MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 04:30
M. Haile-Selassie
(ast. J. Bamba)
13'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Atlanta United FC 24%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
2.30
Actual xG
1.26
5
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
11
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
T. Jacob
P. Zinckernagel
8'
⚽M. Haile-Selassie
· ast. J. Bamba
13'
L. Barroso
48'
66'
S. Alzate
/
C. Sanchez
L. Barroso
/ J. Dean
68'
D. D'Avilla
/ M. Pineda
68'
78'
P. Amador
/
E. Baez
78'
C. Togashi
/
E. Latte Lath
78'
L. Brennan
/
S. Lobjanidze
89'
A. Fortune
/
M. Galarza
J. Bamba
/ P. Dithejane
89'
P. Zinckernagel
/ J. Shokalook
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.58%
Chicago ←
27.49%
X
24.92%
Atlanta
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
47.58%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
2.30
+0.2
0.67
1.26
+0.59
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
D
Andrew Gutman
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
2
L. Barroso
68'
D
19
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
89'
M
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
89'
M
42
T. D'Avilla
68'
M
T. D'Avilla
68'
M
6
Anton Salétros
M
Anton Salétros
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
89'
M
P. Zinckernagel
89'
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
F
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
F
17
Robin Lod
F
Robin Lod
F
Bench
29
David Poreba
M
David Poreba
M
20
Jason Shokalook
8'
F
Jason Shokalook
8'
F
24
J. Dean
29'
D
J. Dean
29'
D
16
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
22
Mauricio Pineda
29'
D
Mauricio Pineda
29'
D
12
P. Dithejane
8'
F
P. Dithejane
8'
F
35
S. Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
3
Elías Báez
78'
D
Elías Báez
78'
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
Enea Mihaj
D
5
Stian Gregersen
D
Stian Gregersen
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
88
M. Galarza
89'
M
M. Galarza
89'
M
8
Tristan Muyumba
M
Tristan Muyumba
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
66'
M
Cooper Sanchez
66'
M
10
M. Almirón
F
M. Almirón
F
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath
78'
F
Emmanuel Latte Lath
78'
F
11
Saba Lobzhanidze
78'
F
Bench
35
Ajani Fortune
8'
M
Ajani Fortune
8'
M
30
Cayman Togashi
19'
F
Cayman Togashi
19'
F
6
Juan Berrocal
D
Juan Berrocal
D
20
L. Brennan
19'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
D
Matthew Edwards
D
18
Pedro Amador
19'
D
Pedro Amador
19'
D
7
Steven Alzate
31'
M
Steven Alzate
31'
M
Best on the pitch
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D · Chicago
8.90
· 54 pass
Maren Haile-Selassie
F · Chicago
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 51 pass
G · Chicago
7.90
· 31 pass
Lucas Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.50
· 40 pass
Pedro Amador
D · Atlanta
7.30
· 14 pass
Anton Salétros
M · Chicago
7.30
· 59 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 97 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 42% | — | — | — |
| L. Barroso | D | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | F | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 51 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 5 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Almirón | F | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Brennan | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 19 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Alzate | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Atlanta United FC win.