43'
(ast. Bruno Fernandes)
Matheus Cunha
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Manchester United 35%). The final result was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
1
1.55
Actual xG
0.29
1
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
1
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Estêvão
/ Alejandro Garnacho
16'
25'
Matheus Cunha
Jorrel Hato
39'
43'
ast. Bruno Fernandes ·
Matheus Cunha⚽
80'
Amad Diallo
/
Benjamin Šeško
Malo Gusto
/ Josh Acheampong
81'
Wesley Fofana
/ Trevoh Chalobah
81'
81'
Mason Mount
/
Matheus Cunha
87'
Joshua Zirkzee
/
Bryan Mbeumo
Enzo Fernández
/ Roméo Lavia
88'
90'+1
Mason Mount
90'+4
Kobbie Mainoo
Pre-match prediction
40.68%
Chelsea
24.04%
X
35.28%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United)
35.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.55
-0.11
1.88
0.29
-1.59
Chelsea dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Robert Sánchez
G
Robert Sánchez
G
3
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
21
J. Hato
D
J. Hato
D
29
Wesley Fofana
81'
D
Wesley Fofana
81'
D
27
Malo Gusto
81'
D
Malo Gusto
81'
D
8
Enzo Fernández
88'
M
Enzo Fernández
88'
M
25
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
7
Pedro Neto
M
Pedro Neto
M
10
C. Palmer
M
C. Palmer
M
41
Estêvão
16'
M
Estêvão
16'
M
9
L. Delap
F
L. Delap
F
Bench
49
A. Garnacho
79'
F
A. Garnacho
79'
F
17
Andrey Santos
M
Andrey Santos
M
14
Dário Essugo
M
Dário Essugo
M
45
R. Lavia
7'
M
4
Tosin Adarabioyo
D
Tosin Adarabioyo
D
31
G
23
L. Shaw
D
L. Shaw
D
26
D
3
Noussair Mazraoui
D
Noussair Mazraoui
D
2
Diogo Dalot
D
Diogo Dalot
D
37
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
18
Casemiro
M
Casemiro
M
10
Matheus Cunha
1 ⚽
81'
M
Matheus Cunha
1 ⚽
81'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
19
B. Mbeumo
87'
M
B. Mbeumo
87'
M
30
B. Šeško
80'
F
B. Šeško
80'
F
Bench
16
A. Diallo
15'
F
A. Diallo
15'
F
11
Joshua Zirkzee
8'
F
Joshua Zirkzee
8'
F
7
Mason Mount
14'
M
Mason Mount
14'
M
Best on the pitch
D · Manchester
8.00
· 46 pass
Enzo Fernández
M · Chelsea
7.70
2 shots
· 80 pass
Matheus Cunha
M · Manchester
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
L. Shaw
D · Manchester
7.30
· 29 pass
Casemiro
M · Manchester
7.20
· 44 pass
Kobbie Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.20
· 55 pass
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hato | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 83 | 76% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Wesley Fofana | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 74% | — | — | — |
| Malo Gusto | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Fernández | M | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| C. Palmer | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Estêvão | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| L. Shaw | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| Noussair Mazraoui | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Casemiro | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Cunha | M | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 59 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbeumo | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| B. Šeško | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Diallo | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Zirkzee | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mason Mount | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Manchester United?
The final score was Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Chelsea win, 24% to a draw, and 35% to an Manchester United win.