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Premier League · Regular Season - 35 May 04, 2026 16:00 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
#10 · 52 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Nottingham Forest
#16 · 44 pts
Joao Pedro (ast. M. Cucurella) 90'+3
2' (ast. D. Bakwa) T. Awoniyi
(pen.) 15' Igor Jesus
52' (ast. M. Gibbs-White) T. Awoniyi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nottingham Forest a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Chelsea 34%). The final result was Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
4
1.93
Actual xG
2.07
1
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
10
Corners
1
13
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. D. Bakwa · T. Awoniyi⚽
10'
Morato
M. Gusto
14'
15'
(pen.) Igor Jesus⚽
45'+5
N. Williams / Z. Abbott ↕
↕ J. Derry / L. Delap
45'+9
⚽C. Palmer (missed pen.)
45'+10
↕ T. Adarabioyo / L. Colwill
46'
46'
N. Milenkovic / Cunha ↕
46'
E. Anderson / N. Dominguez ↕
46'
M. Gibbs-White / Igor Jesus ↕
52'
ast. M. Gibbs-White · T. Awoniyi⚽
↕ R. Lavia / Andrey Santos
58'
66'
C. Wood / M. Gibbs-White ↕
↕ R. Sanchez / F. Jorgensen
66'
73'
M. Caicedo
78'
L. Delap
78'
80'
O. Hutchinson / D. Bakwa ↕
⚽Joao Pedro · ast. M. Cucurella
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
34.79%
Chelsea
25.87%
X
39.34%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 39.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chelsea
1.07
1.93
+0.86
Nottingham
1.35
2.07
+0.72
xG dominance was balanced (1.93 – 2.07). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 38 85
2 Manchester City Manchester City 38 78
3 Manchester United Manchester United 38 71
4 Aston Villa Aston Villa 38 65
5 Liverpool Liverpool 38 60
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 38 57
7 Sunderland Sunderland 38 54
8 Brighton Brighton 38 53
9 Brentford Brentford 38 53
10 Chelsea Chelsea 38 52
11 Fulham Fulham 38 52
12 Newcastle Newcastle 38 49
13 Everton Everton 38 49
14 Leeds Leeds 38 47
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 38 45
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 38 44
17 Tottenham Tottenham 38 41
18 West Ham West Ham 38 39
19 Burnley Burnley 38 22
20 Wolves Wolves 38 20
Lineups
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez 66' G 6.30
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella 1 👟 D 6.30
4 Tosin Adarabioyo Tosin Adarabioyo 45' D 6.30
23
D 6.20
27 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto D 5.90
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 7.00
45
R. Lavia 58' M 6.90
55 Jesse Derry Jesse Derry 54' M 6.60
8 Enzo Fernández Enzo Fernández M 7.70
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 5.90
20 João Pedro João Pedro 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos 42' M 7.20
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo M
12 Filip Jørgensen Filip Jørgensen 34' G 6.30
21 J. Hato J. Hato D
9 L. Delap L. Delap 46' F 6.20
24 Reece James Reece James D
29 Wesley Fofana Wesley Fofana D
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4-4-2
26
G 7.90
25
D 6.90
4 Morato Morato D 6.90
23 Jair Jair 45' D 6.90
44 Zach Abbott Zach Abbott 50' D 6.50
24 James McAtee James McAtee M 6.30
16 Nicolás Domínguez Nicolás Domínguez 45' M 7.00
22 Ryan Yates Ryan Yates M 6.90
29 Dilane Bakwa Dilane Bakwa 1 👟 80' M 7.50
9 Taiwo Awoniyi Taiwo Awoniyi 2 ⚽ F 8.70
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 1 ⚽ 45' F 6.90
Bench
11 C. Wood C. Wood 34' F 6.90
8 Elliot Anderson Elliot Anderson 55' M 7.20
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 1 👟 21' M 7.30
31 N. Milenković N. Milenković 55' D 6.30
3 N. Williams N. Williams 50' D 6.30
21 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 20' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Taiwo Awoniyi
Taiwo Awoniyi
F · Nottingham
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
G · Nottingham
7.90
· 32 pass
João Pedro
João Pedro
F · Chelsea
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Enzo Fernández
Enzo Fernández
M · Chelsea
7.70
2 shots · 79 pass
Dilane Bakwa
Dilane Bakwa
M · Nottingham
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.30
1 👟
· 8 pass
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 66 6.30 — — — 20 15% — — —
Marc Cucurella D 100 6.30 — 1 1 63 56% 2 — —
Tosin Adarabioyo D 45 6.30 — — — 51 47% 2 — —
D 100 6.20 — — 1 75 71% — — —
Malo Gusto D 100 5.90 — — 1 54 53% — 1 —
M. Caicedo M 100 7.00 — — — 88 83% 3 1 —
R. Lavia M 58 6.90 — — — 44 40% 3 — —
Jesse Derry M 54 6.60 — — 2 13 12% 1 — —
Enzo Fernández M 100 7.70 — — 2 79 71% 1 — —
C. Palmer M 100 5.90 — — 3 42 38% — — —
João Pedro F 100 7.70 1 — 2 26 19% — — —
Andrey Santos M 42 7.20 — — — 44 41% 1 — —
Filip Jørgensen G 34 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Delap F 46 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — 1 —
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 7.90 — — — 32 16% — — —
D 100 6.90 — — — 21 17% 6 — —
Morato D 100 6.90 — — — 42 31% 1 1 —
Jair D 45 6.90 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Zach Abbott D 50 6.50 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
James McAtee M 100 6.30 — — 1 26 20% 1 — —
Nicolás Domínguez M 45 7.00 — — — 23 23% 2 — —
Ryan Yates M 100 6.90 — — — 34 27% 2 — —
Dilane Bakwa M 80 7.50 — 1 — 17 15% 1 — —
Taiwo Awoniyi F 100 8.70 2 — 2 7 5% — — —
Igor Jesus F 45 6.90 1 — 2 10 10% — — —
C. Wood F 34 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
Elliot Anderson M 55 7.20 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
M. Gibbs-White M 21 7.30 — 1 — 8 5% — — —
N. Milenković D 55 6.30 — — — 18 18% — — —
N. Williams D 50 6.30 — — — 17 14% 4 — —
Omari Hutchinson F 20 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Chelsea win, 25% to a draw, and 39% to an Nottingham Forest win.