 95 6.30 1 10 9%
A. Garnacho F 79 6.90 38 31% 1
R. Lavia M 7
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 7.20 32 23%
L. Shaw D 95 7.30 29 24% 1
D 95 8.00 46 41% 3
Noussair Mazraoui D 95 6.90 50 44% 2
Diogo Dalot D 95 7.20 30 25% 3
Kobbie Mainoo M 95 7.20 55 52% 2 1
Casemiro M 95 7.20 44 36% 3
Matheus Cunha M 81 7.50 1 1 21 20% 1
Bruno Fernandes M 95 7.20 1 1 59 45% 1
B. Mbeumo M 87 6.30 25 18%
B. Šeško F 80 6.30 11 9%
A. Diallo F 15 6.70 3 2%
Joshua Zirkzee F 8 6.70 2 2%
Mason Mount M 14 6.70 9 9% 1 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Manchester United?
The final score was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Chelsea win, 24% to a draw, and 35% to an Manchester United win.