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Premier League · Regular Season - 35 May 04, 2026 16:00 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
#6 · 0 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Nottingham Forest
#18 · 0 pts
Joao Pedro (ast. M. Cucurella) 90'+3
2' (ast. D. Bakwa) T. Awoniyi
(pen.) 15' Igor Jesus
52' (ast. M. Gibbs-White) T. Awoniyi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nottingham Forest a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Chelsea 34%). The final result was Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
1.93
Actual xG
2.07
1
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
10
Corners
1
13
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. D. Bakwa · T. Awoniyi⚽
10'
Morato
M. Gusto
14'
15'
(pen.) Igor Jesus⚽
45'+5
N. Williams / Z. Abbott ↕
↕ J. Derry / L. Delap
45'+9
⚽C. Palmer (missed pen.)
45'+10
↕ T. Adarabioyo / L. Colwill
46'
46'
N. Milenkovic / Cunha ↕
46'
E. Anderson / N. Dominguez ↕
46'
M. Gibbs-White / Igor Jesus ↕
52'
ast. M. Gibbs-White · T. Awoniyi⚽
↕ R. Lavia / Andrey Santos
58'
66'
C. Wood / M. Gibbs-White ↕
↕ R. Sanchez / F. Jorgensen
66'
73'
M. Caicedo
78'
L. Delap
78'
80'
O. Hutchinson / D. Bakwa ↕
⚽Joao Pedro · ast. M. Cucurella
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
34.79%
Chelsea
25.87%
X
39.34%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 39.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.07
1.93
+0.86
Nottingham
1.35
2.07
+0.72
xG dominance was balanced (1.93 – 2.07). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 0 0
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0 0
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
4 Brentford Brentford 0 0
5 Brighton Brighton 0 0
6 Chelsea Chelsea 0 0
7 Coventry Coventry 0 0
8 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
9 Everton Everton 0 0
10 Fulham Fulham 0 0
11 Hull City Hull City 0 0
12 Ipswich Ipswich 0 0
13 Leeds Leeds 0 0
14 Liverpool Liverpool 0 0
15 Manchester City Manchester City 0 0
16 Manchester United Manchester United 0 0
17 Newcastle Newcastle 0 0
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0 0
19 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
20 Tottenham Tottenham 0 0
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez 66' G 6.30
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella 1 👟 D 6.30
4 Tosin Adarabioyo Tosin Adarabioyo 45' D 6.30
23
D 6.20
27 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto D 5.90
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 7.00
45
R. Lavia 58' M 6.90
55 J. Derry J. Derry 54' M 6.60
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández M 7.70
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 5.90
20 João Pedro João Pedro 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos 42' M 7.20
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo M
12 Filip Jørgensen Filip Jørgensen 34' G 6.30
21 Jorrel Hato Jorrel Hato D
9 L. Delap L. Delap 46' F 6.20
24 Reece James Reece James D
29 Wesley Fofana Wesley Fofana D
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4-4-2
26
G 7.90
25
D 6.90
4 Morato Morato D 6.90
23 Jair Jair 45' D 6.90
44 Zach Abbott Zach Abbott 50' D 6.50
24 James McAtee James McAtee M 6.30
16 Nicolás Domínguez Nicolás Domínguez 45' M 7.00
22 Ryan Yates Ryan Yates M 6.90
29 Dilane Bakwa Dilane Bakwa 1 👟 80' M 7.50
9 Taiwo Awoniyi Taiwo Awoniyi 2 ⚽ F 8.70
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 1 ⚽ 45' F 6.90
Bench
11 C. Wood C. Wood 34' F 6.90
8 Elliot Anderson Elliot Anderson 55' M 7.20
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 1 👟 21' M 7.30
31 N. Milenković N. Milenković 55' D 6.30
3 N. Williams N. Williams 50' D 6.30
21 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 20' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Taiwo Awoniyi
Taiwo Awoniyi
F · Nottingham
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
G · Nottingham
7.90
· 32 pass
João Pedro
João Pedro
F · Chelsea
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
E. Fernández
E. Fernández
M · Chelsea
7.70
2 shots · 79 pass
Dilane Bakwa
Dilane Bakwa
M · Nottingham
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.30
1 👟
· 8 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 66 6.30 — — — 20 15% — — —
Marc Cucurella D 100 6.30 — 1 1 63 56% 2 — —
Tosin Adarabioyo D 45 6.30 — — — 51 47% 2 — —
D 100 6.20 — — 1 75 71% — — —
Malo Gusto D 100 5.90 — — 1 54 53% — 1 —
M. Caicedo M 100 7.00 — — — 88 83% 3 1 —
R. Lavia M 58 6.90 — — — 44 40% 3 — —
J. Derry M 54 6.60 — — 2 13 12% 1 — —
E. Fernández M 100 7.70 — — 2 79 71% 1 — —
C. Palmer M 100 5.90 — — 3 42 38% — — —
João Pedro F 100 7.70 1 — 2 26 19% — — —
Andrey Santos M 42 7.20 — — — 44 41% 1 — —
Filip Jørgensen G 34 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Delap F 46 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — 1 —
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 7.90 — — — 32 16% — — —
D 100 6.90 — — — 21 17% 6 — —
Morato D 100 6.90 — — — 42 31% 1 1 —
Jair D 45 6.90 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Zach Abbott D 50 6.50 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
James McAtee M 100 6.30 — — 1 26 20% 1 — —
Nicolás Domínguez M 45 7.00 — — — 23 23% 2 — —
Ryan Yates M 100 6.90 — — — 34 27% 2 — —
Dilane Bakwa M 80 7.50 — 1 — 17 15% 1 — —
Taiwo Awoniyi F 100 8.70 2 — 2 7 5% — — —
Igor Jesus F 45 6.90 1 — 2 10 10% — — —
C. Wood F 34 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
Elliot Anderson M 55 7.20 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
M. Gibbs-White M 21 7.30 — 1 — 8 5% — — —
N. Milenković D 55 6.30 — — — 18 18% — — —
N. Williams D 50 6.30 — — — 17 14% 4 — —
Omari Hutchinson F 20 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Chelsea win, 25% to a draw, and 39% to an Nottingham Forest win.