MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 02:30
M. Haile-Selassie
(ast. J. Bamba)
13'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Atlanta United FC 24%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
2.30
Actual xG
1.26
5
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
11
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
T. Jacob
P. Zinckernagel
8'
⚽M. Haile-Selassie
· ast. J. Bamba
13'
L. Barroso
48'
66'
S. Alzate
/
C. Sanchez
L. Barroso
/ J. Dean
68'
D. D'Avilla
/ M. Pineda
68'
78'
P. Amador
/
E. Baez
78'
C. Togashi
/
E. Latte Lath
78'
L. Brennan
/
S. Lobjanidze
89'
A. Fortune
/
M. Galarza
J. Bamba
/ P. Dithejane
89'
P. Zinckernagel
/ J. Shokalook
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.58%
Chicago ←
27.49%
X
24.92%
Atlanta
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
47.58%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
2.30
+0.2
0.67
1.26
+0.59
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
D
Andrew Gutman
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
2
Leonardo Barroso
68'
D
Leonardo Barroso
68'
D
19
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
89'
M
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
89'
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
68'
M
Dje Tah D'Avilla
68'
M
6
A. Salétros
M
A. Salétros
M
11
Philip Zinckernagel
89'
M
Philip Zinckernagel
89'
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
F
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
F
17
Robin Lod
F
Robin Lod
F
Bench
29
David Poreba
M
David Poreba
M
20
Jason Shokalook
8'
F
Jason Shokalook
8'
F
16
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
24
Jonathan Dean
29'
D
Jonathan Dean
29'
D
22
Mauricio Pineda
29'
D
Mauricio Pineda
29'
D
12
P. Dithejane
8'
F
P. Dithejane
8'
F
35
Sergio Oregel
M
Sergio Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
3
Elías Báez
78'
D
Elías Báez
78'
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
Enea Mihaj
D
5
S. Gregersen
D
S. Gregersen
D
55
Tomás Jacob
D
Tomás Jacob
D
88
M. Galarza
89'
M
M. Galarza
89'
M
8
Tristan Muyumba
M
Tristan Muyumba
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
66'
M
Cooper Sanchez
66'
M
10
M. Almirón
F
M. Almirón
F
9
E. Latte Lath
78'
F
E. Latte Lath
78'
F
11
Saba Lobzhanidze
78'
F
Saba Lobzhanidze
78'
F
Bench
35
Ajani Fortune
8'
M
Ajani Fortune
8'
M
30
C. Togashi
19'
F
C. Togashi
19'
F
6
Juan Berrocal
D
Juan Berrocal
D
20
Luke Brennan
19'
M
Luke Brennan
19'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
D
Matthew Edwards
D
18
Pedro Amador
19'
D
Pedro Amador
19'
D
7
S. Alzate
31'
M
S. Alzate
31'
M
Best on the pitch
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D · Chicago
8.90
· 54 pass
Maren Haile-Selassie
F · Chicago
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 51 pass
G · Chicago
7.90
· 31 pass
Lucas Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.50
· 40 pass
Pedro Amador
D · Atlanta
7.30
· 14 pass
A. Salétros
M · Chicago
7.30
· 59 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 97 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Philip Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | F | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 51 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Gregersen | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Jacob | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 5 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Almirón | F | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Togashi | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 19 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Alzate | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Atlanta United FC win.