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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 04:30
Chicago Fire
#4 · 20 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Sporting Kansas City
#15 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Chicago Fire
P. Zinckernagel 51'
P. Zinckernagel 65'
H. Cuypers 73'
M. Haile-Selassie 79'
H. Cuypers 90'+8

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Sporting Kansas City 17%). The final result was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
2.72
Actual xG
0.36
0
Saves
1
71%
Possession
29%
3
Corners
2
11
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Gutman
10'
⚽H. Cuypers (missed pen.)
51'
⚽P. Zinckernagel
51'
↕ P. Dithejane / R. Lod
61'
⚽P. Zinckernagel
65'
⚽H. Cuypers
73'
74'
W. Meyer / I. James ↕
75'
S. Afrifa / C. Harris ↕
↕ A. Saletros / S. Oregel
76'
↕ P. Zinckernagel / J. Shokalook
76'
⚽M. Haile-Selassie
79'
↕ A. Gutman / V. Radojevic
84'
↕ D. D'Avilla / M. Pineda
84'
86'
J. Bartlett / Capita ↕
⚽H. Cuypers
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
65.46%
Chicago ←
17.51%
X
17.03%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire) 65.46% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chicago
4.50
2.72
-1.78
Sporting
0.51
0.36
-0.15
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.60
15 Andrew Gutman Andrew Gutman 84' D 7.20
3 Jack Elliott Jack Elliott D 7.90
16 Joel Waterman Joel Waterman D 7.60
24 Jonathan Dean Jonathan Dean D 6.60
6
A. Saletros 76' M 7.70
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla Dje Tah D'Avilla 84' M 7.20
12 Puso Dithejane Puso Dithejane 61' M 6.50
7 Maren Haile-Selassie Maren Haile-Selassie 1 ⚽ M 8.70
11 Philip Zinckernagel Philip Zinckernagel 2 ⚽ 76' M 10.00
9 Hugo Cuypers Hugo Cuypers 2 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
29
D. Poreba M
27 Dylan Borso Dylan Borso F
20 Jason Shokalook Jason Shokalook 14' F 6.30
22 Mauricio Pineda Mauricio Pineda 15' D 7.00
4 Mbekezeli Mbokazi Mbekezeli Mbokazi D
17 Robin Lod Robin Lod 29' M 6.30
35
S. Oregel 14' M 6.90
14 Viktor Radojević Viktor Radojević 15' D 6.60
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-4-3
1
G 5.60
15
D 5.70
23 Ethan Bartlow Ethan Bartlow D 5.50
2 Ian James Ian James 75' D 6.00
20
M 6.70
6 Manu García Manu García M 6.30
4
M 6.20
8 Jacob Davis Jacob Davis M 6.30
7 Capita Capita 86' F 7.00
9 Dejan Joveljić Dejan Joveljić F 6.50
11 Calvin Harris Calvin Harris 75' F 6.70
Bench
16 Jacob Bartlett Jacob Bartlett 13' D 6.30
99 Jayden Reid Jayden Reid D
14 Macielo Tschantret Macielo Tschantret M
93 Shapi Suleymanov Shapi Suleymanov F
19 Taylor Calheira Taylor Calheira F
Best on the pitch
Philip Zinckernagel
Philip Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
10.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 37 pass
Maren Haile-Selassie
Maren Haile-Selassie
M · Chicago
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 65 pass
Jack Elliott
Jack Elliott
D · Chicago
7.90
2 shots · 99 pass
A. Saletros
M · Chicago
7.70
· 82 pass
Joel Waterman
Joel Waterman
D · Chicago
7.60
· 103 pass
Hugo Cuypers
Hugo Cuypers
F · Chicago
7.30
2 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 28 26% — — —
Andrew Gutman D 84 7.20 — — — 57 49% 2 1 —
Jack Elliott D 90 7.90 — — 2 99 93% 1 — —
Joel Waterman D 90 7.60 — — — 103 97% — — —
Jonathan Dean D 90 6.60 — — — 49 42% 1 — —
A. Saletros M 76 7.70 — — — 82 77% 2 — —
Dje Tah D'Avilla M 84 7.20 — — — 68 64% 1 — —
Puso Dithejane M 61 6.50 — — — 22 17% — — —
Maren Haile-Selassie M 90 8.70 1 — 1 65 59% — — —
Philip Zinckernagel M 76 10.00 2 — 3 37 29% — — —
Hugo Cuypers F 90 7.30 2 — 4 16 15% 2 — —
Jason Shokalook F 14 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Mauricio Pineda D 15 7.00 — — — 24 23% — — —
Robin Lod M 29 6.30 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
S. Oregel M 14 6.90 — — — 27 27% 1 — —
Viktor Radojević D 15 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 24 15% — — —
D 90 5.70 — — 1 29 20% 2 — —
Ethan Bartlow D 90 5.50 — — 1 36 28% — — —
Ian James D 75 6.00 — — — 21 15% 1 — —
M 90 6.70 — — — 30 25% 2 — —
Manu García M 90 6.30 — — 1 44 33% 1 — —
M 90 6.20 — — — 37 31% 2 — —
Jacob Davis M 90 6.30 — — — 16 11% 4 — —
Capita F 86 7.00 — — 2 10 5% 6 — —
Dejan Joveljić F 90 6.50 — — — 18 12% — — —
Calvin Harris F 75 6.70 — — 1 4 3% 1 — —
Jacob Bartlett D 13 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Sporting Kansas City win.