← Premier League
Premier League · Regular Season - 35 May 04, 2026 16:00
Chelsea
#9 · 49 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Nottingham Forest
#16 · 43 pts
Joao Pedro (ast. M. Cucurella) 90'+3
2' (ast. D. Bakwa) T. Awoniyi
(pen.) 15' Igor Jesus
52' (ast. M. Gibbs-White) T. Awoniyi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nottingham Forest a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Chelsea 34%). The final result was Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
1.93
Actual xG
2.07
1
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
10
Corners
1
13
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. D. Bakwa · T. Awoniyi⚽
10'
Morato
M. Gusto
14'
15'
(pen.) Igor Jesus⚽
45'+5
N. Williams / Z. Abbott ↕
↕ J. Derry / L. Delap
45'+9
⚽C. Palmer (missed pen.)
45'+10
↕ T. Adarabioyo / L. Colwill
46'
46'
N. Milenkovic / Cunha ↕
46'
E. Anderson / N. Dominguez ↕
46'
M. Gibbs-White / Igor Jesus ↕
52'
ast. M. Gibbs-White · T. Awoniyi⚽
↕ R. Lavia / Andrey Santos
58'
66'
C. Wood / M. Gibbs-White ↕
↕ R. Sanchez / F. Jorgensen
66'
73'
M. Caicedo
78'
L. Delap
78'
80'
O. Hutchinson / D. Bakwa ↕
⚽Joao Pedro · ast. M. Cucurella
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
34.79%
Chelsea
25.87%
X
39.34%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 39.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.07
1.93
+0.86
Nottingham
1.35
2.07
+0.72
xG dominance was balanced (1.93 – 2.07). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 36 79
2 Manchester City Manchester City 36 77
3 Manchester United Manchester United 36 65
4 Liverpool Liverpool 36 59
5 Aston Villa Aston Villa 36 59
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 36 55
7 Brighton Brighton 36 53
8 Brentford Brentford 36 51
9 Chelsea Chelsea 36 49
10 Everton Everton 36 49
11 Fulham Fulham 36 48
12 Sunderland Sunderland 36 48
13 Newcastle Newcastle 36 46
14 Leeds Leeds 36 44
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 36 44
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 36 43
17 Tottenham Tottenham 36 38
18 West Ham West Ham 36 36
19 Burnley Burnley 36 21
20 Wolves Wolves 36 18
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1
R. Sanchez 66' G 6.30
3
Marc Cucurella 1 👟 D 6.30
4
T. Adarabioyo 45' D 6.30
23
D 6.20
27
Malo Gusto D 5.90
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 7.00
45
R. Lavia 58' M 6.90
55
J. Derry 54' M 6.60
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández M 7.70
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 5.90
20 João Pedro João Pedro 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
17
Andrey Santos 42' M 7.20
14
Dário Essugo M
12
F. Jorgensen 34' G 6.30
21
J. Hato D
9
L. Delap 46' F 6.20
24
R. James D
29
Wesley Fofana D
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4-4-2
26
G 7.90
25
D 6.90
4 Morato Morato D 6.90
23 Jair Jair 45' D 6.90
44
Z. Abbott 50' D 6.50
24 James McAtee James McAtee M 6.30
16 Nicolás Domínguez Nicolás Domínguez 45' M 7.00
22 Ryan Yates Ryan Yates M 6.90
29 Dilane Bakwa Dilane Bakwa 1 👟 80' M 7.50
9 Taiwo Awoniyi Taiwo Awoniyi 2 ⚽ F 8.70
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 1 ⚽ 45' F 6.90
Bench
11 Chris Wood Chris Wood 34' F 6.90
8 Elliot Anderson Elliot Anderson 55' M 7.20
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 1 👟 21' M 7.30
3 Neco Williams Neco Williams 50' D 6.30
31 Nikola Milenković Nikola Milenković 55' D 6.30
21 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 20' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Taiwo Awoniyi
Taiwo Awoniyi
F · Nottingham
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
G · Nottingham
7.90
· 32 pass
João Pedro
João Pedro
F · Chelsea
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
E. Fernández
E. Fernández
M · Chelsea
7.70
2 shots · 79 pass
Dilane Bakwa
Dilane Bakwa
M · Nottingham
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.30
1 👟
· 8 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Sanchez G 66 6.30 — — — 20 15% — — —
Marc Cucurella D 100 6.30 — 1 1 63 56% 2 — —
T. Adarabioyo D 45 6.30 — — — 51 47% 2 — —
D 100 6.20 — — 1 75 71% — — —
Malo Gusto D 100 5.90 — — 1 54 53% — 1 —
M. Caicedo M 100 7.00 — — — 88 83% 3 1 —
R. Lavia M 58 6.90 — — — 44 40% 3 — —
J. Derry M 54 6.60 — — 2 13 12% 1 — —
E. Fernández M 100 7.70 — — 2 79 71% 1 — —
C. Palmer M 100 5.90 — — 3 42 38% — — —
João Pedro F 100 7.70 1 — 2 26 19% — — —
Andrey Santos M 42 7.20 — — — 44 41% 1 — —
F. Jorgensen G 34 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Delap F 46 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — 1 —
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 7.90 — — — 32 16% — — —
D 100 6.90 — — — 21 17% 6 — —
Morato D 100 6.90 — — — 42 31% 1 1 —
Jair D 45 6.90 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Z. Abbott D 50 6.50 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
James McAtee M 100 6.30 — — 1 26 20% 1 — —
Nicolás Domínguez M 45 7.00 — — — 23 23% 2 — —
Ryan Yates M 100 6.90 — — — 34 27% 2 — —
Dilane Bakwa M 80 7.50 — 1 — 17 15% 1 — —
Taiwo Awoniyi F 100 8.70 2 — 2 7 5% — — —
Igor Jesus F 45 6.90 1 — 2 10 10% — — —
Chris Wood F 34 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
Elliot Anderson M 55 7.20 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
M. Gibbs-White M 21 7.30 — 1 — 8 5% — — —
Neco Williams D 50 6.30 — — — 17 14% 4 — —
Nikola Milenković D 55 6.30 — — — 18 18% — — —
Omari Hutchinson F 20 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Chelsea win, 25% to a draw, and 39% to an Nottingham Forest win.