MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 04:30
M. Haile-Selassie
(ast. J. Bamba)
13'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Atlanta United FC 24%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
2.30
Actual xG
1.26
5
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
11
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
T. Jacob
P. Zinckernagel
8'
⚽M. Haile-Selassie
· ast. J. Bamba
13'
L. Barroso
48'
66'
S. Alzate
/
C. Sanchez
L. Barroso
/ J. Dean
68'
D. D'Avilla
/ M. Pineda
68'
78'
P. Amador
/
E. Baez
78'
C. Togashi
/
E. Latte Lath
78'
L. Brennan
/
S. Lobjanidze
89'
A. Fortune
/
M. Galarza
J. Bamba
/ P. Dithejane
89'
P. Zinckernagel
/ J. Shokalook
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.58%
Chicago ←
27.49%
X
24.92%
Atlanta
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
47.58%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
2.30
+0.2
0.67
1.26
+0.59
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
D
Andrew Gutman
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
2
L. Barroso
68'
D
19
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
89'
M
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
89'
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
68'
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
68'
M
6
A. Saletros
M
11
Philip Zinckernagel
89'
M
Philip Zinckernagel
89'
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
F
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
F
17
Robin Lod
F
Robin Lod
F
Bench
29
D. Poreba
M
20
Jason Shokalook
8'
F
Jason Shokalook
8'
F
16
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
24
Jonathan Dean
29'
D
Jonathan Dean
29'
D
22
Mauricio Pineda
29'
D
Mauricio Pineda
29'
D
12
Puso Dithejane
8'
F
Puso Dithejane
8'
F
35
S. Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
3
Elías Báez
78'
D
Elías Báez
78'
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
Enea Mihaj
D
5
Stian Gregersen
D
Stian Gregersen
D
55
Tomás Jacob
D
Tomás Jacob
D
88
Matías Galarza
89'
M
Matías Galarza
89'
M
8
Tristan Muyumba
M
Tristan Muyumba
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
66'
M
Cooper Sanchez
66'
M
10
M. Almiron
F
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath
78'
F
Emmanuel Latte Lath
78'
F
11
Saba Lobzhanidze
78'
F
Saba Lobzhanidze
78'
F
Bench
35
Ajani Fortune
8'
M
Ajani Fortune
8'
M
30
Cayman Togashi
19'
F
Cayman Togashi
19'
F
6
Juan Berrocal
D
Juan Berrocal
D
20
Luke Brennan
19'
M
Luke Brennan
19'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
D
Matthew Edwards
D
18
Pedro Amador
19'
D
Pedro Amador
19'
D
7
S. Alzate
31'
M
Best on the pitch
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D · Chicago
8.90
· 54 pass
Maren Haile-Selassie
F · Chicago
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 51 pass
G · Chicago
7.90
· 31 pass
Lucas Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.50
· 40 pass
Pedro Amador
D · Atlanta
7.30
· 14 pass
A. Saletros
M · Chicago
7.30
· 59 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 97 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 42% | — | — | — |
| L. Barroso | D | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Saletros | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Philip Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | F | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 51 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Jacob | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Matías Galarza | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 5 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Almiron | F | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 19 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Alzate | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Atlanta United FC win.